A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-04-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

爱超

04/23 02:45

已完赛

斯莱戈流浪者
1:0
戈尔韦联
解读理由:

Sligo Rovers VS Galway United


Sligo Rovers host Galway for this Irish Premier Division round 9 battle at Showgrounds early Tuesday morning Beijing time. In reality, both teams have played 10 games. This is the first tier of Irish football. However, the level of this league is very poor by European standards.. Even for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga is of better quality. The best Irish players move abroad at an early age – mainly to the UK to build a career. Here we can expect a match of lower than average quality by this league's standards, I mean. Luckily we have a good chance to get yet another winner! The bookmakers make a lot of mistakes with their odds in this league – similarly to many other smaller leagues. Indeed, they understandably put much more resources in the big leagues, like the English Premier League and the Serie A.. Sligo currently occupy the 7th  place in the standings with 13 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 11.55. They have netted the ball a strong 12 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is lower – 8.77 to be precise. They have been more creative and especially effective offensively than I would have expected before the season kicked but I want to mention that many of their offensive players have performed above their normal level so far.. Last season they ended up in 8th place in this league with a total of 10 clubs. They were, in fact, not very far from relegation and I expect yet another difficult season for them as they lack quality in all areas of the game for this level! They have allowed 11 goals but their defence has many weaknesses – especially defending against fast counter attacks. Sligo's number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 14.12.

Galway were promoted to this level from the 2nd tier for this season. They are a much better team than the list of players would suggest. They have, according to my sources, a fine team spirit. I also highly value their coach – who is often underrated in the Irish football media. They have been slightly better than I would have thought. As a result, I have raised their power rating from the preseason analysis. With the expected lineups they are the much stronger team. Sligo do not have very good home fans and the home advantage is somewhat limited. Galway are narrow favourites on the betting market here – odds of around 2.65 are available on the away win. They have a 44% chance of winning - we will take the +0.5 goals handicap option. Sligo have been in decline recently – failing to win any of their last three games. In their last game they faced Dundalk at home as solid favourites – priced around 2.10 to win by the bookies. It was a somewhat balanced match and the final score was 1-1. Sligo recorded one more shot on goal than the visitors. Before this Shamrock Rovers crushed took a dominant win over Sligo 3-0 at home. In round 8 St. Patricks gave Sligo very little chance of taking even a point - winning 3-0. The bookies saw St. Patricks as only moderate favourites in this game. Sligo were, once again, overrated by the bookmakers in this match! Galway beat the current leaders, Shelbourne, 1-0 at home three days ago. Before this it was a 0-0 draw away from home against Waterford. However, Galway recorded 15 goal attempts – Waterford managed only six. Before this Galway lost to Bohemians at home 0-2 but both teams had the same number of both goal attempts and shots on goal. The hosts had many more attacks and dangerous attacks.



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斯莱戈流浪者VS戈尔韦联队


北京时间周二凌晨,爱尔兰超级联赛第9轮,斯莱戈流浪者将在Showgrounds主场迎战戈尔韦。实际上,两支球队都打了10场比赛。这是爱尔兰足球的第一梯队。然而,按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平非常低。即使是芬兰的Veikkausliiga,质量也更好。最好的爱尔兰球员在很小的时候就出国了——主要是去英国建立自己的职业生涯。我的意思是,按照这个联盟的标准,我们可以期待一场低于平均水平的比赛。幸运的是,我们有很好的机会找到另一个赢家!博彩公司在这个联赛的赔率上犯了很多错误——与许多其他较小的联赛类似。的确,他们把更多的资源投入到像英超和意甲这样的大联赛中,这是可以理解的。斯莱戈目前以13分的积分排在积分榜第7位。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)只有11.55。他们有12次强有力的进球,但是他们的预期进球数(xG)更低,准确地说是8.77。他们比我在赛季开始前预期的更有创造力,尤其是在进攻端更有效,但我想说的是,到目前为止,他们的许多进攻球员的表现都超出了正常水平。上个赛季,他们在这个联赛中排名第八,总共有10家俱乐部。事实上,他们离降级已经不远了,我预计他们还会有一个艰难的赛季,因为他们在这个级别的比赛中各个方面都缺乏实力!他们丢了11个球,但是他们的防守有很多弱点,尤其是在面对快速反击的时候。斯莱戈的预期进球(xGA)是14.12。

戈尔韦是本赛季从第二梯队升到这个级别的。他们是一支比球员名单所显示的要好得多的球队。据我所知,他们有很好的团队精神。我也非常重视他们的教练——他经常被爱尔兰足球媒体低估。他们比我想象的要好一些。因此,我从季前赛的分析中提高了他们的能量评级。在预期的阵容下,他们是一支强大得多的球队。斯莱戈没有很好的主场球迷,主场优势有限。戈尔韦在这里的博彩市场上是一个小热门——客场获胜的赔率约为2.65。他们有44%的获胜机会——我们将采用+0.5个进球障碍选项。斯莱戈最近每况愈下,最近三场比赛一场都没赢。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场面对邓多克队,他们被认为是最受欢迎的球队,博彩公司开出的胜率约为2.10英镑。这是一场势均力敌的比赛,最终比分是1比1。斯莱戈比客队多射一球。在此之前,三叶草流浪者在主场3-0击败了斯莱戈。在第八轮比赛中,圣帕特里克队以3比0的比分让斯莱戈几乎没有机会得一分。博彩公司认为圣帕特里克队在这场比赛中只有中等的胜算。在这场比赛中,斯莱戈又一次被庄家高估了!戈尔韦三天前在主场以1比0击败了目前的领头羊谢尔本。在此之前是客场0-0战平沃特福德。然而,高威有15次射门,沃特福德只有6次。在此之前,戈尔韦在主场0-2输给了波希米亚人,但两队的射门次数和射门次数相同。东道主有更多的攻击和危险的攻击。

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