11月19日拉脱维亚 VS 克罗地亚比赛分析直播
欧预赛
11/19 01:00
已完赛
拉脱维亚
1:0
克罗地亚
解读理由：
In my opinion Latvia have bigger chances to avoid big loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. I see decent value in +2.5 AH on home side.
Yes, Croatia recorded big 5:0 win at home against Latvia in first match in this group, but in that game Perisic recorded two asssits, Petkovic scored 2 goals and made one assists. Both of them not playing first squad today. This is huge blow and should have very bad impact on guests performance today. They not looked convincing in attack so far. Croatia in current campaign only one time scored more than 2 goals so I really don’t see so big chances for them to cover -2.5 line today, especially without two offensive stars.
Obviously, Latvia is poor team, but they not looked bad in home matches in current campaign. It’s their last home game against prestigious opponent so motivation should be on very high level. In first home game Latvia played against Turkey (winner of this group) and they lost 2:3 after very close match: expected goals score for Latvia 2.69, for Turkey 2.34. In second home game Latvia lost 0:2 against Wales, but Wales scored one goal from penalty, second in injured time. On the other hand Latvia finished with 1.51 expected goals score. In last home game Latvia produced very surprising, but fully deserved 2:0 win against Armenia. For sure they coming for this game full of confidence and they don’t have nothing to lose.
All pressure is on Croatia, but they needs 3 points here. Goals difference is not the highest priority. I really see good chances for Latvia at home to avoid big loss.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
在我看来，拉脱维亚在这场比赛中有更大的机会避免重大损失，而不是博彩公司给我们的赔率。我认为主队+2.5 AH值还不错。
没错，克罗地亚在小组赛第一场主场5:0大胜拉脱维亚，但那场比赛佩里西奇送出2次助攻，佩特科维奇打进2球，送出1次助攻。他们俩今天都没有参加一线队。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对客人今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。到目前为止，他们的进攻看起来并不令人信服。克罗地亚在目前的比赛中只有一次进球超过2球，所以我真的看不到他们今天有多大的机会覆盖-2.5线，特别是没有两名进攻明星。
很明显，拉脱维亚是一支糟糕的球队，但他们在本赛季的主场比赛中看起来并不差。这是他们的最后一场主场比赛，对手是著名的对手，所以他们的积极性应该很高。在第一场主场比赛中，拉脱维亚对阵土耳其(小组第一)，他们在非常接近的比赛中以2:3输球:拉脱维亚的预期进球数为2.69，土耳其为2.34。在第二场主场比赛中，拉脱维亚以0:2输给威尔士，但威尔士在伤停补时阶段打进一球。另一方面，拉脱维亚的预期进球数为1.51。在上一场主场比赛中，拉脱维亚出人意料地以2:0战胜了亚美尼亚。可以肯定的是，他们会充满信心地来参加这场比赛，他们没有什么可以失去的。
所有的压力都在克罗地亚身上，但他们需要在这里得到3分。目标差异并不是最重要的。我认为拉脱维亚在主场有很好的机会避免大的损失。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。