SC Freiburg VS Lens

Freiburg host Lens for this UEFA Europa League Playoffs 1/16-finals second leg battle at Europa-Park Stadion very early Friday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very interesting match to bet on here! My fans and I have won a whopping 10 picks in a row betting on this league! Freiburg are the better team here – but not by a wide margin. The home advantage is, however, substantial in UEFA's club competitions. German teams usually do extremely well at home. French teams, even the "mighty PSG", usually struggle on the road. Yes, PSG lost to Newcastle 1-4 in England in the group stage but in the end Newcastle finished last in the group.. Lens often play too passive, even cautious football away from home which usually leads to too much pressure on their defence - in the second half at the latest. In the Champions League Group B they lost two of the three away games – and took a draw against a struggling Sevilla (1-1) but did not impress me. Arsenal completely crushed Lens 6-0 in London and PSV beat them 1-0. With the expected lineups I see the hosts having 47% chance of winning. Odds of around 2.40 are offered by the biggest bookies.

Freiburg were the better team in the first leg last week in France - this was, in all honesty, a slight surprise to me.. Lens were priced around 1.70-1.75 to win on the betting market. The events on the pitch proved the Lens were, indeed, clearly overrated! Freiburg recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (4-1). Moreover, they generated much more in expected goals (xG) – 1.66 to be precise. The disappointing Lens managed only 0.38! I want to highlight that the German Bundesliga is of clearly better level than the French Ligue 1. Freiburg currently occupy the 8th place in the league table with a decent 29 points to their account and are capable of some improvement in all areas of the game. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is a bit higher. Freiburg have scored 29 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 37.53. They have allowed 40 goals and their defence is vulnerable under intense pressure – especially away from home. At home they have played well - losing only 2/11 matches in the Bundesliga. In their last game they faced a dangerous team, Frankfurt, at home and it was a 3-3 draw. However, Freiburg were the better team in this clash! They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 48-29. Moreover, they generated much more in expected goals (xG) – 2.88 to be precise. The disappointing visitors managed only 0.98.

Lens are having a slightly disappointing season in Ligue 1. Last season they finished in 2nd place - with massive luck though. They grabbed 16.77 more points than they would have deserved in terms of xPTS. They currently occupy the 6th place in the standings with 36 points in their pocket. Lens's number of xPTS is 33.03. Their goal difference is not very good – 28:21. Their offense is lame to say the least! It lacks individual skill, creativity and speed to fight for a top-3 place this season. Their defence is okay but their number of expected goals allowed is still 35.77! In their last game they faced Reims away from home and it was a 1-1 draw. Reims, however, recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 42-21. Before the first leg against Freiburg they beat Strasbourg 3-1 at home but the final score is misleading! Indeed, the visitors recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal (8-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, they generated much more in expected goals (xG) – 1.77 to be precise. Lens managed 1.22. Lens were priced around 1.70 to win by the bookies in this game.

弗莱堡VS朗斯

北京时间周五凌晨，弗莱堡主场迎战朗斯，他们将在欧罗巴公园球场迎来欧联杯季后赛1/16决赛次回合的激战。按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场高于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有一场非常有趣的比赛可以下注!我和我的球迷在这个联赛中连续赢得了10个选秀权!弗赖堡在这里是一支更好的球队，但差距并不大。然而，在欧足联的俱乐部比赛中，主场优势是巨大的。德国队通常在主场表现非常出色。法国队，甚至是“强大的巴黎圣日耳曼”，通常都在客场挣扎。是的，巴黎圣日耳曼在英格兰的小组赛1-4输给了纽卡斯尔，但最终纽卡斯尔在小组中排名最后。伦斯在客场经常踢得太被动，甚至过于谨慎，这通常会给他们的防守带来太大的压力——至少在下半场是这样。在欧洲冠军联赛B组，他们在三场客场比赛中输掉了两场，并与苦苦挣扎的塞维利亚(1-1)战平，但没有给我留下深刻印象。阿森纳在伦敦以6-0彻底击败朗斯，而埃因霍温则以1-0击败他们。根据预期的阵容，我认为东道主有47%的获胜机会。最大的博彩公司开出的赔率约为2.40。

弗赖堡在上周与法国的首回合比赛中表现更好——说实话，这对我来说有点意外。在投注市场上，Lens的价格在1.70-1.75左右。球场上发生的事情证明，朗斯确实被高估了!弗赖堡的进球次数和射正次数更多(4比1)。此外，他们产生了更多的预期目标(xG)——准确地说是1.66。令人失望的镜头只做到了0.38!我想强调的是，德甲显然比法甲水平更高。弗赖堡目前以29分的成绩排在联赛第8位，他们在比赛的各个方面都有进步。他们的期望值(xPTS)稍微高一些。虽然弗赖堡打进了29球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)为37.53球。他们已经丢了40个球，他们的防守在巨大的压力下很脆弱，尤其是在客场。在主场，他们踢得很好，在德甲联赛中只输了2/11场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对一支危险的球队法兰克福，双方以3比3战平。然而，弗赖堡在这场比赛中表现更好!他们记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数——48比29。此外，他们产生了更多的预期目标(xG)——准确地说是2.88。令人失望的游客仅获得0.98分。

蓝斯在法甲的表现有点令人失望。上赛季他们以第二名的成绩结束了比赛——尽管运气很好。他们多拿了16.77分，比他们应得的多。他们目前以36分的积分排名第六。Lens的xPTS数为33.03。他们的净胜球不太好——28:21。他们的进攻至少可以说是站不住脚的!他们缺乏个人技术，创造力和速度来争夺本赛季的前三名。他们的防守还行，但他们的预期失球数仍然是35.77!在上一场比赛中，他们在客场与兰斯战成1-1平。然而，兰斯的进球次数、射门次数、传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数均以42胜21负的成绩领先。在首回合对阵弗赖堡之前，他们在主场3-1击败了斯特拉斯堡，但最后的比分是误导!事实上，客队的进球次数、射偏次数(8-2)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。此外，他们产生了更多的预期目标(xG)——准确地说是1.77。Lens获得1.22。在这场比赛中，博彩公司将Lens的价格定在1.70左右。