We are very HOT! 欧预赛 法国VS直布罗陀
2023-11-18

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/19 03:45

已完赛

法国
1:0
直布罗陀
解读理由:


France VS Gibraltar



France welcome Gibraltar for this UEFA EURO Qualification Group B round 9 game at Allianz Riviera in Nice early Sunday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both have played six games. A total of eight rounds will be played. Football fans and us serious football bettors – with a long-term profit in mind can expect a very one-sided match here. France are one one the best teams on the planet. They made it to the final in the World Cup in Qatar last year. They did, however, lose to Argentina 3-4 after penalties. It was one of the best matches in the history of football with players like Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe going head to head! Argentina deserved to win after recording 21 goal attempts during the 120 minutes. France managed nine. The French stars – the team is full of them do not always have the best attitude on the pitch - especially against much worse opponents, like Gibraltar.. In these kinds of matches they can often be a little too relaxed – or even lazy.. Of course it would be a massive surprise if France failed to win this game. Some bookies do not even offer odds on France to win at all. Many bookies offer 1.01. However, this is not the point here.. We have a very lucrative betting opportunity to increase the hot streak of 12/13 last picks won at the time of writing this analysis! I have posted two picks for Saturday and will be posting more picks soon! The handicap we will go for is extremely big (+5.5 goals) in international football. Yes, I see Gibraltar having a 60% chance of avoiding losing by a margin of more than five goals. Odds of around 1.90 are widely available on the betting market,

I would not be at all surprised to see France's coach  Didier Deschamps to do some – perhaps even heavy – squad rotation here. Of course, there are not bad - or even mediocre players in the French squad but the level still drops as a result of possible rotation! Yes, France could score 10+ goals here if they were to fire on all cylinders.. France top the standings with 18 points, indeed, they have won all six games. However, they have scored "only" 13 goals. In reality they will win this group. I would not be at all surprised to see France scoring two or three quick goals and then aiming at lowering the tempo of the game - in order to save energy and avoid injuries. Many of their players play a lot - for very big European clubs. The teams last locked horns in Gibraltar in June and France won "only" 3-0. They generated 3.24 in expected goals (xG). Gibraltar managed 0.08. It is important to remember that in this game France still had everything to play for.. 4-0 or 5-0 are pretty probable scores here. Gibraltar have, after all, not lost any of their last 19 games by a margin of more than five goals. They almost always fight hard till the final whistle. Gibraltar are expected to mainly rely on fast counter attacks, corner kicks, free kicks – or a possible penalty kick to score here. In reality, they of course do not have the skills to play with any other tactic.. However, their chance of getting the ball even once is only about 26-27%. The difference between these teams is massive but let's still not forget that the worst European countries have improved their level in recent years. San Marino, the worst of them all by a wide margin, lost to Denmark only 1-2 last month. The Danes - priced 1.01 to win by most bookies – did not generate even 2.00 in xG. The score was 1-1 in the second half. On Thursday London time Liechtenstein were defeated by Portugal only 0-2. At half time the score was still 0-0! In their last game France beat Scotland 4-1 at home in a friendly. Yes, they were the better team but the final score is still misleading.. France had only 54% ball possession. They recorded only ten more attacks than Scotland 105-05 to be precise. Before this they beat Netherlands 2-1 away from home after a relatively balanced game. France generated marginally more in xG – 0.76-0.72. Before this Germany beat them 2-1 in another friendly. Rather unsurprisingly, France's level of football dropped clearly as there was nothing at stake really..



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法国VS直布罗陀



北京时间周日凌晨,法国在尼斯安联里维埃拉迎接直布罗陀参加欧洲杯预选赛B组第9轮比赛。然而,实际上两人都打了6场比赛。比赛共进行8轮。足球迷和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃的足球投注者可以期待一场非常一边倒的比赛。法国队是世界上最好的球队之一。他们在去年的卡塔尔世界杯上进入了决赛。然而,他们最终在点球大战中以3-4不敌阿根廷。这是足球史上最好的比赛之一,像梅西和姆巴佩这样的球员针锋相对!阿根廷队在120分钟内完成了21次射门,理应获胜。法国获得了9个。法国队的球星们——球队里有很多这样的球星——在球场上并不总是有最好的态度——尤其是面对更糟糕的对手,比如直布罗陀……在这种类型的比赛中,他们通常会有点过于放松,甚至是懒惰。当然,如果法国队不能赢得这场比赛,那将是一个巨大的惊喜。一些博彩公司甚至不提供法国队获胜的赔率。许多博彩公司开出1.01。然而,这不是重点。在写这篇分析的时候,我们有一个非常有利可图的投注机会来增加12/13最后一次选秀的连胜纪录!我已经发布了两个周六的选秀,并将很快发布更多的选秀!我们要争取的障碍在国际足坛是非常大的(+5.5个进球)。是的,我认为直布罗陀有60%的机会避免以超过5球的差距输掉比赛。在博彩市场上,大约1.90的赔率随处可见,

如果法国队主帅迪迪埃·德尚在这里进行一些——甚至是更重的阵容轮换,我一点也不会感到惊讶。当然,法国队的阵容中没有糟糕的球员,甚至没有平庸的球员,但由于可能的轮换,水平仍然会下降!是的,如果法国队火力全开,他们可以在这里进10个以上的球。法国队以18分排名第一,事实上,他们已经赢了所有的六场比赛。然而,他们“只”进了13个球。事实上,他们将赢得这个小组。如果看到法国队快速进两到三个球,然后降低比赛的节奏,我一点也不会感到惊讶——为了节省精力,避免受伤。他们的很多球员都经常为欧洲豪门踢球。两队上一次在直布罗陀交锋是在6月,法国队“只”以3比0获胜。他们产生了3.24个预期目标(xG)。直布罗陀获得0.08分。重要的是要记住,在这场比赛中,法国仍然拥有一切。4-0或5-0都是很可能的比分。毕竟,直布罗陀在过去的19场比赛中没有输掉超过5球的比赛。他们几乎总是努力战斗到终场哨响。直布罗陀预计将主要依靠快速反击、角球、任意球——或者可能的点球来得分。事实上,他们当然不具备使用其他战术的技能。然而,他们得到球的机会只有26-27%。这些球队之间的差距是巨大的,但我们仍然不要忘记,欧洲最差的国家近年来已经提高了他们的水平。圣马力诺是他们当中成绩最差的,上个月仅以1比2输给了丹麦。大多数博彩公司给丹麦人的赔率是1.01英镑,但丹麦人的赔率甚至不到2.00英镑。下半场比分是1比1。伦敦时间周四,列支敦士登0-2负于葡萄牙队。半场结束时比分还是0-0!在上一场友谊赛中,法国队在主场以4比1击败了苏格兰队。是的,他们是一支更好的球队,但最终比分仍然具有误导性。法国队只有54%的控球率。准确地说,他们只比苏格兰多了10次攻击,105比05。在此之前,在一场相对平衡的比赛后,他们在客场2-1击败了荷兰队。法国的产量略高,为0.76-0.72。在此之前,德国队在另一场友谊赛中以2比1击败了他们。不出所料,法国的足球水平明显下降,因为没有什么关系。

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