What will make difference in this game?
2023-07-23

Przem

外籍分析师

挪超

07/23 23:00

已完赛

奥德
1:0
瓦勒伦加
解读理由:

In my opinion Odds should be bigger favorite in this game. They have bigger chances for 3 points than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +0 AH looks like very safe option to play.


Odds have good mental advantage as they won 3 of last 4 matches against Valarenga.


Hosts coming for this game in good mood as they recorded important win on the road against Aalesund and that was fully deserved. 2.20 expected goals scored. In last home game Odd lost at home against Bodo – the strongest team in whole league. They lost 0:2, but match were closer than scoreline can suggest. Expected goals scored for Odds 0.81, for Bodo 1.31. Odds is solid team at home – went unbeaten in 4 of 6 home league matches and conceded only 4 goals in the process. Defensive formation really works on top level – already 8 clean sheets in current season and this is the best result in whole league.


On the other hand Valarenga is poor at both ends of the pitch – they scored only 15 goals so far (15.9 expected goals scored). Today they going to play without best scorer Daniel Hakans. They coming for this game in very bad mood – in last round they lost 0:4 at home against Molde. That was painful and fully deserved loss: 4.29 expected goals scored for Molde, 0.46 for Valarenga. Defensive formation don’t have any stability and I see continuation of this issue also today. Guests going to play without defender Strandberg – is huge blow. According to the ratings is their best player in current season. In addition to that, other key defender Juklerod is unavailable.


Hosts consistency at the back should make difference here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,赔率在这场比赛中应该更受欢迎。他们赢3分的几率比赌徒给出的赔率要大。+0 AH看起来是一个非常安全的选择。


赔率有很好的心理优势,因为他们在最近4场对瓦伦加的比赛中赢了3场。


东道主带着良好的心情来参加这场比赛,因为他们在客场战胜了奥勒松,这是他们应得的。2.20个预期进球。在上一场主场比赛中,Odd在主场输给了全联盟最强的球队Bodo。他们以0:2输掉了比赛,但比分比比分所能显示的还要接近。赔率为0.81,博多为1.31。赔率是稳固的球队在主场-在6场主场比赛中4场保持不败,并且在此过程中只丢了4球。防守阵型确实在顶级水平上发挥了作用——本赛季已经8次零封对手,这是整个联赛中最好的成绩。


另一方面,瓦伦加在攻防两端都很糟糕,他们目前只进了15个球(预期进球数为15.9)。今天他们将在没有最佳射手丹尼尔·哈肯斯的情况下比赛。他们带着非常糟糕的心情来参加这场比赛——上一轮他们在主场0:4输给了莫尔德。这是一场痛苦而又罪有应得的失利:莫尔德预期进球数为4.29,瓦伦加为0.46。防守阵型没有任何稳定性,我今天也看到了这个问题的延续。客人将缺席后卫斯特兰德伯格——这是一个巨大的打击。根据收视率是他们本赛季最好的球员。除此之外,其他关键后卫朱克洛德也无法上场。


主队在后防线上的稳定应该会有所不同。

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