Ehime FC VS V-Varen Nagasaki

Ehime host V-Varen Nagasaki for this Japanese J2 League round 5 at Ningineer Stadium in Matsuyama Wednesday afternoon Beijing time. The level of this league is pretty mediocre by global standards - for a second tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have done very well lately – winning 9/11 of the last picks and have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here. In the J2 League we have won an impressive 5/6 of the last picks! I have posted five other picks on this league where the bookies make quite a lot of mistakes with their odds. Ehime have started the season a little better than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have four points to their account. They have netted the ball only four times and do not have a lot of firepower. Most of their offensive players lack basically everything to do well at this level. They were promoted to the J2 League from the J3 League for this season after an impressive last season. However, the J3 League is much worse on average than the J2. Moreover, Ehime took many more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). I expect a difficult season for them. Indeed, their defence is quite limited as well, despite a decent structure. They have allowed five goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger - 7.76 to be precise. V-Varen Nagasaki, on the other hand, have been playing in this league for 15 years already. Last season they played well, ending up in 7th place with 65 points. Their number of xPTS was 69.24. I expect another strong season from them! I trust their coach a lot – both in terms of tactics and as a leader. They have a clear edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. They have scored six goals and have not been either lucky or unlucky in terms of expected goals (xG). Their defence has worked well and has no obvious weaknesses. The best teams in this league could surely hurt their defence but Ehime probably will not and the hosts failing to score here would not surprise me at all! V-Varen have conceded only three goals. 0-1 and 0-2 are pretty probable scores here.

The visitors have now won three games in a row and have looked confident on the pitch.. In their last game they beat Renofa Yamaguchi on the road 1-0 despite not being at their best. The hosts played above their normal level in this game. Before this they were excellent – beating a dangerous team, Shimizu S-Pulse, 4-1 at home. They were priced around 3.50 to win by the bookies. The bookies should respect V-Varen much more! On the 6th of this month they beat Ehime 4-3 on the road - an extra time was needed in this YBC Levain Cup clash though. I expect a much more defensive match here. The total goal expectancy in the Levain Cup game was nowhere near six goals after 90 minutes of football.. The hosts beat Thespa Gunma in their last game 1-0 away from home as favourites on the betting market. However, the hosts' midfielder Taiki Amagasa was sent off in the 61st minute which heavily affected the game. I will not give this win a lot of emphasis ahead of this very challenging game against V-Varen.. However, I need to mention that Ehime's R. Morishita, too, received a red card - in the 85th minute though..

Before beating Thespa Gunma Ehime were awful at home, losing to Kumamoto 2-3, who are not a very strong team - in all honesty. Kumamoto lost their last game 0-6! Even so, Kumamoto visitors were much better than Ehime on the pitch! They recorded many more goal attempts (20-4), shots on goal, shots off target (12-0), total passes, completed passes as well as dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in xG! In round 2 Shimizu S-Pulse Ehime 2-0. In the opening round Ehime defeated Blaublitz 1-0 but the game was very balanced as a whole. The visitors had many more attacks and dangerous attacks. Ehime had one more goal attempt 12-11. Both teams had 10 shots off goal. I do not trust their coach too much, especially in terms of tactics. The visitors are clear favourites here and have - with the expected lineups -  a 51% chance to win.  The hosts do not have very loud fans by this league's standards.. Odds of around 2.25 on the away win are widely available at the time of posting this analysis.. I expect the odds to drop though as smart money from professional bettors and betting syndicates is expected to  pile up on the visitors!

爱媛VS长崎varen

北京时间周三下午，在松山宁宁体育场举行的日本J2联赛第五轮比赛中，爱姬主场迎战长崎V-Varen。以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当平庸——我的意思是，对于一个二线球队来说。按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些渴望利润的投注者可以期待一场略高于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝最近都做得很好——赢得了最后一次选择中的9/11，并且在这里还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会。在J2联赛中，我们赢得了令人印象深刻的5/6的选秀权!我已经发布了另外五个关于这个联盟的选择，其中博彩公司在赔率上犯了很多错误。爱媛本赛季的开局比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好一些。他们的账户上有四分。他们只有4次进球，火力也不强。他们的大多数进攻球员基本上都缺乏在这个水平上表现出色的一切。在上个赛季表现出色之后，他们本赛季从J3联赛升入J2联赛。然而，J3联赛的平均水平比J2要差得多。此外，爱媛在预期积分(xPTS)方面取得了比他们应得的更多的分数。我预计他们将迎来一个艰难的赛季。事实上，他们的防守也相当有限，尽管有一个不错的结构。他们丢了5个球，但他们的预期失球(xGA)要大得多，准确地说是7.76个。另一方面，varen Nagasaki已经在这个联盟打了15年了。上赛季他们打得很好，以65分排名第七。xPTS数为69.24例。我期待着他们又一个强劲的赛季!我非常信任他们的教练——无论是在战术上还是作为一个领导者。他们在比赛的各个方面都明显领先东道主。他们已经进了6个球，在预期进球方面既不幸运也不不幸(xG)。他们的防守做得很好，没有明显的弱点。这个联赛中最好的球队当然可以伤害他们的防守，但爱米可能不会，东道主在这里进球失败一点也不让我感到惊讶!瓦伦只丢了三个球。0-1和0-2是很可能的比分。

客队已经连赢三场比赛，在球场上显得很有信心。在上一场比赛中，尽管状态不佳，他们还是在客场1-0击败了山口雷诺法。主队在这场比赛中的表现超出了他们的正常水平。在此之前，他们表现出色——在主场以4-1击败了一支危险的球队——清水S-Pulse。博彩公司给他们开出了3.5美元的赔率。博彩公司应该更尊重维伦!本月6日，他们在客场以4-3击败爱洪，尽管在这场YBC列文杯的比赛中需要加时赛。我希望这是一场更具防守性的比赛。莱文杯比赛的总预期进球数在90分钟后远不及6个。东道主在上一场客场比赛中以1比0击败了群马队，成为博彩市场上的热门球队。然而，主队的中场球员Amagasa Taiki在第61分钟被罚下，这严重影响了比赛。在这场与V-Varen的极具挑战性的比赛之前，我不会过多强调这场胜利。然而，我需要提到爱媛的森下也收到了红牌——尽管是在第85分钟。

在击败黄蜂之前，群马爱姬在主场的表现很糟糕，2-3输给了熊本，说实话熊本并不是一支很强的球队。熊本最后一场0比6输了!即便如此，熊本客队在球场上的表现也比爱媛好得多!他们的进球次数(20胜4负)、射正、射偏(12胜0负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数以及危险进攻次数都更多。他们在《xG!》第二回合清水s脉冲爱媛2比0。在第一轮比赛中，爱姆以1比0击败了布劳布里茨，但比赛总体上是非常平衡的。来客受到了更多的攻击和危险的攻击。艾姆又尝试了一次射门，比分是12比11。两队都有10次射偏。我不太相信他们的教练，尤其是在战术方面。客队显然是最受欢迎的球队，根据预期的阵容，客队有51%的获胜机会。按照这个联盟的标准，东道主的球迷并不是很大声。在发布这篇分析时，客场获胜的赔率约为2.25。我预计赔率下降，虽然聪明的钱从专业投注者和投注集团预计将堆积在游客!