The best bet for today is from La Liga!
2022-02-14

Przem

外籍分析师

西甲

02/15 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Mallorca have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

In overall Mallorca have solid record at home against Bilbao as they didn't lost in 14 of 19 home matches against them.

Mallorca coming to this game without any new absences, so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. On the other hand Bilbao have two new important absences, today probably they will play without their central defenders duo Alvarez/Martinez. This is huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance at the back.

Bilbao is not strong away team, they won only 14 of last 69 away La Liga matches! In current season they recorded 3 wins in 12 matches, but they had a lot of luck. They conceded 5 goals in away matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 15.26! It's huge difference. I see problems for them to keep clean sheet without key defenders.

Mallorca is solid at home - they didn't lost in 9 of 11 home matches so far. They deserved even some better results. They scored 10 goals in home matches so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 17.63. They have new striker in the team - Vedat Muriqi - he scored a goal in his debut and for sure he have confidence to go with momentum today.

Mallorca is in good mood - in last match 9 days ago they recorded important 2:1 home win against Cadiz. They had a lot of time to recover and they don't had to travel anywhere. This is big advantage.

Bilbao really overplayed in last weeks - for them this is 4th match in 11 days! 4 days ago they played against Valencia in Cup and in second half they really looked poor and tired. In 2022 Bilbao played already 3 matches more than Mallorca and freshness can really make big difference today.

Mallorca currently have amazing streak in home La Liga matches played at Monday. They didn't lost 9 consecutive home La Liga matches played at Monday and recorded 8 wins in the process!

Without any shadow of doubt value is on home side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,马洛卡有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

总的来说,马洛卡在主场对阵毕尔巴鄂的比赛中有着良好的记录,他们在主场对阵毕尔巴鄂的19场比赛中有14场没有输掉。

马洛卡没有任何新球员缺席,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。另一方面,毕尔巴鄂又有两场重要的缺阵,今天他们的中后卫阿尔瓦雷斯和马丁内兹可能将缺席。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们在后防线上的表现产生非常坏的影响。

毕尔巴鄂不是一支强大的客场球队,他们在最近69场西甲客场比赛中只赢了14场!在本赛季,他们在12场比赛中取得了3胜,但他们运气很好。他们在客场比赛中丢了5个球,但根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢15.26个球!这是巨大的差异。我认为在没有关键后卫的情况下保持不失球对他们来说是一个问题。

马洛卡队在主场表现稳定,迄今为止他们在11场主场比赛中有9场没有输掉。他们理应获得更好的成绩。到目前为止,他们在主场比赛中已经进了10个球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进17.63球。他们有了新的射手——Vedat Muriqi,他在他的处子秀中就进了一个球,当然他今天有信心保持势头。

马洛卡现在心情很好——在9天前的上一场比赛中,他们取得了主场2:1战胜加的斯的重要胜利。他们有很多时间来恢复,而且他们不需要去任何地方。这是一个很大的优势。

毕尔巴鄂在过去几周的表现真的太过火了——对他们来说,这是11天内的第四场比赛!4天前他们在杯赛上对阵瓦伦西亚,下半场他们看起来真的很可怜和疲惫。在2022年,毕尔巴鄂已经比马洛卡多踢了3场比赛,今天的新鲜感真的会有很大的不同。

马洛卡目前在周一的西甲联赛中有着惊人的连胜。他们没有在周一的西甲联赛中连续输掉9场比赛,并在这个过程中取得了8场胜利!

毫无疑问,价值在主场。

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