WE ARE VERY HOT! $$$ 欧预赛 波兰VS摩尔多瓦
2023-10-15

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

10/16 02:45

已完赛

波兰
1:0
摩尔多瓦
解读理由:

Poland Moldova


Poland and Moldova lock horns in this EURO Qualification Group E round 8 clash at PGE Narodowy I Warsaw early Monday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors can expect a match of better than average level by international standards here. The stakes are sky-high as both teams have a genuine chance of qualifying for the EURO 2024 in Germany next summer. Indeed, Albania currently top the group with 13 points to their account, Poland are in 2nd place with nine points in their pocket, Czechia and Moldova have both taken eight points. The top-2 teams from each group qualify. Poland have played six games and Moldova five matches so far. I have to say that I, probably along with many other professional football bettors as well as football fans an journalists have been very positively surprised by the way Moldova have played so far! They have never played in the an EURO tournament or World Cup and must be massively motivated here. I also want to mention that they are a much better team at the moment than their FIFA ranking would suggest. With Poland the situation is the opposite. Poland did play in the World Cup in Qatar last year but had some luck on their side qualifying from the playoffs where they had no chance at all against France. As a whole I was not impressed by their performance.

The truth is that they have only only elite players, Robert Lewandowski but is not playing in this game due to an ankle injury. This is a massive hit for Poland as their offense heavily relies on Barcelona’s star striker! I am not quite sure if the betting market fully understands have much missing him hurts Poland’s chances – not only on the pitch but also in the dressing room. He is a true leader mentally as well. Poland have other less significant absences here as well. Yes, they are, of course, clear favorites but odds of 1.20 offered by the bookies is a more like a joke! I see them having a 67% chance of winning. We will go for the Moldova +1.5 handicap – odds of around 2.30 are widely available. The chance of us winning is 53%. Let’s also remember that Moldova beat Poland 3-2 at home, priced around 9.00 to win on the betting market. This was yet another example of Moldova being undervalued. They did have some luck on their side in this match though.



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波兰摩尔多瓦


北京时间周一凌晨,波兰队和摩尔多瓦队将在欧洲预选赛E组第8轮的比赛中在华沙纳罗多伊PGE球场展开对决。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场高于国际平均水平的比赛。这两支球队都有机会获得明年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯的参赛资格,因此赌注非常高。事实上,阿尔巴尼亚目前以13分的积分排名小组第一,波兰以9分的积分排名第二,捷克和摩尔多瓦都拿到了8分。每个小组的前两名队伍将获得参赛资格。到目前为止,波兰已经打了6场比赛,摩尔多瓦打了5场比赛。我不得不说,我,可能还有许多其他职业足球投注者、球迷和记者,对摩尔多瓦迄今为止的表现感到非常惊讶!他们从来没有参加过欧洲杯或世界杯,他们在这里一定很有动力。我还想说的是,他们现在是一支比国际足联排名所显示的要好得多的球队。波兰的情况正好相反。波兰队去年确实参加了卡塔尔世界杯,但他们的球队运气不错,在季后赛中完全没有机会对阵法国队。总的来说,他们的表现并没有给我留下深刻的印象。

事实是,他们只有精英球员,罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基,但由于脚踝受伤,他没有参加这场比赛。这对波兰来说是一个巨大的打击,因为他们的进攻严重依赖于巴塞罗那的明星前锋!我不太确定博彩市场是否完全理解失去他会对波兰的机会造成多大的伤害——不仅在球场上,而且在更衣室里。他在精神上也是一个真正的领袖。波兰也有其他不太重要的缺席。是的,他们当然是明显的热门,但博彩公司提供的1.20的赔率更像是一个笑话!我认为他们有67%的机会获胜。我们会选择摩尔多瓦+1.5的赔率——2.30左右的赔率是普遍存在的。我们赢的几率是53%让我们还记得摩尔多瓦在主场3-2击败波兰,在博彩市场上的胜率约为9.00。这是摩尔多瓦被低估的又一个例子。不过,他们在这场比赛中确实有一些运气。

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