11/8 in my last Serie A matches
2024-02-25

Przem

外籍分析师

意甲

02/25 19:30

已完赛

尤文图斯
1:0
弗洛西诺
解读理由:

In my opinion, Juventus is the overwhelming favorite in this game and should win comfortably with at least a two-goal margin. -1.5 AH on the home side appears to be a great option for playing.


Juventus has a significant mental advantage heading into this game, having defeated Frosinone 4:0 at home in January. Guests did not come here with confidence.


Okay, Juventus lost 0:1 on the road against the table's leader, Inter, which is understandable, but in the last two rounds, they have only recorded one point (at home against Udinese and away against Chievo). If you delve deeper, Juventus performed far better than the results indicate. They conceded three goals in those two games, although the expected goals conceded model predicts they should concede fewer than 0.70 in each. On the other side, Juventus appeared to be quite dangerous in attack, scoring more than 1.69 expected goals in both meetings. I feel they have all of the necessary instruments to score goals without too much difficulty today.


Frosinone is now in terrible shape at the back, with barely stability or consistency. They have lost their last three matches in a row, conceding more than two goals in each (11 goals in total in the last three games). It is difficult to envision significant progress tonight, as Frosinone has lost 9 of 12 away league matches this season and conceded 30 goals. Furthermore, they are without defenders Kalaj, Marchizza, Lusuardi, Bonifazi, and Oyono. That should have a negative impact on their performance in the back.


I see a simple victory for Juventus in front of their home crowd.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,尤文图斯在这场比赛中是压倒性的热门,他们应该以至少两球的优势轻松获胜。主场1.5 AH似乎是一个很好的选择。


尤文图斯在这场比赛中有很大的心理优势,一月份在主场4:0击败了弗罗西诺内。客人们没有信心来这里。


好吧,尤文图斯客场0:1输给了积分榜第一的国米,这是可以理解的,但在过去的两轮比赛中,他们只拿到了1分(主场对阵乌迪内斯,客场对阵切沃)。如果你深入研究,你会发现尤文图斯的表现比结果显示的要好得多。他们在这两场比赛中丢了3个球,尽管预期失球模型预测他们每场的失球应该少于0.70个。另一方面,尤文图斯在进攻端显得相当危险,两场比赛的进球数都超过了预期的1.69个。我觉得他们今天拥有所有必要的手段,可以毫不费力地进球。


弗罗西诺内现在在后腰的状态很糟糕,几乎没有稳定性和连贯性。他们最近三场比赛都输掉了比赛,每场比赛丢2球以上(最近三场比赛共丢11球)。很难想象今晚会有什么显著的进步,因为弗罗西诺内本赛季在12场客场比赛中输掉了9场,丢了30个球。此外,他们没有后卫卡拉吉、马尔基扎、卢瓦尔迪、博尼法齐和奥约诺。这应该会对他们在后场的表现产生负面影响。


我认为尤文图斯会在主场球迷面前取得一场简单的胜利。

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