10/10 last WON in this league! ¥¥¥
2024-02-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧罗巴

02/23 04:00

已完赛

里斯本
1:0
年轻人
解读理由:

Sporting CP VS Young Boys


Sporting CP host Young Boys for this UEFA Europa League Playoffs 1/16-finals second leg battle at Estádio José Alvalade early Friday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative game to bet on here! My fans and I have won an amazing 10 picks in a row betting on this league! Sporting CP are the massively better team here. According to a German website Transfermarkt.com the Sporting CP squad is valued at over 300 million euros.. This is a little too high though. Sporting CP, the second-best of the four big teams in Portugal, are the much bigger team here. Indeed, the Young Boys squad is valued at only about 60 million euros. Sporting CP were the much better team in the first leg last week in Switzerland – winning 3-1. Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, as well as dangerous attacks. Moreover, they generated much more in expected goals (xG) – 2.01 to be precise. Poor Young Boys managed only 0.33. On the pitch the difference in pure class between the teams looked very clear – the Swiss hosts played pretty organized football but the Sporting CP players were much more skilled and faster on average.

Sporting CP are playing a very strong season in the Liga Portugal. Indeed, they currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings with an impressive 55 points. Their goal difference is very good – 60:19. The 60 goals scored is clearly the biggest number in the league! They have lost just two games in this league all season! They have won five games in a row and have taken 14 wins in the last 14 matches. What an awesome record. They are high in confidence and have – according to my sources – a very good team spirit too. They have several very talented offensive players and possess huge firepower - and a well-structured offense! Their defence has no obvious weaknesses and the defenders make few stupid mistakes. Sometimes they can be vulnerable under fierce pressing but Young Boys are not capable of this! In their last game they easily beat Moreirense 2-0 away from home. It was a strong performance as a whole. Sporting CP had 65% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (16-5), shots on goal )7-0) shots off target, total passes, completed passes and dangerous attacks 124-75.. Moreover, they generated an impressive 2.85 in xG. Moreirense managed only 0.25.

Young Boys, on the other hand, are playing a good season in the Super League. This league is of much worse level than the Liga Portugal! They top the standings with 51 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 45.67. They have scored a good number of goals - 51 – but their defence has been a disappointment. They have conceded 22 goals. In their last game they defeated Lausanne, clearly the worst team in the league, 1-0 at home. They were priced around 1.30 to win by the bookies. Their performance was not great – the visitors even generated more in xG – 1.55-1.11. Lausanne's Gharbi even missed a penalty in the 58th minute. Young Boys' Blum was sent off in the 74th minute though. Before losing to Sporting CP they played a 3-3 draw in Lugano. The hosts recorded more in xG in this game – 1.88-1.44. I do not believe Sporting CP will " take this game easy" in front of their loud and demanding fans.. Indeed, I expect them to control the game and aim at "killing" the game through a couple of quick goals.

Young Boys, of course, will have to take big risks in the second half - unless they miraculously manage to score two goals quickly - here as they need to win by a margin of the goals and I do not believe this will end well for them.. I am not convinced they believe this even themselves.. However, I do not expect them to be able to actually have a big ball possession % as the hosts are so much better technically.. Based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis Sporting CP have a 57% chance of winning by a margin of at least two goals. Odds of around 2.00 on the -1.5 goals handicap are available at the time of posting! The -2.5 goals handicap is also a good option – odds of around 3.20 are available and the chance of winning is 36%.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

体育CP VS年轻男孩


北京时间周五凌晨,sport CP主场迎战Young Boys,他们将在Estádio jos<s:1> Alvalade球场进行欧联杯季后赛1/16决赛次回合的比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们又有一个非常有利可图的游戏可以押注!我的球迷和我已经赢得了惊人的连续10个选秀权投注这个联盟!体育CP是这里更好的球队。根据德国网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,这支体育CP队的价值超过3亿欧元。不过这个有点太高了。葡萄牙的四支豪门球队中排名第二的CP竞技在这里的实力要大得多。事实上,年轻男孩队的价值仅为6000万欧元左右。在上周与瑞士的首回合比赛中,CP竞技队的表现要好得多,他们以3-1获胜。事实上,他们记录了更多的进球尝试,射门,以及危险的进攻。此外,他们产生了更多的预期目标(xG) -准确地说是2.01。可怜的小男孩们只做到了0.33。在球场上,两队之间的纯粹等级差异看起来非常明显——东道主瑞士踢得很有组织,但体育CP球员的平均技术和速度都要高得多。

里斯本竞技在葡萄牙联赛中打出了一个非常强劲的赛季。事实上,他们目前在积分榜上以令人印象深刻的55分排名第二。他们的净胜球差距很大——60:19。60个进球显然是联赛中最多的!他们整个赛季在这个联赛中只输了两场!他们已经取得了5连胜,在最近的14场比赛中取得了14胜。多么了不起的记录啊。他们信心十足,而且据我所知,他们也有很好的团队精神。他们有几个非常有天赋的进攻球员,拥有强大的火力,以及一个结构良好的进攻!他们的防守没有明显的弱点,防守队员很少犯愚蠢的错误。有时他们在激烈的压力下会很脆弱,但年轻的男孩没有能力做到这一点!在上一场比赛中,他们在客场2-0轻松击败了莫雷雷纳斯。总的来说,这是一场精彩的演出。体育CP有65%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(16-5),射正次数(7-0),射偏次数,总传球次数,完成传球次数和危险进攻次数(124-75)。此外,它们在xG中生成了令人印象深刻的2.85。莫瑞伦斯只拿到了0.25分。

另一方面,年轻的男孩们在超级联赛中踢得很好。这个联赛的水平比葡萄牙联赛差多了!他们以51分排名第一。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)较低,为45.67。他们进了51个球,但他们的防守令人失望。他们已经丢了22个球。在上一场比赛中,他们主场1-0击败了洛桑,这支球队显然是联盟中最差的球队。博彩公司给他们开出了1.30左右的赔率。它们的性能并不好——访问者在xG - 1.55-1.11中生成的数据甚至更多。洛桑的加尔比甚至在第58分钟错失了一个点球。然而,年轻男孩队的布鲁姆在第74分钟被红牌罚下。在输给CP竞技之前,他们在卢加诺踢了一场3-3的平局。主队在本场比赛中以1.88-1.44的比分取得了更多的成绩。我不相信体育CP会在他们吵闹和苛刻的球迷面前“轻松拿下这场比赛”。事实上,我希望他们能够控制游戏,并通过几个快速的目标“杀死”游戏。

当然,年轻的小伙子们将不得不在下半场冒很大的风险——除非他们奇迹般地快速进了两个球——因为他们需要以进球的优势取胜,我不相信他们会有好结果。我不相信他们自己会相信这一点。然而,我不指望他们真的能有很大的控球率,因为东道主在技术上要好得多。根据我复杂的,基于数据的分析,体育CP有57%的获胜机会,至少领先两个球。约2.00的赔率在-1.5个进球的障碍是可在发布的时候!-2.5个进球障碍也是一个不错的选择——赔率约为3.20,获胜几率为36%。

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