20/16 in my last MLS bets 🎯🎯🎯
2024-05-05

Przem

外籍分析师

美职足

05/05 07:30

已完赛

多伦多
1:0
达拉斯
解读理由:

It's late call from me, but odds on Toronto slashed down too much and now I see excellent value on the away side. Double chance on Dallas looks like good option to play.


Dallas has a solid mental advantage as they didn't lost against Toronto in last 4 matches in a row. In overall they have a good record against today's opponents as they didn't lost in 13 of the last 16 matches against them.


After 3 consecutive losses, Toronto won last two matches in a row, but I still don't trust them. They won at home against New England, but had lower expected goals scored value than opponents. In last round they had a lot of luck against Orlando as they scored 2 deciding goals in last 5 minutes. In addition to that, Toronto today is without their best player in current season (according to the ratings) offensive star Insigne, best assistant Rutty and key defender O'Neill. That should have bad impact on hosts performance.


On the other hand, Dallas have all their top players available and we will see on the pitch players like Musa or Ilaramendi. Dallas looked solid in last matches, especially at the back as they didn't lost in 3 of their last 4 games and conceded only two goals (3 clean sheets in the process).


In those circumstances I don't agree with market movement and I see great value on Dallas.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这是我很晚才打的电话,但多伦多的赔率大幅下降,现在我看到了客场的巨大价值。对达拉斯的双倍机会看起来是个不错的选择。


小牛队有一个坚实的心理优势,因为他们在过去的4场比赛中没有输给猛龙。总的来说,他们对今天的对手有一个很好的记录,因为他们在过去的16场比赛中有13场没有输球。


在3连败之后,猛龙队最后两场赢了,但我还是不相信他们。他们在主场战胜了新英格兰队,但预期进球值低于对手。在上一轮对阵奥兰多的比赛中,他们运气很好,因为他们在最后5分钟内进了两个决定性的球。除此之外,今天的猛龙没有他们本赛季最好的球员(根据收视率),进攻明星因西涅,最佳助理鲁迪和关键后卫奥尼尔。这会对主机性能产生不良影响。


另一方面,达拉斯拥有他们所有的顶级球员,我们将在球场上看到像穆萨和伊拉曼迪这样的球员。小牛队在最近几场比赛中看起来很稳定,特别是在后防线上,他们最近4场比赛中3场没有输,只丢了2球(其中3场零封对手)。


在这种情况下,我不同意市场走势,我认为达拉斯有很大的价值。

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