Crawley Town VS Barrow

Crawley and Barrow lock horns in this League Two round 36 battle at The Broadfield Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth tier of English football. League Two is clearly the best fourth tier on the planet.  Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of much better average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won an awesome six of the last seven picks in this league! The stakes are sky-high here as both teams have a big chance of making it to the Promotion Playoffs semifinals - 4th-7th place that is. I expect an intense and physical battle here! I expect both teams to play a little more defensive football than normally here – avoiding big risks and silly mistakes. As a result, the goal expectancy here is somewhat lower than the bookies seem to estimate. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 56%. Crawley currently occupy the 7th place in the standings with a decent 65 points to their account. Doncaster, in 8th place, have 64 points in their pocket-. A total of 46 matches will be played in the regular season. Crawley's number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller. Yes, they have improved from last season when they finished in 22nd place in this league with a total of 24 clubs. They were, in fact, very close to being relegated to the 5th tier. Many of their players have played clearly above their normal level this season.. This has resulted in Crawley being overvalued in many games - especially in the second part of the season.. Barrow, on the other hand, ended up in 9th place last season – taking 16 points more than Crawley. Barrow, too, have improved this season and definitely have better players on average than Crawley. They are also the bigger club here in terms of players' estimated total market value – according to a reliable source, Transfermarkt.com. The Barrow squad is valued at 4.20 million euros but this is, in my expert opinion, clearly too low. The Crawley players are valued at a total of some 3.50 million which is more or less correct. Barrow have a strong 67 points to their account and their number of xPTS is 69.72. They have beaten Crawley in two of the last games between the two teams! Two teams last locked horns in November 2023 and Barrow took a 1-0 win at home. They generated much more than Crawley in xG - 2.12-0.56! About a year ago Barrow crushed Crawley 4-0 at home!

Let's not forget that Barrow have a clearly better scoring difference than Crawley.. Crawley have netted the ball 68 times in League Two this season but their number of xG is clearly smaller. Barrow have scored 57 goals but both teams' number of xG is almost the same! The Barrow defence is much better organized than Crawley's. Indeed, they have allowed only 48 goals. This is the 4th-lowest number in this league. Crawley's defence is far from solid.. They have allowed 64 goals so far – this is the same number as Accrington, currently in 18th place, have conceded. The hosts' defensive structure is not terrible but their defenders make too many silly mistakes – especially if the opponent presses them in an organized way.. Furthermore, their midfielders should take part in defending more actively. Crawley have lost two of their last games – allowing a total of seven goals. Neither team have been in strong form lately though – winning just two of their last five matches. In their last game Crawley lost to Colchester 2-3 at home as pretty clear favourites – priced around 2.10 to win by the bookies. They had 68% ball possession but the visitors generated much more in xG - 2.32-1.21 to be precise. Before this Wrexham crushed Crawley 4-1 at Racecourse Ground. I was very disappointed with Crawley's performance as a whole. The xG numbers were 2.87-0.48. Barrow lost to Gillingham 0-3 in their last game but Barrow's G. Ray was sent off in the 22nd minute when the score was still 0-0. Barrow fought pretty well with 10 men – recording a total of eight goal attempts. Gillingham, a dangerous team currently in 9th place, managed 11. The xG numbers were 1.97-0.77. The biggest bookies see the hosts as solid favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.30 to take all three points. This is way too low – the obvious professional bettor's choice here is the Barrow +0.5 goals handicap option!

克劳利镇VS巴罗

北京时间周三凌晨，克劳利和巴罗将在布罗德菲尔德球场进行英乙第36轮比赛。这是英国足球的第四梯队。英乙显然是这个星球上最好的第四梯队。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比联赛标准高得多的平均质量的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个赚钱的赌博机会!我们在联盟的最后7个选秀权中赢得了6个!这两支球队都有很大的机会进入季后赛半决赛，也就是第4 -7名。我预计这里会有一场激烈的体力战!我希望两支球队都能比平时多踢一点防守，避免大的风险和愚蠢的错误。因此，这里的预期进球比博彩公司估计的要低一些。总进球数少于2.5个的概率为56%。克劳利目前以可观的65分排名第七。排在第8位的唐卡斯特已经拿到了64分。常规赛共有46场比赛。Crawley的期望点数(xPTS)更小。是的，与上赛季相比，他们已经有了进步，上赛季他们在联赛中排名第22位，共有24家俱乐部。事实上，他们非常接近降级到第五梯队。他们的许多球员本赛季的表现明显超过了正常水平。这导致克劳利在很多比赛中都被高估了，尤其是在赛季后半段。另一方面，巴罗上赛季排名第九，比克劳利多拿了16分。巴罗这个赛季也有了进步，他的球员平均水平肯定比克劳利好。根据可靠的消息来源Transfermarkt.com，在球员的估计总市场价值方面，他们也是这里更大的俱乐部。巴罗队的总价是420万欧元，但在我看来，这个价格显然太低了。克劳利球员的总身价约为350万英镑，这或多或少是正确的。Barrow在他们的账户上有67分，他们的xPTS数量是69.72。他们在两队之间的最后两场比赛中击败了克劳利队!两队上一次交锋是在2023年11月，巴罗在主场以1比0获胜。他们比克劳利在xG - 2.12-0.56中产生的更多!大约一年前，巴罗在主场以4:0大胜克劳利!

别忘了巴罗的得分明显比克劳利好。克劳利本赛季在英乙联赛中打进68球，但是他们的xG球数量明显要少一些。巴罗已经进了57个球，但是两队的进球数几乎是一样的!巴罗的辩护比卡劳利的组织严密得多。事实上，他们只丢了48个球。这是联盟第四低的数据。克劳利的防守一点也不牢靠。到目前为止，他们已经丢了64个球，这与目前排名第18位的阿克灵顿的失球数相同。东道主的防守结构并不可怕，但他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误——尤其是当对手以有组织的方式压迫他们时。此外，他们的中场应该更积极地参与防守。克劳利最近输掉了两场比赛，总共丢了7个球。这两支球队最近的状态都不太好，在最近的五场比赛中只赢了两场。在上一场比赛中，克劳利在主场以2比3输给科尔切斯特，这是非常明显的夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的胜率约为2.10英镑。他们有68%的控球率，但是客队的控球率要高得多——准确地说，是2.32-1.21。在此之前，雷克瑟姆在马场以4比1大胜克劳利。总的来说，我对克劳利的表现很失望。xG值为2.87 ~ 0.48。巴罗在上一场比赛中0-3不敌吉林厄姆，但巴罗的g·雷在第22分钟被罚下，当时比分还是0-0。巴罗在10人的情况下打得很好，总共有8次射门。目前排名第九的危险球队吉林厄姆获得了11分。xG值为1.97 ~ 0.77。最大的博彩公司认为东道主在这里是最受欢迎的，他们提供了2.30左右的赔率来获得所有三分。这太低了——显然职业赌徒的选择是巴罗+0.5个进球障碍选项!