Who'll qualify to the final?
2024-05-02

Borja

外籍分析师

欧罗巴

05/03 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Huge clash where Atalanta is the favorite to qualify in my opinion.

Marseille is 7th in the Ligue 1, out of all european competitions at the moment. They have had a poor season so far, but in the Europa League they are doing well beating strong teams like Villarreal or Benfica, although they struggled a lot to do it in both stages.

Their main threat is undoubtedly Aubameyang, the tournament’s topscorer with 10 goals. Marseille is an offensive team and will push a lot in the first minutes, as they have a huge home support and will play highly motivated. Atalanta need to be care with this and try to keep Marseille far from their area in the first 15-20 minutes, which is where Marseille will make a higher and harder pressure.

Starter Defender Samuel Gigot is suspended. Another starter defender - Mbemba is injured. Other rotation players are also injured or not signed up in the UEL, such as Ulisses García, Jean Onana or Pape Gueye.

The wings will be the key here. Atalanta uses a 3-5-2 system with strong wings, and Marseille need to be careful with this as it’s where Atalanta generates a lot of danger, especially with Davide Zappacosta and Matteo Ruggeri. For hosts, Quentin Merli and Jonathan Clauss will be important in this area.

I also believe that Atalanta has a physical advantage. This will be the 4th game in 10 days for Marseille, who could struggle in the last minutes of the second half, especially because they also have a short bench without Pape Gueye, Onana, Ulisses Garcia or Samuel Gigot. Against RC Lens in the weekend they also struggled a lot to maintain the result in the last 15-20 minutes, where they were totally outplayed and were struggling with fatigue.

Atalanta is having a good season so far. They are 6th in the Serie A, and are coming with a lot of confidence after beating in the previous round one of the best teams in the tournament - Liverpool. They did it totally deservedly with a great performance in both legs. Also are fighting for the Champions League (TOP4) in the league, as are just 2 points (and one less game played) below Roma. So in terms of league’s performance, Atalanta is doing it better this season.

Their main threat is the striker Gianluca Scamacca, who didn’t play in the weekend’ game against Empoli so is totally fresh for this fixture. He has scored 15 goals so far, but Atalanta is an offensive team with plenty of alternatives to score. 4 players have scored more than 10 goals in the team so far: Gianluca Scamacca (15), Teun Koopmeiners (14), Charles De Ketelaere (11) and Ademola Lookman (11).

I believe that Atalanta has faced stronger teams in the UEL so far, and made better performances. Also in the league they have been performing better, and I see them able to achieve a positive result here. In terms of quality it’s a 50-50 game, where Marseille has the home advantage but Atalanta has less fatigue. I see this finishing with a draw and Atalanta qualifying in the second leg at home.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,亚特兰大是出线的大热门。

马赛目前在法甲排名第七,在所有欧洲赛事中排名第一。到目前为止,他们的赛季表现不佳,但在欧联杯中,他们击败了比利亚雷亚尔和本菲卡这样的强队,尽管他们在这两个阶段都付出了很大的努力。

他们的主要威胁无疑是奥巴梅扬,本届杯赛的头号射手,打进10球。马赛是一支进攻型的球队,在比赛的头几分钟会有很大的推动力,因为他们有强大的主场支持,并且会打得很有动力。亚特兰大需要注意这一点,在前15-20分钟尽量让马赛远离他们的区域,这是马赛将会施加更高和更大压力的地方。

首发后卫塞缪尔·吉戈特被禁赛。另一名首发后卫姆本巴受伤了。其他轮换球员也受伤或没有在UEL签约,如尤利西斯García,让·奥纳纳或佩普·盖耶。

翅膀是这里的关键。亚特兰大使用3-5-2阵型和强大的边路,马赛需要小心,因为这是亚特兰大制造很多危险的地方,尤其是有萨帕科斯塔和鲁格里的时候。对于主持人来说,昆汀·梅里和乔纳森·克劳斯将在这方面发挥重要作用。

我也相信亚特兰大有一个物理优势。这将是马赛在10天内的第四场比赛,他们可能会在下半场的最后几分钟挣扎,特别是因为他们的板凳上没有佩佩·盖耶、奥纳纳、尤利西斯·加西亚和塞缪尔·吉戈。在周末对阵RC Lens的比赛中,他们在最后的15-20分钟里也很努力地保持着成绩,在那里他们完全被打败了,并且在疲劳中挣扎。

亚特兰大到目前为止打出了一个不错的赛季。他们在意甲排名第六,在上一轮击败了联赛中最好的球队之一——利物浦之后,他们充满了信心。他们在两回合比赛中都表现出色,这是他们当之无愧的。他们也在为冠军杯(联赛前四)而战,只比罗马少了2分(少踢了一场比赛)。因此,就联赛表现而言,亚特兰大本赛季做得更好。

他们的主要威胁是前锋吉安卢卡·斯卡马卡,他没有参加周末对恩波利的比赛,所以在这场比赛中完全恢复了状态。到目前为止,他已经进了15个球,但亚特兰大是一支进攻型球队,有很多进球的机会。到目前为止,有4名球员的进球数超过10球:吉安卢卡·斯卡马卡(15球)、图恩·库梅纳斯(14球)、查尔斯·德·凯泰拉雷(11球)和阿德莫拉·卢克曼(11球)。

我相信亚特兰大到目前为止在UEL遇到了更强的球队,并且取得了更好的表现。在联赛中他们也表现得更好,我认为他们能够在这里取得积极的结果。就质量而言,这是一场50比50的比赛,马赛有主场优势,但亚特兰大没有那么疲劳。我认为这场比赛将以平局结束,亚特兰大将在第二回合主场出线。

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