I don't agree with market here
2024-03-03

Przem

外籍分析师

法甲

03/03 20:00

已完赛

图卢兹
1:0
尼斯
解读理由:

In my opinion Toulouse have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match.


I cannot fully understand the market here. Toulouse is undoubtedly in better condition right now. Toulouse has won two league matches in a row against teams ranked higher than Nice (both from the top four). Team confidence should be at the highest possible level. Nice, on the other front, is currently experiencing a very terrible streak. Following two consecutive losses to Monaco and Lyon, they played at home against the poorest team in Ligue 1 and failed (0:0). That was not a convincing performance because they had a lower expected goal scoring value than their opponents, and Nice goalie Bulka was named man of the match.


Nice is currently struggling to score goals, having failed to do so in three of their last five games (last two in a row). Nice has only scored 8 goals in 11 away league matches this season (they failed to win in 7 of them). Toulouse, on the other side, has scored at least one goal in 82% of its home league games. In those circumstances, Nice certainly needs two goals to win this game, but they have scored more than one goal in only 9% of their road league games. In addition, they are currently missing their best assistant, Sanson. That should have a significant negative influence on their offensive output.


I see decent value on home side here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,图卢兹有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。


我不能完全了解这里的市场。毫无疑问,图卢兹现在的状况更好。图卢兹在联赛中连续两场战胜排名高于尼斯的球队(均来自前四名)。团队的信心应该达到尽可能高的水平。另一方面,尼斯目前正在经历一段非常糟糕的时期。在连续两场输给摩纳哥和里昂之后,他们在主场迎战法甲最差的球队,并以0:0的比分失败。这并不是一个令人信服的表现,因为他们的预期进球值低于对手,尼斯门将巴尔卡被评为本场比赛最佳球员。


尼斯目前正在努力进球,在最近的五场比赛中有三场没有进球(最近两场连续)。尼斯本赛季在11场客场联赛中只进了8球(其中7场失利)。另一方面,图卢兹在82%的主场联赛中至少进了一个球。在这种情况下,尼斯当然需要两个进球才能赢得这场比赛,但他们在客场联赛中只有9%的比赛进了一个以上的球。此外,他们目前失去了他们最好的助手桑森。这应该会对他们的进攻输出产生重大的负面影响。


我觉得主队在这里很有价值。

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