Real marching to the title? 西甲 皇马VS塞尔塔
2024-03-10

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

03/11 01:30

已完赛

皇马
1:0
塞尔塔
解读理由:

Carlo Ancelotti is going to make significant changes to his starting-11, but the only key men he misses for sure are Alaba, Militao, Bellingham and Courtois.

Expected lineups according to Spanish sports media after Ancelotti's latest interview:


Ancelotti is going to bench Camavinga, Carvajal, Kroos among others, and why not, they got last night the excellent result when Cadiz beat Atletico Madrid, and it made their task of winning the league another step easier!

There are a few absentees on the visiting side, but most importantly the legendary Iago Aspas is back from suspension.

So it is the biggest club in the country vs a relegation candidate. At home, is this so straight-forward?

The difference in the actual table is stunning 42 points, but looking at the performance data the gap is a lot shorter, roughly 20 points only.

I went against Real in their CL match v Leipzig, and it was probably the worst match of the season for Real, and they were lucky to qualify. Now they feel relieved and comfortable, and with the rotation and probably too happy mindset they are very vulnerable to the fighting Celta side, who according to performance data have been the unluckiest side of La Liga this season!

The performances would justify them at places where now are Sociedad, Betis and Valencia. Against those teams the odds would be completely different, and for example Real have drawn with Valencia not once, but twice.

Out of their last 5 games Celta have won 2, drawn 1 and lost two. One of the losses was a narrow 1-2 loss to Barcelona, where Lewandowski scored the winner at 96th minute.

Real Madrid are the clear favourites, I agree that much, but with these odds Celta X2 is a must bet.

Good luck!




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

安切洛蒂将对他的首发11人做出重大调整,但他肯定会错过的关键球员只有阿拉巴、米利托奥、贝灵汉和库尔图瓦。

在安切洛蒂的最新采访后,西班牙体育媒体预计的阵容如下:


安切洛蒂将把卡马文加、卡瓦哈尔、克罗斯等人放在替补席上,为什么不呢,他们昨晚在加的斯击败马竞的比赛中取得了出色的成绩,这让他们赢得联赛的任务又轻松了一步!

客队有几位缺阵,但最重要的是传奇人物伊阿古·阿斯帕斯从禁赛中复出。

所以这是国内最大的俱乐部vs降级候选球队。在家里,这就这么简单吗?

实际表中的差距是惊人的42分,但从性能数据来看,差距要短得多,大约只有20分。

我在皇马对莱比锡的冠军杯比赛中看过他们,那可能是皇马本赛季最糟糕的比赛,他们很幸运地晋级了。现在他们感到轻松和舒适,在轮换和可能过于快乐的心态下,他们非常容易受到塞尔塔的打击,根据表现数据,塞尔塔是本赛季西甲最不幸的球队!

这样的表现可以证明他们在社会、贝蒂斯和瓦伦西亚的位置上是正确的。对阵这些球队的几率就完全不同了,比如皇马和瓦伦西亚不是一次战平,而是两次。

在最近的5场比赛中,塞尔塔取得了2胜1平2负的成绩。其中一场失利是1比2输给巴塞罗那,莱万多夫斯基在第96分钟攻入制胜球。

皇马显然是最受欢迎的,我同意这一点,但以这样的赔率,塞尔塔X2是必须下注的。

好运!


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