6/6 latest picks WON! $$$ 英超 热刺VS利物浦
2023-09-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

英超

10/01 00:30

已完赛

热刺
1:0
利物浦
解读理由:

Tottenham Hotspur VS Liverpool

Tottenham and Liverpool lock horns in this English Premier League round 7 clash at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. This is the best league in the world. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a very high-level and most probably an entertaining encounter between two very good and offensive teams here! Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won five bets in a row in this league! The goal expectancy here is exceptionally high by this league standards. However, I still see this match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of under 3.5 – not 2.5 goals as the total goals line usually is – is 60%. Both teams have been better than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. I now have Liverpool in 3rd place in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting eleven. They are only marginally worse than Arsenal, in second place in this ranking. Manchester City are the best team in the world and are clearly the best team in this league. Even so, let’s not forget that Liverpool had a disappointing last season and could not make it to the top-4 and now have to play in the UEFA Europa League against much smaller teams - such as LASK Linz.. Yes, Liverpool have looked better than last season but still do have some weaknesses. Their midfielders - and even defenders - sometimes attack too aggressively which leaves/creates a lot of space between the Liverpool players in the midfield. Not all opponents, of course, take advantage of this but Tottenham probably can! They have players like the very dangerous and fast South Korean Son who has been on fire after a bit disappointing last season.

Yes, Liverpool have allowed just five goals in this league so far this season. However, this is very misleading as their number of expected goals allowed is 8.12. Offensively they have an edge over Tottenham, no denying that. They have netted the ball 15 times in the Premier League so far and have been only marginally lucky in terms of expected goals (xG) which is 14.56. The likes of Salah and Nunez are world-class strikers. Tottenham, too, have scored 15 goals but their number of xG is “only” 13.54. Liverpool have grabbed a total of 16 points and are in second place in the standings. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 12.11. Tottenham, too, have been lucky in terms of xPTS as their number is 11.02 but have 14 in their pocket. Many football fans, journalists and professional bettors probably expected Tottenham to suffer heavily from losing one of the best strikers in the world, Harry Kane, to Bayern Munich; this has simply not been the case. Well, of course with Kane they would probably have been even better! My point is that Tottenham are still a very dangerous team! According to my sources they also have an excellent team spirit.. They can thank their new Australian manager Ange Postecoglou for this! He has changed Tottenham’s style of play from defensive and boring to aggressive and entertaining but still efficient in terms of taking points. I believe the bookmakers still give losing Kane too much emphasis and fail to realize how strong and “fresh” this new Tottenham is! In terms of missing players Liverpool have a much better situation here as they will be missing only Thiago (hip injury). The hosts will have to manage without Bentancour, Gil, Sessegnon and Whiteman. Johnson, Lo Celso and Maddison are questionable at the time of posting this previe. It seems the betting market has over-reacted to these absences.. Indeed, taking the massive home advantage into account – I see this match as a coin toss – without a favorite. The bookies on the other hand see Liverpool as clear favorites – offering them odds of only around 2.20 to win. We will take the Tottenham +0.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of extending the hot streak!

Neither team have suffered a defeat in the Premier League so far. In their latest game Tottenham played well away from home against Arsenal as big underdogs – priced around 5.50 to win by the bookies. It was a 2-2 draw and both teams recorded 13 goal attempts. Furthermore, Arsenal recorded only marginally more in xG – 2.12-2.10. Before this Tottenham were not at their best but still beat Sheffield United 2-1 at home. They dominated the events on the pitch with 70% ball possession and created a whopping 28 goal attempts but scored the two goals in injury time - Richarlison finally found the net and the dangerous Swede, Kulusevski, scored 2-1 in the 90+10 minute. The enthusiastic fans erupted into wild celebrations. This comeback proves that Tottenham are a strong team mentally at the moment. Liverpool are ín fine form too and have won many games in a row. However, in some of these games the final score does flatter them – in some matches a little and in other games quite a lot.. For example on the 27th of last month Newcastle dominated the game at their stadium but Liverpool "stole" a 2-1 win despite generating just 0.66 in xG – the hosts managed 1.89. Virgil Van Dijk was sent off in the first half though.



