A big score for France? 欧预赛 法国VS直布罗陀
2023-11-18

Borja

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/19 03:45

已完赛

法国
1:0
直布罗陀
解读理由:

Gibraltar can avoid a huge defeat here.

France is not a high-scoring team. The last time they won a game by a big margin was 18 months ago against South Africa (5:0), and in the last three years, they have only won another game by a significant margin - against Kazakhstan (8:0) in 2021 (World Cup Qualifiers).

However, in the friendly game against South Africa, the 5th goal came at 92' when rivals were playing with 10 due to a red card. Against Kazakhstan, France played with a strong lineup as it was an important game for the World Cup Qualifiers.

In this case, France is already qualified after winning all 6 matches in the group, with 13 goals scored and only 1 conceded. That's why we could see some rotations here and some players without experience in the lineup. Coach Deschamps will use the match to give a chance to those players who don't usually play with the national team or those who have played fewer minutes. It makes no sense to create fatigue or injuries to starters and important players for the clubs in a meaningless match.

A good example of a player who could start is the young midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery (PSG), who is making his debut with the senior national team at 17 years old.

Three starters are already out due to injuries: Tchoumanei, Pavard, and Camavinga. Others like Giroud, Lloris, Koundé, or Demebele are expected to rest.

After the last results, France has secured their first position and leadership in the Qualifiers Groups: none of the leaders in Groups D, E, G, H, and I can get more points than them. So this match is entirely useless, with absolutely nothing at stake for France.

On the other hand, Gibraltar is undoubtedly one of the worst teams in the EURO Qualifiers but is a very competitive team. In the last two years, they have lost only one game (of the last 19) by 5+ goals: against Greece (5:0), with the Greek team clearly overperforming as they generated only 2.87 expected goals.

This could be one of the last games in charge for coach Julio Cesar Rivas, as his team has not won a game since one year ago against Andorra. For this game, they have included in the squad a combination of experienced veterans (Liam Walker, who has more than 70 appearances with the national team) and other promising youngsters such as Kian Ronan, Nicolas Pozo, or Tjay de Barr (who is playing for Wycombe in the League One in England).

They will use this match as preparation for the Nations League, where they have been performing well. In the 2020-21 edition, they finished their group unbeaten and qualified for Group C.

The last meeting between both sides, where France used all starters and made only a couple of changes in defense, finished 0:3 for France. Although they scored a very early goal at 3', they had to wait until the last action of the first half to score the second goal, and the third one came at 79'. France controlled the game without spending energy to achieve a big score. In this case, with all of their main players focused on returning to their clubs, I'm expecting the same.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

直布罗陀可以避免在这里惨败。

法国队并不是一支得分很高的球队。上一次以大比分获胜是在18个月前对阵南非(5:0),在过去的三年里,他们只在2021年(世界杯预选赛)对阵哈萨克斯坦(8:0)的比赛中以大比分获胜。

然而,在与南非的友谊赛中,第5个进球是在92分,当时对手因为红牌而踢了10个球。与哈萨克斯坦的比赛是世界杯预选赛的重要一场,法国队以强大的阵容出战。

在这种情况下,法国队在小组赛6场比赛中取得全胜,进13球,只丢1球,已经出线。这就是为什么我们可以在这里看到一些轮换和一些没有经验的球员。德尚教练将利用这场比赛给那些不经常在国家队出场或出场时间较少的球员机会。在一场毫无意义的比赛中让首发球员和重要球员感到疲劳或受伤是没有意义的。

一个很好的例子是年轻的中场球员沃伦·扎伊尔-埃梅里(巴黎圣日耳曼),他在17岁的时候首次代表国家队出场。

三名首发球员已经因伤缺阵:楚马内伊、帕瓦德和卡马文加。吉鲁、洛里斯、昆德尔德、德梅贝莱等人也将休息。

最后一场比赛结束后,法国队已经锁定了他们在预选赛小组的第一名和第一名:D、E、G、H和I组的第一名都不能比他们得到更多的积分。所以这场比赛毫无意义,对法国来说没有任何利害关系。

另一方面,直布罗陀无疑是欧洲杯预选赛中表现最差的球队之一,但也是一支非常有竞争力的球队。在过去的两年里,他们(在过去的19场比赛中)只输了一场5球以上的比赛:对阵希腊(5:0),而希腊队的表现明显超出了预期,他们只创造了2.87个预期进球。

这可能是里瓦斯执教的最后一场比赛,自从一年前对阵安道尔以来,他的球队还没有赢过一场比赛。在这场比赛中,他们在阵容中加入了经验丰富的老将(利亚姆·沃克,他在国家队出场超过70次)和其他有前途的年轻人,如基安·罗南、尼古拉斯·波佐或特杰·德巴尔(他在英格兰的维康比踢球)。

他们将利用这场比赛为国家联赛做准备,他们在联赛中表现出色。在2020-21赛季,他们以小组不败的成绩出线,进入了C组。

双方的最后一次交锋中,法国队使用了所有首发球员,在防守上只做了一些调整,最终以0:3结束。虽然他们在3分的时候就打进了一个球,但他们不得不等到上半场的最后一刻才打进了第二个球,第三个球是在79分的时候打进的。法国队没有花费精力就控制了比赛,取得了一个大比分。在这种情况下,他们所有的主要球员都专注于回到俱乐部,我也希望如此。

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