10/10 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-02-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧罗巴

02/23 04:00

已完赛

布斯巴达
1:0
加拉塔萨
解读理由:

Sparta Praha VS Galatasaray


Sparta Prague welcome Galatasaray for this UEFA Europa League Playoffs second leg battle at epet ARENA early Friday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very interesting match to bet on here! My fans and I have won a whopping ten picks in a row betting on this league! I will be posting many more picks on the Europa League during the next 1-10 hours. There is absolutely no doubt whatsoever about the fact that Galatasaray are the better team here, especially in terms of offensive players' and strikers' individual skill. They also have many experienced players who have played a lot of big games even in the Champions League as well as national team games. One example is the Argentine M. Icardi who scored the last goal of the game in the first leg. Galatasaray are a Turkish team – the hosts come from Czechia (formerly Czech Republic). I want to highlight that the Turkish Super Lig is, on average, of much better quality than the first level of Czechia. This helps Gala to prepare for these big games with high stakes. Especially the tempo in most Czech Fortuna Liga games is relatively slow. Galatasaray's owners have invested a lot of money on this season's squad and this is reflected in their performances on the pitch! They are not the most organized team defensively and the top European teams, like Bayern Munich, were able to capitalize on this in The Champions League last autumn. However, Sparta Prague are of much lower level than Bayern – or even Manchester United or FC Copenhagen whom they played against in the Champions League! Galatasaray played surprisingly well as a whole in the Champions League, taking third place, they were not far from making it to the top-2 - and Playoffs! They defeated Manchester United and challenged Bayern Munich well, losing only 1-2 in Germany as huge underdogs. At home they lost to the Germans 1-3 but recorded more goal attempts and even generated more in expected goals (xG) – 2.55-1.73 to be precise! They were priced close to 6.00 on the betting market to win this game.

Galatasaray are in first place in the Super Lig with an impressive 69 points to their account. They are - by pure class - definitely the best team in this league. I expect them to lift the trophy at the end of the season. Gala have now won a stunning ten games in a row and have not lost any of their last 14 matches! I expect them to be pretty cautious here, at least for as long as the score is level or they lead the game.. The won the first leg 3-2 and recorded many more goal attempts (16-11), shots off goal, total passes, completed passes and attacks. Gala's Nelsson was sent off in the 62nd minute – without the red card I believe they would have won easily – and quite possibly by a margin of at least two goals.. Sparta Prague's Rynes was sent off in the 80th minute. According to a German website Transfermarkt.com the Turkish team are the much bigger team here with an estimated squad value of some 200 million euros! This is, in my expert opinion, still a bit too low. Sparta Prague have not impressed me at this level in the last a couple of years and lack quality to match Gala in all areas of the game! They finished in second place in Group C but were, in reality, only the third-best team. They had some luck in a few group stage games. For example, on the 30th of November 2023 they beat Betis 1-0 at home but the visitors had 54% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on target, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 63-38. Betis also generated much more in xG – 1.14-0.33. Sparta Prague do top the Fortuna Liga standings but are not much better than Slavia Prague or even Plzen by pure class. Sparta have 56 points in their pocket but their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 51.77. In their last game they beat Liberec 2-1 at home as huge favourites according to the bookies – priced around 1.35 to win by the bookies. They deserved to win but the match was surprisingly balanced. Sparta had 10 goal attempts – Liberec managed seven. The biggest bookies see Sparta as slim favourites here but this is, based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis, totally incorrect! I see Gala having a 44% chance of winning this game. Odds of around 2.70 are widely available at the time of posting! As mentioned before, Gala won the first leg 3-2 so Sparta need to win this game and must increase the risk level if the score is level in the second half. This will surely offer Gala opportunities for fast and deadly counter attacks. The visitors are surprisingly good at this! Sparta are used to dominating much weaker teams in the Fortuna League but these teams usually pose very little offensive threat and cannot be compared to a big club like Gala in any way!  Even if Sparta were to take the lead by a margin of one goal Gala will have a good chance to win as Sparta cannot just start defending only. Icardi is their most dangerous player but they also have Yilmaz, Mertens etc. – players with amazing skill compared to Sparta's players! Sparta will be without many players here. Birmancevic, Krejci, Pavelka, Rynes, Sevcik, Surovcik, Vindheim and Zeleny are out. As for Gala Aurier, Ndomble and Nelsson are out. Ziyech is questionable at the time of writing this in-depth analysis.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

