A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-03-18

Tapio

外籍分析师

阿职联杯

03/18 08:00

已完赛

班菲尔德
1:0
铁路工场
解读理由:

Banfield VS Talleres Cordoba


Banfield welcome Talleres Cordoba for this Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional round 11 battle at Estadio Florencio Sola in Buenos Aires Monday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is pretty high by global standards. However, the differences in pure class between the top and bottom teams are substantial.. My fans and I can expect a match of pretty mediocre quality by this league's standards here. Both Groups A and B have a total of 14 clubs. Talleres currently occupy the 4th place in the standings with 18 points in their pocket but their number of expected points (xPTS) is a little lower. They have netted the ball 20 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is only 15.12. They do have quite a lot of firepower but in terms of individual skills most of their offensive players are not top-class and have performed below their normal level so far. This most probably cannot go on forever.. Their defence, on the other hand, has not been solid at all and theui have conceded 13 goals – more than Ind. Huracan, currently in 12th place. Their defenders have made quite a few silly individual mistakes - for example given too risky passes near their own goal. They have played offensive football in general. This might be risky against Banfield who are dangerous on counter attacks.. Cordoba have been in good form recently – winning three of their last five games. In their last game they beat a small team Agropecuario 3-0 at a neutral location as big favourites on the betting market. Before this they beat out-of-form Atl. Tucuman, currently in last place, 4-1 at home but the final score is misleading. Tucuman had 52% ball possession and also recorded more shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Cordoba did generate more in xG though.

Banfield are in 11th place in the league table with 10 points in their pocket. However, their number of xPTS is 14.08. They have allowed less goals than the visitors but their defensive structure could, indeed, be better. The visitors have scored several more goals than Banfield but Cordoba's number of xG is only 2.06 higher than Banfield. Last season Banfield finished in 3rd place – Cordoba ended up in 9th place with six points less than Banfield in their pocket! However, with the expected lineups I see the visitors as slightly the stronger team. However, taking the substantial home advantage into account Banfield should be narrow favourites here. The bookies disagree and offer Cordoba odds of only around 2.5o to take all three points. Banfield +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. They have lost just one of their last six games – and have improved a lot lately. They did lose to Velez Sarsfield 1-2 at home in their last game as underdogs on the betting market. Before this they crushed Atl. Tucuman 3-0 on the road, priced around 4.50 to win! The bookies really should respect Banfield more! In round 8 Banfied easily beat Dep. Riestra 2-0 at home – generating 1.77 in xG. Banfield defended very well – the visitors' xG was only 0.24.



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班菲尔德VS塔列雷斯科尔多瓦


北京时间周一上午,班菲尔德将在布宜诺斯艾利斯的弗洛伦西奥·索拉球场迎来阿根廷队在西甲联赛第11轮的比赛。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平相当高。然而,顶级球队和底层球队之间的纯粹阶级差异是巨大的。我和我的球迷可以期待一场以联盟的标准来看质量相当平庸的比赛。A组和B组各有14家俱乐部。塔列雷斯目前以18分的成绩排名第四,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)略低。他们有20次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)只有15.12。他们确实有很多火力,但就个人技术而言,他们的大多数进攻球员都不是一流的,到目前为止他们的表现低于正常水平。这种情况很可能不会永远持续下去。另一方面,他们的防守一点也不稳固,他们丢了13个球,比目前排名第12位的胡拉坎还多。他们的后卫犯了不少愚蠢的个人错误,比如在自己的球门附近传球过于危险。总的来说,他们踢的是进攻型足球。这对班菲尔德来说可能会有风险,因为班菲尔德的反击很危险。科尔多瓦最近状态不错,最近五场比赛赢了三场。在上一场比赛中,他们在一个中立的地点以3比0击败了一支小球队Agropecuario,成为博彩市场上的大热门。在此之前,他们击败了状态不佳的Atl。图库曼,目前排名最后,主场4-1,但最终比分令人误解。图库曼有52%的控球率,并且有更多的射门、角球、进攻和危险进攻。不过,科尔多瓦在xG中确实产生了更多。

班菲尔德以10分的成绩排在联赛积分榜的第11位。但是,他们的xPTS数量是14.08个。他们丢的球比客队少,但他们的防守结构确实可以做得更好。客队比班菲尔德多进了几个球,但科尔多瓦的进球只比班菲尔德多2.06个。上赛季班菲尔德获得第三名,科尔多瓦以比班菲尔德少6分的成绩排名第九!然而,从预期的阵容来看,我认为客队稍强一些。然而,考虑到巨大的主场优势,班菲尔德在这里应该是微弱的热门。博彩公司不同意,并提供科尔多瓦的赔率只有2.5左右,以获得所有三分。班菲尔德+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择。他们在最近的六场比赛中只输了一场,而且最近进步很大。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以1比2输给了萨斯菲尔德,在博彩市场上处于劣势。在此之前,他们粉碎了阿泰尔。图库曼客场3-0领先,价格在4.5美元左右!博彩公司真的应该更尊重班菲尔德!在第8轮比赛中,班菲兹在主场以2-0轻松击败了里埃斯特拉,在xG中创造了1.77个进球。班菲尔德防守得很好,客队的xG只有0.24。

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