Cambridge United VS Wycombe Wanderers

Cambridge United welcome Wycombe for this League One round 40 clash at Abbey Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. However, in reality the teams have played 44 or 45 games. A total of 46 rounds will be played in the regular season. This is the best 3rd tier on the planet! Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of pretty average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won six picks in a row betting on this league. The stakes are massive for Cambridge. Indeed, they are in 19th place in this league with a total of 24 clubs. The worst four teams will be relegated. Burton, in 20th place, have 46 points in their pocket. Cambridge, too, have grabbed 46 points. Cheltenham, in 21st place have 41 points in their pocket. Cambridge and Cheltenham have two games left, Burton only one. This means that by beating Wycombe Cambridge could secure their place in League One for the next season. A draw would also probably help a lot. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker.

Wycombe currently occupy the 11th place with a decent 61 points to their account. Their score difference is 58:54. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is clearly lower though. They have nothing to play for left this season. Of course this does not mean that they would play badly but will surely avoid injuries, some players might also be a little more selfish in an attempt to score goals – consequently boosting their performance-based bonus etc. Furthermore, I would not be at all surprised to see their manager rotate the squad here – offering some young players to prove their skills. Indeed, Cambridge have a gigantic edge in motivation here! The bookies do not seem to give this factor enough emphasis! I also want to emphasize that Wycombe are not massively better than Cambridge in terms of pure class. Cambridge's number of xPTS is – after all – 51.04. The bookies see the visitors as solid favourites – offering them odds of around 2.40 to win at the time of posting. However, I expect the smart money to pile up on Cambridge before the kickoff.. Once again the bookmakers have made a mistake with their odds! Based on my sophisticated expert analysis Cambridge deserve to be narrow favourites here. We will take the Cambridge +0.5 goals handicap to go for yet another winner!

In their last game Cambridge lost to a top-team Derby, currently in second place with 89 points, 0-1 at home as big underdogs on the betting market. However, they had 51% ball possession and also recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks. Derby did generate more in expected goals (xG) though. Even so, Cambridge could easily have taken a point in this match. Before this they lost to Bristol City 0-1 on the road as clear underdogs. They looked pretty nervous on the pitch in this game and were far from their best. Bristol City, on the other hand, played a good game. I believe the fierce support from the enthusiastic home fans in this super-important will help Cambridge a lot here! Wycombe have been playing relaxed football for a while now and have won three of their last seven matches. They have now taken three wins in a row – but the opponent was low-level in all of these three matches. This is why I do not give these wins too much emphasis.. In their last game they beat the rock-bottom team, Carlisle who have only 30 points in their pocket. It was a 3-1 away win as clear favourites according to the bookies. Before this they defeated Port Vale away from home 2-1. However, Port Vale had 53% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (18-11), attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had four shots on goal. The xG numbers were 1.34-1.05 in the hosts' favour.

剑桥联队VS威康比流浪者

北京时间周三凌晨，剑桥联队将在艾比球场迎来与威康比的第40轮比赛。然而，在现实中，球队已经打了44或45场比赛。常规赛将进行46轮比赛。这是世界上最好的第三梯队!足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个赚钱的赌博机会!我们赌这个联赛已经连续六次赢了。这对剑桥来说意义重大。事实上，他们在这个联赛中排名第19位，共有24家俱乐部。最差的四支球队将被降级。排在第20位的伯顿队拿到了46分。剑桥大学也获得了46分。排在第21位的切尔滕纳姆队积41分。剑桥和切尔滕纳姆还有两场比赛，伯顿只剩一场了。这意味着如果剑桥击败了维康比，他们就可以确保下赛季在英甲的席位。一场平局可能也会有很大帮助。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等，则得分差将成为决胜局。

目前，维康比以61分的成绩排在第11位。他们的比分差是58:54。不过，他们的期望值(xPTS)显然要低一些。这个赛季他们没有什么可争取的了。当然，这并不意味着他们会踢得很糟糕，但肯定会避免受伤，有些球员可能会为了进球而更加自私——从而提高他们的表现奖励等等。此外，如果看到他们的主教练在这里轮换阵容——提供一些年轻球员来证明他们的技术，我一点也不会感到惊讶。的确，剑桥在动力方面有巨大的优势!博彩公司似乎没有给予这个因素足够的重视!我还想强调的是，就纯粹的阶级而言，威康比并不比剑桥好多少。毕竟，剑桥大学的xPTS数量为51.04。博彩公司认为访客是最受欢迎的人，在投注时提供了2.40左右的赔率。然而，我预计在开球前，聪明的钱就会涌向剑桥大学。庄家又一次在赔率上犯了错误!根据我老练的专家分析，剑桥在这方面应该有微弱优势。我们将带着剑桥+0.5个进球的障碍去争取另一个赢家!

在上一场比赛中，剑桥输给了顶级球队德比，德比目前以89分排名第二，主场0比1，在博彩市场上处于劣势。然而，他们有51%的控球率，也记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻。德比确实产生了更多的预期进球(xG)。即便如此，剑桥本可以在这场比赛中轻松得一分。在此之前，他们在客场0-1输给了布里斯托尔城，显然处于劣势。在这场比赛中，他们在球场上看起来很紧张，远远没有达到最佳状态。另一方面，布里斯托尔城踢得很好。我相信在这场超级重要的比赛中，热情的主场球迷的大力支持会给剑桥带来很大的帮助!维康比踢得很轻松，最近7场比赛赢了3场。他们现在已经取得了三连胜，但对手在这三场比赛中都表现不佳。这就是为什么我没有给这些胜利太多的强调。在上一场比赛中，他们击败了排名垫底的卡莱尔队，他们只得到30分。根据博彩公司的说法，这是一场3-1的客场胜利。在此之前，他们客场2-1击败了维尔港。然而，Port Vale有53%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球次数(18-11次)，攻击和危险攻击。两队都有四次射门。对东道主有利的xG值为1.34-1.05。