Where is value in this game?!
2023-11-19

Przem

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/20 03:45

已完赛

波黑
1:0
斯洛伐克
解读理由:

In my opinion Bosnia have really good chances to make at least one point in this game.


Both teams plays for nothing in this game, so for me is very hard to see Slovakia as a favorite of this match.


In last round Bosnia lost 1:4 on the road against Luxembourg. Obviously, on the paper looks like very poor loss, but match was much closer than scoreline can suggest: expected goals scored for Luxembourg 1.44, for Bosnia 0.81. It’s last game front of home crowd and I’m sure guests wants to finish in good style. They are not poor team – they have in squad players like Krunic from AC Milan. At home Bosnia recorded 2 wins in 4 matches so far. If You look on the bigger picture, there is some consistency. Bosnia went unbeaten in 10 of last 16 home matches in all competitions.


On the other hand Slovakia 3 days ago won at home against Iceland and secrured their place in Euro 2024. Big achievement and there was big celebration after the game. For sure today we will not see many key players on the pitch and coach will give chance for second-choice players or youngsters. Slovakia is not strong team on the road, no doubt about that. They failed to win in 19 of last 29 away matches in all competitions.


Bosnia plays at home and that should be good enough motivation for them. Slovakia playrs for nothing, far away from home with qualification in pocket. Guests shouldn’t be favorite here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,波斯尼亚有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。


两支球队在这场比赛中都一无所获,所以对我来说斯洛伐克很难成为这场比赛的热门球队。


在上一轮比赛中,波斯尼亚客场1:4输给了卢森堡。显然,从纸面上看,这是一场非常糟糕的输球,但比分比比分所显示的要接近得多:卢森堡的预期进球数为1.44,波斯尼亚的预期进球数为0.81。这是在主场观众面前的最后一场比赛,我相信客人们希望以一种好的方式结束比赛。他们不是一支糟糕的球队,他们有像AC米兰的克鲁尼奇这样的球员。在波斯尼亚主场,目前4场比赛取得2胜。如果你从更大的角度来看,会有一些一致性。波斯尼亚在最近16场主场比赛中保持了10场不败。


另一方面,斯洛伐克3天前在主场战胜冰岛,确保了他们在2024年欧洲杯的席位。巨大的成就,赛后还有盛大的庆祝活动。可以肯定的是,今天我们不会在场上看到很多主力球员,教练会给替补球员或年轻人机会。斯洛伐克在客场并不是强队,这一点毫无疑问。在最近的29场客场比赛中,他们有19场没有获胜。


波斯尼亚在主场比赛,这对他们来说应该是足够好的动力。斯洛伐克球员一无所有,远离家乡,预选赛就在口袋里。客人在这里不应该受欢迎。

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