Who will qualify to the 1/4 finals?
2023-08-08

Borja

外籍分析师

女世界杯

08/08 16:00

已完赛

哥伦比女
1:0
牙买加女
解读理由:

Both teams are here surprisingly after a very good performance in the tournament. Now they are playing for history, as none of both teams have ever reached the ¼ finals in a World Cup.

Colombia is full of confidence. Although they lost the last round against Morocco after beating Korea Republic in the opening round and the crucial victory against Germany (1:2), which was totally undeserved. Scored the winning goal at 97’ and had only 0.42 expected goals (xG), whilst Germany had 1.81, 68% possession, and missed a lot of chances. The defeat against Morocco (1:0) was totally deserved.

The South Americans are exciting going forward, and Jamaica must make sure young star Linda Caicedo doesn’t get too much time on the ball because she’s capable of producing something special. Mayra Ramirez and Catalina Usme are also attacking threats as Colombia look to become the first side to score past the Jamaicans.

Goalkeeper Catalina Perez was excellent against Germany and centre-back Jorelyn Carabali, who did a great job marking Alexadra Popp, both have key roles, particularly in trying to nullify the all-round threat of Khadija Shaw.

On the other hand, Jamaica has been one of the most impressive teams in the tournament. They have a pretty weak squad but managed to qualify in a very difficult group (Brazil, Panama and France) without conceding a single goal and of course, unbeaten. Their confidence and performances have been growing every minute and every game, and now are facing this match at 200%.

They have heroes across the pitch. Especially at the back: Goalkeeper Rebecca Spencer made great performances and saves, keeping her goal to nil in the three games played and she has been helped by the brilliant defensive duo of the center-backs Allyson and Chantelle Swaby along with the midfielder Vyan Sampson, who shields the backline superbly.

Upfront, Manchester City’s striker Shaw can be a gamechanger, with her ability to hold up play, run with the ball, create chances and score in the box key for her country.

They were outplayed by France and Brazil, but managed their target and showed that they are capable of achieving a positive result even without creating any danger, just defending. France had 2.54 expected goals (xG) and Brazil 1.40, but none of them were able to score a goal. Maybe luck, maybe also good performances from Jamaica's defense.. The fact is that only three teams managed to keep the goal to nil in the group stage (Japan, Jamaica and Switzerland) and the Reggae Girlz were the only team able to qualify to ⅛ scoring just one goal.

I think that Colombia will have the initiative in this match, which of course is a good signal for Jamaica. Colombia has much less quality upfront than Brazil and France so if Jamaica repeats another solid defensive performance, they should be able to at least achieve a draw in the regular time.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

两支球队在比赛中都表现出色,出人意料地来到这里。现在他们正在为历史而战,因为这两支球队都没有在世界杯上进入过四分之一决赛。

哥伦比亚充满信心。虽然他们在首轮击败大韩民国,并在对阵德国(1:2)的关键胜利后,在上一轮输给了摩洛哥,但这完全是不应该的。在97分打进致胜球,预期进球只有0.42个(xG),而德国队有1.81个,控球率68%,错失了很多机会。输给摩洛哥(1:0)完全是罪有应得。

南美人的前进令人兴奋,牙买加必须确保年轻的明星琳达·卡伊多(Linda Caicedo)不会在球上花太多时间,因为她有能力创造一些特别的东西。拉米雷兹(Mayra Ramirez)和乌斯梅(Catalina Usme)也有进攻威胁,哥伦比亚希望成为首个超越牙买加的球队。

门将佩雷兹在对阵德国的比赛中表现出色,中卫卡拉巴里在盯防波普方面表现出色,两人都发挥了关键作用,尤其是在试图消除肖的全方位威胁方面。

另一方面,牙买加是本届世界杯上最令人印象深刻的球队之一。他们的阵容相当弱,但在一个非常困难的小组(巴西、巴拿马和法国)出线时没有失球,当然,他们还保持了不败。他们的信心和表现在每一分钟、每一场比赛中都在增长,现在他们以200%的心态面对这场比赛。

他们在球场上有英雄。特别是在后防线上:门将丽贝卡·斯宾塞表现出色,在三场比赛中,她的进球一直保持在零,她得到了出色的防守组合——中卫阿里森和尚特尔·斯瓦比以及中场球员维扬·桑普森的帮助,他们出色地保护了后防线。

在前场,曼城前锋肖可以改变比赛,她有能力阻止比赛,带球跑动,创造机会,并在禁区内为她的国家进球。

他们被法国和巴西击败,但他们成功完成了自己的目标,并表明他们有能力在不制造任何危险的情况下取得积极的结果,只是防守。法国队和巴西队分别有2.54个和1.40个预期进球,但没有一个进球。也许是运气,也许也是牙买加防守的好表现。事实是,在小组赛阶段,只有三支球队(日本、牙买加和瑞士)将比分锁定为0,而雷鬼女孩队是唯一一支只打进一球就晋级的球队。

我认为哥伦比亚将在这场比赛中占据主动,这对牙买加来说当然是一个好的信号。哥伦比亚队的锋线水平远不如巴西和法国,所以如果牙买加队的防守能继续保持稳定,他们至少可以在常规时间内取得平局。

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