What will happen at Old Trafford today?
2022-04-02

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

04/03 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Manchester United have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

In overall Untied have very solid record agains Leicester as they won 24 of last 39 matches against them in all competitions. In previous season Leicester were able to win at Old Trafford 2:1, but now they are much worse team and they never recorded two consecutive league wins at this stadium.

Manchester United is still involved in fight for the top4 (place in Champions League), their motivation to win for sure is on the highest possible level. On the other Leicester is on the safe place - well above relegation zone and far behind European Cups so they will play till the end of the season basically for nothing.

International break should works well for United, many players like Rashford or Sancho had good break, other players like Cristiano or Fernandes (2 goals in play off match for Portugal) gained important confidence. United have so many options and their bench is the strongest in Premier League according to the numbers - 10 goals by players from the bench is the best result in whole league.

Leicester is still without their captain and best scorer Jamie Vardy (10 goals in current season). Leicester have poor season in comparison to the previous years, but according to the models they should have even worse season than they have. According to the expected goals scored/conceded models Leicester made 11 points more than they should - without those points Leicester should fight to avoid relegation.. Leicester currently is in very poor form on away - they lost 5 of last 6 away matches. Only three teams in whole league plays worse than Leicester on away..

I can see easy goals for United today - they have excellent players upfront and Leicester defensive formation is really poor. They conceded at least one goal in 12 of 13 away matches in curent season. Only Burnley faced more shots per game than Leicester and only Norwich have higher expected goals conceded number per game than Leicester.. United in their last Premier League game scored 3 goals and won against Tottenham at home. Leicester in their last league game played at home against Brentford and won 2:1, but that wasn't t deserved result: expected goals scored for Leicester 1.00, for Brentford 1.79.

All in all, Leicester defensive is very unstable and I see so many chances for hosts. United should be able to score more than one goal and that should be enough to make 3 points today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,曼联在今天的比赛中有很好的获胜机会。

总的来说,曼联对莱斯特的战绩非常稳定,他们在过去的39场比赛中赢下了24场。上个赛季,莱斯特队在老特拉福德2:1获胜,但现在他们的实力更差了,他们从未在这个球场取得过两连胜。

曼联仍然在为冠军联赛前四名而战,他们的获胜动力肯定是在最高的水平上。另一方面,莱斯特城处于安全地带——远高于降级区,远远落后于欧洲冠军杯,所以他们几乎可以免费踢到赛季结束。

国际比赛的休息时间对曼联来说应该很好,很多球员像拉什福德和桑乔都有很好的休息时间,其他球员像克里斯蒂亚诺和费尔南德斯(葡萄牙在附加赛中打进2球)获得了重要的信心。曼联有如此多的选择,他们的板凳席是英超联赛中最强的,板凳席上的10个进球是整个联赛的最好成绩。

莱斯特城仍然没有他们的队长和最佳射手杰米·瓦尔迪(本赛季10个进球)。与前几年相比,莱斯特的赛季表现不佳,但根据模型,他们应该会有更糟糕的赛季。根据预期进球/失球模型,莱斯特比预期多得了11分——如果没有这些分数,莱斯特应该为保级而战。莱斯特城目前的客场状态非常糟糕——他们在最近的6场客场比赛中输掉了5场。全联盟只有三支球队的客场表现不如莱斯特城。

我可以看到今天曼联很容易进球——他们有优秀的前锋,而莱斯特的防守阵型真的很差。在本赛季的13场客场比赛中,他们至少丢了12个球。只有伯恩利场均面对比莱斯特更多的射门机会,只有诺维奇场均比莱斯特更高的预期失球数。曼联在他们的上一场英超比赛中进了3个球,并在主场战胜了热刺。莱斯特队在上一场联赛主场对阵布伦特福德队的比赛中取得了2:1的胜利,但这并不是他们应得的结果:莱斯特队的进球为1.00,布伦特福德为1.79。

总而言之,莱斯特的防守非常不稳定,我看到东道主有很多机会。曼联应该能进一个以上的球,这应该足以在今天得到3分。

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