A GREAT match to bet on! 欧预赛 斯洛文尼VS哈萨克
2023-11-20

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/21 03:45

已完赛

斯洛文尼
1:0
哈萨克
解读理由:

Slovenia VS Kazakhstan


Slovenia and Kazakhstan lock horns in this UEFA EURO Qualification round 10 clash at Stadion Stožice in Ljubljana early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by international standards. The stakes are massive here! Denmark have already secured first place in this group. They have a fine 22 points to their account. Slovenia were expected to be the second-best team in this group and this has indeed been the case. By pure class Finland are the third-best team in this group - followed by Northern Ireland and Kazakhstan. The Kazakhs have been very lucky in this qualification. I have, of course, watched all their games – some of them twice. They have a total of 18 points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 12.13. They have scored 15 goals but in reality their offense is very limited. Some of their players are somewhat skilled but their offensive structure is poor and they often just kick/pass the ball rather aimlessly! Their number of expected goals (xG) is only 9.01. A big percentage of their total xG was generated in the two games against San Marino, one of the worst national teams in the world! Kazakhstan need to win this game to qualify. This means that they have to take risks. I believe that this will not end well for them. Slovenia can be very deadly if offered a chance for fast counter attacks. 

The hosts' defence and midfield are good but not great. However, their offense - with players like RB Leipzig starlet Benjamin Šeško is very dangerous! RB Leipzig are a top-4 team in the German Bundesliga and even play in the UEFA Champions League. Slovenia has a total of 19 points to their account and have improved their level as the qualification campaign has progressed. They won four games in a row before losing to Denmark away from home a few days ago. Denmark were, of course, every clear favourites in this game – priced around 1.60 to win by the bookies. Slovenia have not been lucky or unlucky in terms of xPTS. Slovenia defeated Kazakhstan 2-1 even away from home in March. They were the much better team in this game recording many more goal attempts )16-5), shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more than the Kazakhs in xG -1.66-0.52. Slovenia's FIFA ranking is 54th which is too low. The visitors are in 98th place which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. Slovenia for the win at odds of around 1.45 is the smart bet here!



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斯洛文尼亚VS哈萨克斯坦


北京时间周二凌晨,斯洛文尼亚和哈萨克斯坦将在卢布尔雅那Stožice球场展开欧洲杯预选赛第10轮比赛。这是最后一轮比赛了。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以国际标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。这里的赌注是巨大的!丹麦已经锁定了小组第一的位置。他们被罚了22分。斯洛文尼亚被认为是这个小组中第二好的球队,事实也确实如此。从纯粹的水平来看,芬兰队在这个小组中排名第三,其次是北爱尔兰和哈萨克斯坦。哈萨克斯坦人在这次资格赛中非常幸运。当然,我看了他们所有的比赛,有些还看了两遍。他们的账户上总共有18点,但他们的预期点数(xPTS)只有12.13。他们进了15个球,但实际上他们的进攻非常有限。他们的一些球员有一定的技术,但他们的进攻结构很差,他们经常只是漫无目的地踢球/传球!他们的预期进球数(xG)只有9.01。他们的总xG有很大一部分是在对阵圣马力诺的两场比赛中产生的,圣马力诺是世界上最差的国家队之一!哈萨克斯坦需要赢得这场比赛才能出线。这意味着他们必须承担风险。我相信他们不会有好结果。如果给斯洛文尼亚一个快速反击的机会,它会非常致命。

东道主的防守和中场都不错,但不是很出色。然而,他们的进攻——拥有像莱比锡RB新星本杰明Šeško这样的球员是非常危险的!RB莱比锡是德甲前四的球队,甚至参加过欧洲冠军联赛。斯洛文尼亚总共有19分,随着预选赛的进行,他们的水平有所提高。在几天前客场输给丹麦之前,他们取得了四连胜。当然,在这场比赛中,丹麦显然是最受欢迎的球队——博彩公司开出的胜率约为1.60英镑。就xPTS而言,斯洛文尼亚既不幸运也不不幸。今年3月,斯洛文尼亚在客场也以2比1击败了哈萨克斯坦。在这场比赛中,他们表现得更好(16-5),射门次数更多,进攻和危险进攻也更多。在xG -1.66-0.52中,他们的产量也比哈萨克人高得多。斯洛文尼亚在国际足联的排名是第54位,太低了。游客排在第98位,这在我的专业意见中或多或少是正确的。斯洛文尼亚以1.45的赔率获胜是明智的选择!

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