Armenia are tough at home? 欧预赛 亚美尼亚VS威尔士
2023-11-18

Jarkko

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/18 22:00

已完赛

亚美尼亚
1:0
威尔士
解读理由:

Armenia still have a theoretical change to progress, but the form does not support the idea:


At Wales things look a lot better, and they have everything in their own hands. The strange 2-4 loss to Armenia at home made their route a lot more difficult!


Armenian coach Petrakov has decided to play without Norberto Briasco, Tigran Barseghyan, and Sargis Adamyan. All high-profile players, none of them injured so the reason is something else. Waking up the team? There is not that much depth in the squad that they could afford this. The top-3 players play in the Russian league, the biggest star being Krasnodar midfielder Spertsyan, worth 15 million euros which is almost half of the team's total market value.

In comparison, the Welsh side is still a quality side, worth almost 200 million euros, and they can field basically a full Premier League side in addition to a few players from another massive club, Leeds.

Welsh side miss only Aaron Ramsey, Dylan Levitt, Wes Burns, none of them a top starter and even if Ramsey sounds like a big miss because of his history,he is not longer needed. Harry Wilson, Kieffer Moore and Brennan Johnson are likely forming the attack, there is size, skill and speed. Tottenham's Johnson is valued almost as a 50 million euros player!

So it is no surprise to see Wales as big favorites here, but I like to go a bit further in the chase of value. Wales really can not afford not to win, and it would be a horrible mistake to sit back when leading by 1 single goal and then panic in the late stages, so I believe they will look for a bigger cushion early on, and as the class difference is big they will win this by 0-2,3.


Good luck!





该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

亚美尼亚仍有理论上的变化进展,但形式不支持的想法:


在威尔士,情况看起来好多了,一切都掌握在他们自己手中。主场2-4输给亚美尼亚让他们的路线更加艰难!


亚美尼亚主教练彼得拉科夫决定不让布里亚斯科、巴尔塞扬和阿达姆扬上场。所有高调的球员都没有受伤,所以原因是别的。唤醒团队?他们没有足够的阵容深度来支付这笔交易。排名前三的球员都在俄罗斯联赛踢球,其中最大的明星是克拉斯诺达尔中场球员斯佩尔茨扬,身价1500万欧元,几乎是球队总市值的一半。

相比之下,威尔士仍然是一支有实力的球队,价值近2亿欧元,他们基本上可以派出一支完整的英超球队,另外还有一些来自另一家豪门利兹的球员。

威尔士队只缺了拉姆塞、莱维特和伯恩斯,他们都不是主力,即使拉姆塞因为过去的经历听起来像是个大缺阵,但现在已经不需要他了。哈里·威尔逊,基弗·摩尔和布伦南·约翰逊可能会组成进攻,他们有身高,技术和速度。热刺的约翰逊身价接近5000万欧元!

因此,看到威尔士成为这里的大热门并不奇怪,但我喜欢在追求价值方面走得更远一些。威尔士真的不能不赢,在领先1球的情况下坐以守备,然后在最后阶段惊慌失措,这将是一个可怕的错误,所以我相信他们会在早期寻找更大的缓冲,由于班级差距很大,他们将以0-2,3赢得这场比赛。


好运!



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