12/13 last WON! ¥¥¥ 欧预赛 亚美尼亚VS威尔士
2023-11-18

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/18 22:00

已完赛

亚美尼亚
1:0
威尔士
解读理由:

Armenia VS Wales


Armenia welcome Wales for this UEFA EURO Qualification Group D round 9 (officially) clash at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in Yerevan. However, in reality both teams have played six games so far. A total of eight rounds will be played. Football fans and us serious football bettors – with a long-term profit in mind can expect a match of mediocre level by international standards here. Most importantly, we have a very promising betting opportunity to increase the hot streak of 12/13 last picks won. I will be posting more picks soon! The three other countries in this group are Turkey, who have already qualified for the EURO 2024 played in Germany next summer, Croatia and Latvia. The Croats have taken 10 points, Latvia have only three points to their account. The top-2 teams qualify for EURO 2024. Wales have 10 points in their pocket – Armenia have grabbed seven points. If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. Indeed, three countries are in a fierce fight for the 2nd place. Croatia, who finished in 3rd place in the World Cup last year, are the best of these three teams. Armenia's chances are still there but I would be very surprised to see them qualifying. I think the Armenians themselves are having a hard time really believing in their chances.. This, of course, does not mean that they would not fight hard here. Croatia are, of course, heavy favourites against Latvia and Armenia almost certainly would have to win this game to keep their hopes alive.. This does not suit their style of play well. They usually strongly rely on fast counter attacks against the stronger teams – like Wales. They will have to take risks unless they manage to take the lead and I do not see this ending well for them.. Wales currently occupy the 28th place in the FIFA ranking. Armenia are only in the 95th place. A massive difference there! Furthermore, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com Wales are the much bigger team. Indeed, the Armenian squad has an estimated market value of about 35 million euros. The Welsh squad, on the other hand, is valued at over 190 million! With the slight edge in motivation Wales deserve ti be clear favourites here. The biggest bookmakers who accept the biggest bets offer the odds of around 1.90 at the time of posting this pick. Based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis I see Wales having a 59% chance to take all three points!

Armenia have been in poor form lately. Indeed, they have lost three games in a row! Moreover they scored only one goal in these three games. In their last game they lost to North Macedonia 1-3 at Stadion Blagoj Istatov in Strumica. It was a friendly game. The hosts deserved the win. They had54% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks (152-109) and dangerous attacks. Wales, of course, are a much better team than North Macedonia. Before this they were abysmal and lost to Latvia 0-2 away from home as clear favourites according to the bookies – priced around 2.00 to win. Latvia's M. Oss was sent off after the second yellow card in the 52nd minute when the score was 1-0. Especially after this they were very disappointing and D. Balodis scored 2-0 in the 68th minute. Yes, Armenia had 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts. However, Latvia recorded many more shots on target – 6-2! They also generated much more in expected goals (xG) 1.87-1.17. Taking the sending off into account the statistics are very bad from Armenia's point of view. With this kind of performance they will probably lose on Saturday! In round 6, on the 11th of September, Croatia dominated the events at this stadium despite winning only 1-0. Indeed, Croatia generated massively more in xG than Armenia 3.45-0.15! They also recorded many more goal attempts (27-7), shot on goal (8-2), corner kicks, total passes (713-324), completed passes (638-250), attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this Armenia played a decent game in Turkey but were very lucky to get a point. Indeed, Turkey generated 1.98 in xG – Armenia's number was 0.76. It was 1-1 draw in the end. Wales, on the other hand, have won three games in a row. In their most recent game they defeated Wales 2-1 at home as big underdogs – priced around 4.50 to win on the betting market. It was a massive win for them and surely a big boost to their confidence. Croatia, rather unsurprisingly, had a high ball possession percentage (66%). Wales, however, recorded more goal attempts and shots off goals (5-3). Croatia recorded only marginally more in xG – 1.11-1.02 to be precise. Before this Wales beat a lowly team, Gibraltar, 4-0 at home. It was a friendly match, and the hosts were priced below 1.05 by the bookmakers to win. On the 11th of September they defeated Latvia away from home after recording nine goal attempts. Latvia managed only one! Let's not forget that Wales played in the last World Cup – despite not qualifying for the Playoffs. In the EURO 2020 they made it to the Playoffs! Armenia have never qualified for European Championships or World Cup. Who knows if they ever will.. Yes, the "soul" of Welsh football, G. Bale, has retired. The Welsh national team are in decline compared the the strong last 10 or so years - as I have mentioned many times before - but they still have a significant edge over Armenia, in all areas of the game! According to my sources their team spirit is also awesome at the moment!



