Really good value in Euro qualies
2023-09-12

Przem

外籍分析师

欧预赛

09/13 02:45

已完赛

罗马尼亚
1:0
科索沃
解读理由:

In my opinion Kosovo have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.


First match between both teams finished with draw 0:0, but Kosovo played little bit better as they had more big chances to score and finished with 60% ball possession.


5 matches left. Kosovo is 5 points behind second Romania so they still have realistic chances, but they have to make positive result today. I'm sure guests going to give absolutely everything today to avoid loss in this game.


Kosovo coming for this game in great mood. 3 days ago they stopped at home Switzerland, the strongest team in whole group. Match finished with draw. Kosovo played from counter attack, but that suited team well as they finished with higher expected goals scored number than Swiss team. No new absences so their line up should exactly the same, in addition to that they will play with same tactical approach.


I'm not convinced by Romanian performances so far. Their results looks better than really should. They had only 1.34 expected goals scored against poor Andorra, they had only 1.13 expected goals scored at home against poor Belarus, they failed to score against Kosovo in first game. In last away match they had only 6 shots (0.70 expected goals scored) against Switzerland. 3 days ago they failed to win at home against Israel (1:1). Romania finished with 8 shots. I’m really not convinced by their weapons in attack.


Kosovo is hard to nut to crack. Guests went unbeaten in 4 of 5 matches so far and they have all required tools to continue this streak.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,科索沃在这场比赛中有更大的机会避免失败,而不是博彩公司给我们的赔率。


两队的第一场比赛以0:0结束,但是科索沃踢得更好,因为他们有更多的机会得分,并且控球率为60%。


还剩5根火柴。科索沃落后第二名罗马尼亚5分,所以他们仍然有现实的机会,但他们今天必须取得积极的结果。我相信今天的客人们会尽一切努力避免在这场比赛中失利。


科索沃带着很好的心情来参加这场比赛。3天前,他们在瑞士的主场停了下来,瑞士是整个小组中最强的球队。比赛以平局结束。科索沃的战术是反击,但这很适合他们,因为他们的预期进球数比瑞士队高。没有新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该完全相同,除此之外,他们将采用相同的战术方法。


到目前为止,我对罗马尼亚的表现并不满意。他们的结果看起来比实际情况要好。对阵安道尔,他们的预期进球数只有1.34个;主场对阵白俄罗斯,他们的预期进球数只有1.13个;首战对阵科索沃,他们没有进球。在上一场客场对阵瑞士的比赛中,他们只有6次射门(预期进球数为0.70),3天前他们在主场对阵以色列(1:1)的比赛中未能获胜。罗马尼亚以8枪结束比赛。我真的不相信他们进攻时的武器。


科索沃问题很难解决。到目前为止,客队在5场比赛中有4场保持不败,他们都需要工具来保持这一连胜。

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