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托特纳姆热刺VS利物浦

英超联赛第7轮,托特纳姆热刺和利物浦将在伦敦的托特纳姆热刺球场展开激战。这是世界上最好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些严肃的足球投注者可以期待一场非常高水平的比赛,很可能是两支非常优秀的进攻型球队之间的一场有趣的比赛!最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们在这个联赛中已经连续赢了五场了!按照联赛的标准,这里的进球预期是非常高的。然而,我仍然认为这场比赛比博彩市场上的比赛得分更低。进球数低于3.5球的概率是60%,而不是总进球数通常是2.5球。两支球队都比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好。我现在把利物浦排在第三位,这反映了球队的纯粹级别,拥有最好的首发11人。他们只比排名第二的阿森纳差一点点。曼城是世界上最好的球队,显然也是联赛中最好的球队。即便如此,我们也不要忘记利物浦上赛季的表现令人失望,没能进入前四,现在不得不在欧联杯上对阵更小的球队——比如林茨LASK。是的,利物浦看起来比上赛季好,但仍然有一些弱点。他们的中场球员,甚至是后卫,有时进攻过于激进,这给利物浦中场球员之间留下了很大的空间。当然,并不是所有的对手都能利用这一点,但热刺可能可以!他们拥有像非常危险、速度很快的韩国球员孙兴慜这样的球员,在经历了上个赛季的失望之后,他一直处于火热状态。

是的,利物浦本赛季在联赛中只丢了5个球。然而,这是非常误导的,因为他们的预期进球数是8.12。毫无疑问,他们在进攻端比热刺有优势。到目前为止,他们在英超联赛中有15次进球,在预期进球(xG)方面只有14.56个,运气不太好。萨拉赫和努涅斯都是世界级的前锋。热刺也进了15球,但他们的进球“只有”13.54个。利物浦已经拿到了16分,在积分榜上排名第二。它们的期望值点数(xPTS)为12.11。热刺在xPTS方面也很幸运,他们的数字是11.02,但口袋里有14个。许多球迷、记者和职业投注者可能都认为托特纳姆热刺会因为失去世界上最好的前锋之一哈里·凯恩而遭受重创;但事实并非如此。当然,如果有凯恩,他们可能会做得更好!我的观点是热刺仍然是一支非常危险的球队!据我所知,他们也有很好的团队精神。他们应该感谢他们的澳大利亚新教练安吉·波斯特科格鲁!他改变了热刺的比赛风格,从防守和无聊到进攻和娱乐,但在得分方面仍然有效。我相信博彩公司仍然过于强调失去凯恩,而没有意识到这支新热刺是多么强大和“新鲜”!在缺阵球员方面,利物浦的情况要好得多,他们只缺了蒂亚戈(臀部受伤)。东道主将不得不在没有本坦库尔、吉尔、塞塞尼翁和怀特曼的情况下应付。约翰逊,洛·塞尔索和麦迪逊在发布这篇预告的时候是值得怀疑的。看来博彩市场对这些缺阵反应过度了。事实上,考虑到巨大的主场优势——我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样——没有谁是夺冠热门。另一方面,博彩公司认为利物浦是最受欢迎的球队,给他们的赔率只有2.20左右。我们将采取热刺+0.5个进球障碍的选择,有很大的机会延长热连胜!

到目前为止,这两支球队都没有在英超联赛中失利。在他们最近的一场比赛中,托特纳姆热刺在客场对阵阿森纳的比赛中表现出色,被认为是大冷门——博彩公司开出的胜率约为5.50英镑。双方以2比2战平,双方都有13次射门。此外,阿森纳在xG - 2.12-2.10赛季的战绩仅略高。在此之前,热刺虽然状态不佳,但仍然在主场2-1击败了谢菲尔德联队。他们以70%的控球率在场上占据主导地位,创造了惊人的28次进球机会,但在伤停补时阶段打进了两球——理查德利森最终破门,危险的瑞典人库卢塞夫斯基在90+10分钟内以2-1破门。狂热的粉丝们爆发出疯狂的庆祝活动。这场逆转证明了热刺此刻在精神上是一支强大的球队。利物浦ín很好

状态也不错,连续赢了很多场比赛。然而,在其中一些比赛中,最终比分确实让他们感到欣慰——在一些比赛中,他们感到欣慰,而在另一些比赛中,他们感到欣慰。举个例子,上个月27日,纽卡斯尔在主场控制了比赛,但利物浦队却“偷走”了一场2-1的胜利,尽管他们全场只进了0.66球,而主队则进了1.89球。维吉尔·范迪克在上半场被罚下。

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