In my opinion Liechtenstein have really good chances to avoid huge loss in this game. +4.5 AH on home side looks like best possible option to play.

First match between both teams finished with Portugal 4:0 win at home and I expect similar scenario also today.

Obviously, Portugal still is huge favorite to make comfortable win today, but in my eyes this handicap line is simply too high. Since start of 2022 Portugal only three times covered -4.5 AH in 22 matches played in all competitions. On the other hand Liechtenstein since March 2022 played 16 matches in all competitions and only one time lost with more than 5 goals difference, also only one time they conceded more than 4 goals.

Typical autumn weather in Liechtenstein today, around 10 degree with some possibility of rain. Pitch also is not in the best condition. For sure is more helpful for deep defending than high quality passings. It’s advantage for our bet, no doubt about that.

3 days after this game Portugal going to play last match of Euro qualies at home against Iceland and for sure they will want to make special show for home crowd. I’m sure in that game we will see the strongest possible line up and I believe coach Martinez today against Liechtenstein will give a chances for some second-choice players.

Portugal scored 32 goals in 8 matches (4 per match), but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 24.4. Liechtenstein conceded 25 goals in 8 matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 21.1.

0-3/0-4 maximum IMO

在我看来，列支敦士登在这场比赛中有很大的机会避免巨大的损失。主场+4.5 AH看起来是最好的选择。

两队的第一场比赛以葡萄牙主场4:0获胜结束，我预计今天也会出现类似的情况。

显然，葡萄牙今天仍然是夺冠的大热门，但在我看来，这个障碍线实在太高了。自2022年开始以来，葡萄牙在所有赛事的22场比赛中只有3次覆盖4.5 AH。另一方面，列支敦士登自2022年3月以来参加了16场比赛，在所有比赛中只有一次输球超过5球，也只有一次失球超过4球。

今天是列支敦士登典型的秋季天气，10度左右，可能会下雨。沥青也不在最佳状态。肯定比高质量的传球更有助于防守。这对我们的打赌有利，这是毫无疑问的。

本场比赛3天后，葡萄牙将在主场与冰岛进行欧洲杯预选赛的最后一场比赛，他们肯定想为本国观众献上一场特别的表演。我相信在那场比赛中我们会看到最强的阵容，我相信马丁内斯教练今天对列支敦士登的比赛会给一些替补球员机会。

葡萄牙在8场比赛中打进32球(每场比赛4球)，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该打进24.4球。列支敦士登在8场比赛中丢了25个球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢21.1个球。

最大IMO 0-3/0-4