Who will win in this big game today?
2023-09-30

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

10/01 00:30

已完赛

热刺
1:0
利物浦
解读理由:

In my opinion Liverpool have bigger chances to win this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.


Liverpool is on 2nd place, two points above 4th Tottenham, but I see bigger difference between both teams than league table showing at the moment.


Tottenham results looks much better than really should. 8 teams in whole league have bigger expected goals scored number than Spurs after 6 rounds, on the other hand only 8 teams have lower expeced goals conceded number than Tottenham. They not playing like top4 team, they had a lot of luck so far, no doubt about that.


I really don't trust for Tottenham defensive formation - they conceded 5 goals in last 3 league matches. In current season already 3 times they conceded more than one goal and I really can imagine more than one goal for Liverpool today.


Liverpool offensive formation is on fire at the moment. Only Manchester City created bigger expected goals scored number than Liverpool in first 6 rounds of the season. They scored more than 2 goals in last 5 matches in a row in all competitions. Striker Salah is in excellent form - 6 goals and 9 assists in last 12 Premier League matches.


Currently Liverpool have excellent streak against Tottenham with Jurgen Klopp at the bench as they scored at least one goal against Tottenham in last 17 matches in a row in all competitions. They should continue this streak today without too big problems.


Tottenham best player in current season (according to the ratings) James Maddison is doubtful for this game after knock in last round match against Arsenal.


Liverpool have big mental advantage before this game as they didn't lost in 22 of last 23 matches against Tottenham in all competitions. In addition to that, Liverpool won 3 of last 4 away matches against Spurs at this stadium.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,利物浦赢得这场比赛的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。


利物浦排名第二,比第四的热刺高出两分,但我认为两支球队的差距比目前的积分榜更大。


托特纳姆热刺的结果看起来比实际情况要好得多。6轮之后,全联赛有8支球队的预期进球数超过热刺,而只有8支球队的预期失球数低于热刺。他们打得不像top4,他们到目前为止运气很好,这是毫无疑问的。


我真的不相信热刺的防守阵型——他们在最近3场联赛中丢了5球。本赛季已经有三次他们丢了不止一个球,我真的可以想象今天利物浦会丢不止一个球。


利物浦的进攻阵型目前正如火如荼。在本赛季的前6轮比赛中,只有曼城的预期进球数超过了利物浦。在各项赛事中,他们连续5场比赛进球超过2球。射手萨拉赫状态极佳,在过去的12场英超比赛中打进6球并送出9次助攻。


目前在克洛普替补的情况下,利物浦在最近17场比赛中对热刺打进至少1球。他们今天应该不会有太大的问题,继续保持这种势头。


热刺本赛季最佳球员(根据评分)詹姆斯·麦迪森在上一轮对阵阿森纳的比赛中被淘汰出局,他能否上场尚不确定。


利物浦在这场比赛前有很大的心理优势,因为他们在过去的23场对热刺的比赛中有22场没有输球。除此之外,利物浦最近4场客场对阵热刺的比赛中在这个球场赢了3场。

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