Xamax vs Thun

Xamas welcome for this Swiss Challenge League round 29 match at Stade de la Maladière in Neuchâtel early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Swiss football. There are some quite promising individuals in this league and Switzerland does have a good football culture and a strong national team, but the level is this league is not very high. The difference to the first tier, Super League is substantial. This is a more high-scoring league on average than many other European second tier leagues - for example the Italian Serie B or French Ligue 2 and offers decent entertainment - often quite offensive football for fans to watch. However, Xamax have had quite a few problems with attacking creativity and efficiency lately. Many offensive players often position themselves wrong when they are building attacks. Thun, on the other hand, often play surprisingly cautious football away from home. I think they could be a little more aggressive and who knows - maybe they will put pressure on Xamax here especially of they smell weakness in Xamax's defense.. Even so, these are the main reasons why I see match as more low scoring than the betting market does which makes this bet an even more lucrative one as the draw is more probable than odds on the market reflect. The probability of a draw is 29% and this result would bring my fans and me winner with the Thun +0.5 goals handicap option. The probability of winning is high - is 74%.

By pure class Thun are clearly the better than Xamax, especially in terms of offensive structure and players’ individual skill-level. They currently occupy the 5th place with 46 points and might well topple Schaffhausen who are currently in 4th place or even Vaduz who are third at the moment. Indeed, Thun are in fine form and have taken 4 wins in a row! They beat Vaduz on the 18th of March away from home 2-0. A brilliant performance and repeating even close to this performance today would probably bring Thun all 3 points! They defended in a very solid way and recorded much more shots on goal, scoring attempts, and dangerous attacks than the hosts. In their most recent match they gave Kriens no chance at all and won 3-1. Kriens are very bad though.. Xamax, on the other, hand are out of form. In their most recent match Schaffhausen pretty comfortably beat them. Before this their offensive game was once again horribly inefficient and they failed to record even one shot on target. Will, who are a rather limited team really, beat them a few weeks ago 2-0 and might well topple Xamax in the standings.. The hosts are in 7th place now, but I see them as the 9th best team in this league by pure class. They would have to improve a lot or be lucky to win this clash! They do not even have particularly good home fans to support them.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

Xamas迎战在北京时间Neuchâtel周六早上在Maladière体育场举行的瑞士挑战联赛第29轮比赛。这是瑞士足球的第二梯队。在这个联赛中有一些很有前途的人，瑞士确实有良好的足球文化和强大的国家队，但这个联赛的水平不是很高。与一线球队相比，中超联赛的差距是相当大的。这是一个比许多其他欧洲二线联赛(例如意乙和法甲)平均得分更高的联赛，而且提供了不错的娱乐，球迷观看的足球往往很有攻击性。然而，Xamax最近在打击创造力和效率方面遇到了不少问题。许多进攻型球员在进攻时经常定位错误。另一方面，图恩经常在客场踢得出奇的谨慎。我认为他们可以更有侵略性一点，谁知道呢——也许他们会在这里对Xamax施加压力，特别是他们在Xamax的防守中嗅到了弱点。即便如此，这也是为什么我认为比赛比投注市场得分更低的主要原因，这使得这个投注更有利可图，因为抽奖的可能性比市场反映的赔率更大。平局的概率是29%，这个结果会让我的球迷和我赢得Thun +0.5个进球的障碍选项。获胜的概率很高——74%。

从纯粹的职业来看，Thun显然比Xamax更好，尤其是在进攻结构和球员个人技能水平方面。他们目前以46分排名第五，很有可能超过目前排名第四的沙夫豪森，甚至是排名第三的瓦杜兹。的确，图恩状态很好，已经取得了4连胜!他们在3月18日客场2-0击败了瓦杜兹队。一个出色的表现和重复甚至接近今天的表现可能会给Thun带来所有的3分!他们的防守非常稳固，射门、得分和危险进攻的次数都比东道主多。在最近的一场比赛中，他们没有给克里恩斯任何机会，最终以3-1获胜。Kriens是非常坏的…另一方面，Xamax的表现就不太好了。在他们最近的比赛中，沙夫豪森很轻松地击败了他们。在此之前，他们的进攻再一次效率低下，甚至连一次射正的机会都没有。威尔，一支实力相当有限的球队，在几周前以2-0击败了他们，很可能在排名上超过Xamax。东道主现在排名第七，但我认为他们是联赛中第9强的球队。他们必须有很大的进步，否则赢下这场比赛就太幸运了!他们甚至没有特别好的家庭球迷支持他们。