I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements for today's match up. Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.10 in last hours and I fully agree with this trend.

I see big difference between both clubs in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. In last years Botafogo was a regular Serie A team. Unfortunately, at the end of the last season they've been relegated to Serie B. Obviously, for them main goal for current season is come back. They had poor start and now they are 10th, 8 points behind first place, but with one match played less. In last weeks Botafogo form raised as they won 4 of last 5 matches.

On the other hand Pelotas is the worst team in whole league. They lost 9 of 17 matches and scored only 11 goals. They are in horrible form at the moment as they lost 4 of last 5 matches and in each of those losses they conceded more than one goal.

Botafogo is one of the strongest home team in Serie B - 6 wins in 8 home matches with 15 goals scored. Pelotas is the worst away team in whole league - they lost 6 of 9 away matches and they scored only 5 goals.

Botafogo is simply much better team, but if they wants to back to Serie A they have to win such matches against lower rank opposition without any excuses.