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亚美尼亚VS威尔士


亚美尼亚欢迎威尔士参加欧洲杯预选赛D组第9轮比赛,比赛将在埃里温的瓦兹根·萨尔基相共和国体育场举行。然而,实际上两支球队到目前为止已经打了6场比赛。比赛共进行8轮。足球迷和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃的足球投注者,可以期待一场以国际标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们有一个非常有希望的投注机会,以增加12/13最后一个选择的连胜纪录。我将很快发布更多的精选!同组的另外三个国家是土耳其、克罗地亚和拉脱维亚。土耳其已经获得了明年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯的参赛资格。克罗地亚人已经拿到了10分,拉脱维亚只剩下3分。前两名的球队有资格参加2024年欧洲杯。威尔士拿到了10分,亚美尼亚拿到了7分。如果在比赛结束时得分相等,则进行肉搏赛。事实上,三个国家正在为第二名展开激烈的竞争。去年在世界杯上获得第三名的克罗地亚队是这三支球队中最好的一支。亚美尼亚的机会仍然存在,但如果他们能出线,我会感到非常惊讶。我认为亚美尼亚人自己很难真正相信他们的机会。当然,这并不意味着他们不会在这里艰苦奋斗。当然,克罗地亚是对阵拉脱维亚的大热门,而亚美尼亚几乎肯定要赢得这场比赛才能保住希望。这和他们的打法不太相称。面对像威尔士这样的强队,他们通常非常依赖快速反击。他们将不得不承担风险,除非他们设法带头,我不认为他们会有好结果。威尔士目前在国际足联排名中排名第28位。亚美尼亚仅排在第95位。这是一个巨大的差异!此外,根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,威尔士是一支更大的球队。事实上,亚美尼亚队的市场价值估计约为3500万欧元。另一方面,威尔士队的价值超过1.9亿英镑!在动力方面,威尔士应该成为最受欢迎的球队。接受最大赌注的最大博彩公司在发布此选择时提供的赔率约为1.90。根据我复杂而深入的分析,我认为威尔士有59%的机会拿到全部三分!

亚美尼亚最近状态不佳。的确,他们已经连输三场了!此外,他们在这三场比赛中只进了一个球。在上一场比赛中,他们在斯特鲁米察的布拉戈吉-伊斯托夫球场以1-3不敌北马其顿。这是一场友谊赛。东道主理应获胜。他们有54%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(152-109)和危险进攻。威尔士当然是一支比北马其顿强得多的球队。在此之前,他们表现糟糕,在客场0-2输给了拉脱维亚,根据博彩公司的预测,他们的夺冠概率在2英镑左右。拉脱维亚的M. Oss在第52分钟被罚下,当时比分是1-0。特别是在这之后,他们非常失望,巴洛迪斯在第68分钟打进了2-0。是的,亚美尼亚有60%的控球率,并且射门次数更多。然而,拉脱维亚射正的次数更多——6比2!他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG) 1.87-1.17。从亚美尼亚的角度来看,考虑到被罚出场的数据是非常糟糕的。以这样的表现,他们周六可能会输!在9月11日的第6轮比赛中,克罗地亚队虽然只以1-0获胜,但仍然在这个体育场占据了主导地位。事实上,克罗地亚的xG比亚美尼亚高出3.45-0.15!他们的进球次数(27-7次)、射门次数(8-2次)、角球次数、总传球次数(713-324次)、完成传球次数(638-250次)、进攻和危险进攻次数也更多。在此之前,亚美尼亚在土耳其打了一场不错的比赛,但很幸运地拿到了一分。事实上,土耳其在2015年的得分为1.98,亚美尼亚为0.76。最后以1比1战平。另一方面,威尔士已经连续赢了三场比赛。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比1击败了威尔士队,在博彩市场上的胜率约为4.5英镑。这对他们来说是一场巨大的胜利,当然也极大地增强了他们的信心。不出所料,克罗地亚的控球率很高(66%)。然而,威尔士的进球次数和射门次数更多(5比3)。克罗地亚队的成绩仅略高,准确地说是1.11-1.02。在此之前,威尔士在主场以4比0击败了实力较弱的球队直布罗陀。这是一场友谊赛

博彩公司将赔率定在1.05以下才能获胜。9月11日,他们在客场9次射门击败了拉脱维亚。拉脱维亚只进了一个!让我们不要忘记威尔士参加了上届世界杯——尽管没有资格进入季后赛。在2020年欧洲杯上,他们进入了季后赛!亚美尼亚从未获得过欧洲杯或世界杯的参赛资格。谁知道他们会不会……是的,威尔士足球的“灵魂”G.贝尔已经退役。与过去10年的强队相比,威尔士国家队正在衰落——正如我之前多次提到的——但他们在比赛的各个领域都比亚美尼亚有明显的优势!根据我的消息来源,他们的团队精神也很棒!

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