Bosnia-Herzegovina VS Slovakia

Bosnia & Herzegovina welcome Slovakia for this UEFA EURO Qualification Group J round 10 clash at Bilino Polje in Zenica early Monday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by international standards here. This is the last round of play. Portugal have already won the group as they have been victorious in all nine games. Slovakia, too, have secured a second place – consequently qualifying for the EURO 2024 played in Germany next summer. Luxemburg will finish in third place. Iceland have taken 10 points and Bosnia & Herzegovina have grabben nine points. They still have a chance to topple Iceland but that, of course, has very little significance. Slovakia's number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 15.12 but they have a total of 19 points to their account. They have scored 15 goals and have not been lucky – or unlucky – in terms of expected goals (xG). Slovakia have conceded only seven goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 11.12. They are definitely a worse team as a whole than the group standings would suggest. Most importantly, they secured their place at home after beating Iceland 4-2 just a few days ago. They have surely celebrated the successful campaign and cannot possibly be 100% ready mentally or physically for this game where they have nothing to play for. I am not questioning their professionalism as football players though. If this was a home game I would expect them to perform much better but there will not be many of their fans in Zenica. I do not believe the people of Slovakia care that much of their national team loses this game. The "mission" is already a success! Even heavy squad rotation by Slovakia's coach would not be a surprise here. The hosts' coach could do the same, of course, but I would assume they want to win the last home game of the qualification at home. The people of Bosnia & Herzegovina love their team and want to see them win.

The hosts will still have a chance to qualify for EURO 2024 as they did well in the UEFA Nations League. This "extra qualification" will be played next spring. Winning games and boosting the somewhat low confidence in preparation is surely important for them.. Based on my approximately 23 years as a professional bettor I have realised that in the scenario described above betting on the home team is very often a good idea – of course depending on the odds. The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from bookies see Slovakia as the favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.70 to take all three points. Yes, they are the better team but taking everything I have mentioned above the hosts deserve to be the favourites here. We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning. Bosnia number of xPTS is 13.12 and they are definitely better than Luxembourg and Iceland by pure class. Their defence has been a disappointment in this qualification as they have allowed 18 goals. However, their number of xGA is "only" 13.66. Slovakia beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 at home but were not significantly better in this game. They generated 1.21 in xG – the visitors managed 1.13.

波黑VS斯洛伐克

北京时间周一凌晨，波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那将在泽尼察的比利诺波列球场迎战斯洛伐克，参加欧洲杯预选赛J组第10轮比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以国际标准衡量的平庸水平的比赛。这是最后一轮比赛了。葡萄牙队已经赢得了小组第一，他们在9场比赛中都取得了胜利。斯洛伐克也获得了第二名，从而获得了明年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯的参赛资格。卢森堡将获得第三名。冰岛拿到了10分，波黑拿到了9分。他们仍然有机会推翻冰岛，但这当然没有多大意义。斯洛伐克的预期积分(xPTS)“只有”15.12，但他们的账户上总共有19分。他们已经进了15个球，从预期进球(xG)的角度来看，他们并不幸运——或者不走运。斯洛伐克只丢了7个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是11.12个。他们绝对是一支比小组排名更糟糕的球队。最重要的是，就在几天前，他们以4比2击败冰岛队，确保了自己在主场的席位。他们肯定庆祝了这次成功的战役，但他们不可能在精神上或身体上100%准备好参加这场比赛，因为他们没有什么可玩的。不过，我不是在质疑他们作为足球运动员的职业精神。如果这是一场主场比赛，我希望他们表现得更好，但是泽尼察不会有很多他们的球迷。我不相信斯洛伐克人民会在意他们的国家队输掉这场比赛。“使命”已经成功了!即便是斯洛伐克教练的大轮换阵容也不足为奇。当然，东道主的教练也可以这么做，但我认为他们希望在主场赢得预选赛的最后一场主场比赛。波黑人民热爱他们的球队，希望看到他们获胜。

东道主仍有机会获得2024年欧洲杯的参赛资格，因为他们在欧洲国家联赛中表现出色。这场“额外资格赛”将于明年春天进行。赢得比赛，提高备战时的信心，对他们来说当然很重要。根据我大约23年的职业投注经验，我意识到在上述情况下，投注主队通常是一个好主意——当然，这取决于赔率。接受博彩公司最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为斯洛伐克是最受欢迎的球队，他们提供了2.70左右的赔率来获得所有三分。是的，他们是一支更好的球队，但考虑到我上面提到的一切，东道主应该是最受欢迎的球队。我们会选择+0.5个进球的障碍选项，这是一个很大的获胜机会。波斯尼亚的xPTS是13.12，他们绝对比卢森堡和冰岛好。他们的防守在这次资格赛中令人失望，他们丢了18个球。然而，他们的xGA数量“只有”13.66。斯洛伐克在主场2-0击败波黑，但在这场比赛中表现并没有明显好转。他们在xG中产生了1.21，而访客则产生了1.13。