Lugano VS FC Zurich

Lugano welcome Zurich for this Swiss Super League round 25 battle at Stadio di Cornaredo  Sunday evening Beijing time. This league is far from the level of the top-5 leagues in Europe but is still of pretty high level. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of higher than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have a very interesting match to bet on here! The hosts currently occupy the 6thth the standings in this league with a total of 12 clubs. Lugano have a decent 34 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 37.54. They have netted the ball an impressive 43 times in this league so far. This is the third-highest number in the Super League. The visitors have scored only 36 goals. Indeed, in this area of the game the hosts have an edge here. Zurich have grabbed 39 points so far and they, too, have been unlucky in terms of xPTS – but only very marginally. They have allowed 24 goals but their number of expected goals (xGA) is 27.46. Lugano have conceded pretty many goals - 39 - but in reality their defence is better! Their number of xGA is 33.46. Even so, in this area of the game Zurich have on edge over the hosts.

With the expected lineups Zurich are the marginally better team here. However, last season Lugano did better than Zurich and have potential for improvement. As for Zurich the situation is different. Many of their players have played above their normal level so far this season. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are clearly the better team. Their squad is valued at around 30 million euros – the Zurich squad has an estimated market value of about 20 million – this is a little too low though. The bookies, rather weirdly, disagree with my strongly data-based expert analysis. Indeed, the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer odds of around 2.60-2.70 on the visitors to win here. With the substantial home advantage Lugano deserve to be the favourites and we will take the +0.5 goals handicap here. Lugano have lost just one of their last five games!

卢加诺VS苏黎世FC

北京时间周日晚上，卢加诺将在科纳雷多球场迎来瑞士超级联赛第25轮对阵苏黎世的比赛。这个联赛离欧洲五大联赛的水平还差得远，但仍然是相当高的水平。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一场非常有趣的比赛可以下注!东道主目前在这个联赛中排名第6位，共有12家俱乐部。卢加诺有相当不错的34分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)是37.54。到目前为止，他们在联赛中取得了令人印象深刻的43次进球。这是中超联赛第三高的数字。客队只进了36个球。的确，东道主在这方面有优势。苏黎世到目前为止已经拿到了39分，他们在积分方面也不太走运——但只是非常不走运。他们丢了24个球，但他们的预期进球(xGA)是27.46个。卢加诺丢了很多球——39个——但实际上他们的防守更好!xGA的值是33.46。即便如此，苏黎世在比赛的这个方面还是比东道主略胜一筹。

从预期的阵容来看，苏黎世是稍好一些的球队。然而，上赛季卢加诺比苏黎世做得更好，并且有改进的潜力。至于苏黎世，情况就不同了。本赛季到目前为止，他们的许多球员都超出了正常水平。根据德国知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，东道主显然是更好的球队。他们的球队价值约为3000万欧元，而苏黎世队的市场价值估计约为2000万欧元，这有点太低了。奇怪的是，博彩公司不同意我基于数据的专家分析。事实上，接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的游客在这里获胜的赔率约为2.60-2.70。凭借主场优势，卢加诺理应成为夺冠热门，我们将在这里采用+0.5的进球劣势。卢加诺最近五场比赛只输了一场!