In my papers very easy, that Poland's winning probability is at the height of 90%. As winning by more than 2 goals gives no added value at this point I cover with an exact goal win.

Poland have struggled internationally, but mostly only away, at home they are strong. In the last-round qualifier game away at Faroe Islands they got a well-deserved 0-2 win, and even if Lewandowski is out there are players like Piotr Zielinski and Arkadiusz Milik who can open up even the most difficult defenses.

Yet, the situation favors Poland here, as the visitors Moldova have been winning games in this easy group, and they have at least a mathematical chance still to qualify, so they need to open up at some point. On the road Moldova's results are just as weak as you would expect, they can win the minnows,

but the likes of Sweden, Austria, Albania and South Korea have scored easily on average more than 3 goals per game vs the Moldovians.

Moldova won the first match in Chisinau by 3-2 when the ex-coach Fernando Santos was still in charge. That is why he is not anymore, and the new coach Michal Probierz is not going to let such disasters happen. It was in June, also the players remember the humiliation extremely well.

The Moldova player class is weak and there is not much depth. Only three of the players are valued as being more than one million euros each, their top scorer Nicolaescu from Dutch club Heerenveen, midfielder Rata from Romanian league Voluntari, and left-back Reabluc from Spartak Moscow.

A must win, an easy win.

在我的论文很容易，波兰的获胜概率是在90%的高度。因为超过2个进球的胜利在这一点上没有任何附加价值，所以我用一个确切的进球胜利来弥补。

波兰队在国际上表现不佳，但主要是在客场，在主场他们很强大。在预选赛最后一轮客场对阵法罗群岛的比赛中，他们获得了当之无愧的0-2的胜利，即使莱万多夫斯基缺阵，也有像齐林斯基和米利克这样的球员可以打开最困难的防线。

然而，形势对波兰队有利，因为客队摩尔多瓦在这个轻松的小组中一直取得胜利，他们至少还有出线的机会，所以他们需要在某个时候打开局面。在客场，摩尔多瓦的成绩和你想象的一样弱，他们可以赢得小鱼队，

但像瑞典、奥地利、阿尔巴尼亚和韩国这样的球队在对阵摩尔多瓦的比赛中，场均进球轻松超过3个。

摩尔多瓦在基希讷乌的第一场比赛中以3比2获胜，当时前教练费尔南多·桑托斯仍在执教。这就是为什么他不再是，新教练迈克尔·普罗比尔兹不会让这样的灾难发生。那是在6月，球员们也对那次耻辱记忆犹新。

摩尔多瓦的球员阵容很弱，没有太多的深度。只有三名球员的身价超过100万欧元，他们分别是荷兰赫伦芬俱乐部的最佳射手尼古拉斯库、罗马尼亚沃尔塔里联赛的中场球员拉塔和莫斯科斯巴达克队的左后卫雷阿布鲁克。

A必须赢，容易赢。