5/5 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-02-28

Tapio

外籍分析师

苏超

02/29 03:45

已完赛

基尔马诺克
1:0
流浪者
解读理由:

Kilmarnock VS Glasgow Rangers



Kilmarnock host Rangers for this Scottish Premiership round 28 battle at Tony Macaroni Arena early Thursday morning Beijing time. The league of this league is, on average, pretty mediocre by European standards. Rangers and Celtic have been the two dominant teams in this league for years. They have much bigger financial resources than the rest of the teams. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of much better than average level by this competition's standards here. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that the visitors are the better team here in terms of pure class. The relevant question here is how much better than Kilmarnock they are.. Kilmarnock are playing a terrific season so far. Last season they were disappointing – only ending up in the 11th place. However, they have improved immensely for this season and are currently in 4th place with 40 points to their account! Their number of xPTS is, in fact, even a bit higher – 42.34 to be precise. They have netted the ball 31 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is 34.21. Their defence has been solid - without obvious weaknesses. Sometimes some of their defenders do give a bit too risky passes under pressure though. Kilmarnock have allowed 27 goals so far and have not been either lucky or unlucky in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) have I expect them to defend very hard and in an organized way here - against a strong opponent. They have loud fans and I expect the atmosphere at Tony Macaroni Arena to be great! 

Kilmarnock have been extremely strong at home – losing only twice in this league. Their score difference at home is impressive – 21:12. The hosts have been in fine form recently – not losing any of their last seven matches. Moreover, they have suffered a defeat only once in their last 14 games. In their last game they easily beat Kilmarnock 2-0 at home as narrow favourites on the betting market. They recorded many more goal attempts (20-10), shots on target (9-1), shots off goal (7-2), corners kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, they generated much more in xG than Aberdeen – 2.98-0.55. Before this they faced Celtic away from home and took a point through a 1-1 draw. They were massive underdogs in this game – priced around 13.00 to win by the bookies. Celtic had 71% ball possession but recorded only two more goal attempts. Kilmarnock, very surprisingly, recorded one more shot on goal! Rangers currently top the standings with 67 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is "only" 64.24 though. Their score difference is strong – 61:13 – but still flatters them. Their number of xG is 59.76 and their xGA is 16.33. They have won many games in a row and do deserve to be clear favourites here. Even so, the current odds of around 1.45 offered by the bookies are way too low! In their last game the defeated Hearts 5-0 at home but the final score is misleading. Rangers had only 53% ball possession and Hearts even recorded more dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 1.13-0.64. Odds of around 1.65 on the Kilmarnock +1.5 goals handicap are widely available and we will take it! The chance of winning for the sixth time in a row betting on this league is 67%.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

基尔马诺克VS格拉斯哥流浪者



北京时间周四凌晨,基尔马诺克主场迎战苏格兰联赛第28轮的流浪者队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的平均水平相当平庸。多年来,流浪者队和凯尔特人队一直是这个联赛的两支统治球队。他们的财力比其他球队雄厚得多。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这项比赛的平均水平好得多的比赛。当然,毫无疑问,客队是一支实力更强的球队。这里的相关问题是,他们比基尔马诺克好多少……到目前为止,基尔马诺克打出了一个非常棒的赛季。上赛季他们的表现令人失望,只排在第11位。然而,他们在本赛季有了很大的进步,目前以40分的成绩排名第四!实际上,它们的xPTS数量甚至更高——准确地说是42.34个。虽然进球31次,但期望进球(xG)只有34.21个。他们的防守很稳固,没有明显的弱点。有时候他们的一些后卫在压力下确实会有一些过于冒险的传球。到目前为止,基尔马诺克已经丢了27个球,从预期失球(xGA)的角度来看,他们既不幸运也不不幸。我希望他们在面对强大的对手时,能够非常努力地进行有组织的防守。他们的球迷很吵,我希望托尼·马卡罗尼球馆的气氛会很棒!

基尔马诺克在主场非常强大,在联赛中只输了两场。他们在主场的比分差距令人印象深刻——21:12。东道主最近状态很好,最近七场比赛一场都没有输。此外,他们在过去的14场比赛中只输了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比0轻松击败基尔马诺克,成为博彩市场上的小热门。他们记录了更多的进球尝试(20胜10负)、射正(9胜1负)、射偏(7胜2负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻。此外,它们在xG中的生成量远高于Aberdeen(2.98-0.55)。在此之前,他们在客场面对凯尔特人,1-1战平,拿到一分。他们在这场比赛中是非常不受欢迎的——博彩公司开出的赔率约为13.00。凯尔特人有71%的控球率,但只多了两次射门。令人惊讶的是,基尔马诺克又一次射门!游骑兵队目前以67分排名第一。不过,它们的xpt数量“只有”64.24个。他们的得分差距很大——61分13分——但仍然让他们感到高兴。xG是59.76,xGA是16.33。他们已经连续赢了很多场比赛,在这里确实值得被看好。即便如此,目前博彩公司提供的1.45左右的赔率还是太低了!在上一场比赛中,他们在主场5比0击败了红心队,但最后的比分是误导性的。流浪者队只有53%的控球率,而红心队甚至记录了更多的危险进攻。xG值为1.13 ~ 0.64。基尔马诺克+1.5个进球的赔率约为1.65,我们将接受它!在这个联赛中连续六次获胜的几率是67%。

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