斯巴达VS加拉塔萨雷


北京时间周五凌晨,布拉格斯巴达队将在欧联杯季后赛第二回合的比赛中迎来加拉塔萨雷队。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一场非常有趣的比赛可以下注!我和我的球迷在这个联赛中连续赢得了10次的选择!在接下来的1-10小时内,我将发布更多关于欧联杯的文章。毫无疑问,加拉塔萨雷在这里是一支更好的球队,特别是在进攻球员和前锋的个人技术方面。他们也有很多经验丰富的球员,他们参加过很多重要的比赛,包括欧冠和国家队比赛。阿根廷球员伊卡尔迪(M. Icardi)就是一个例子,他在首回合比赛中打进了最后一球。加拉塔萨雷是一支土耳其球队——东道主来自捷克(前捷克共和国)。我想强调的是,土耳其超级联赛的平均水平要比捷克甲级联赛高得多。这有助于加拉为这些高风险的大型比赛做好准备。特别是在大多数捷克的西甲比赛中,节奏相对较慢。加拉塔萨雷的老板在本赛季的阵容上投入了大量资金,这反映在他们在球场上的表现上!他们在防守上并不是最有组织的球队,像拜仁慕尼黑这样的欧洲顶级球队在去年秋天的欧洲冠军联赛中就利用了这一点。然而,布拉格斯巴达的水平比拜仁低得多,甚至比他们在欧冠比赛中对阵的曼联或哥本哈根还要低!加拉塔萨雷在欧冠联赛中的整体表现令人惊讶地好,获得了第三名,他们离进入前二和季后赛不远了!他们击败了曼联,挑战了拜仁慕尼黑,在德国只输了1-2。在主场,他们1-3输给了德国人,但他们的进球次数更多,甚至产生了更多的预期进球(xG)——准确地说是2.55比1.73 !他们在博彩市场上的赌价接近6美元,以赢得这场比赛。

加拉塔萨雷以令人印象深刻的69分排名超级联赛第一。他们绝对是这个联盟中最好的球队。我希望他们能在赛季结束时举起奖杯。加拉现在已经取得了惊人的10连胜,并且在过去的14场比赛中没有输过一场!我希望他们在这里保持谨慎,至少在比分持平或者他们领先的时候。他们以3比2的比分赢得了首回合的胜利,并且记录了更多的进球次数(16-11次)、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数和进攻次数。加拉的尼尔森在第62分钟被罚下——如果没有红牌,我相信他们会轻松取胜——而且很可能以至少两球的优势取胜。布拉格斯巴达队的莱恩斯在第80分钟被罚下。根据德国网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,土耳其球队在这里的规模要大得多,估计球队价值约为2亿欧元!以我的专业意见,这还是有点太低了。在过去的几年里,布拉格斯巴达并没有在这个水平上给我留下深刻的印象,而且在比赛的各个方面都缺乏与加拉相比的实力!他们以C组第二名的成绩出线,但实际上,他们只是第三名。他们在几场小组赛中运气不错。例如,在2023年11月30日,他们在主场1-0击败贝蒂斯,但客队有54%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射正次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、攻击次数和危险攻击次数——63-38。Betis在xG - 1.14-0.33中也产生了更多。布拉格斯巴达在联赛中排名第一,但从纯粹的等级来看,他们并不比布拉格斯拉维亚甚至是普拉森强多少。斯巴达目前有56分,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)“只有”51.77分。在他们的上一场比赛中,他们在主场2-1击败了利贝雷茨,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是最大的热门——博彩公司的胜率约为1.35英镑。他们理应获胜,但比赛出奇地势均力敌。斯巴达有10次射门,而利贝雷茨有7次。最大的博彩公司认为斯巴达在这里的胜算不大,但根据我复杂的、基于数据的分析,这是完全错误的!我看到加拉有44%的机会赢这场比赛。大约2.70的赔率在发布的时候是广泛可用的!如前所述,加拉以3比2赢得了首回合,所以斯巴达需要赢得这场比赛,如果下半场比分持平,必须增加风险水平。这肯定会给Gala提供快速致命反击的机会。游客们出奇地走了

看这个!斯巴达已经习惯了在Fortuna联赛中统治弱得多的球队,但这些球队通常几乎没有进攻威胁,在任何方面都无法与加拉这样的大俱乐部相提并论!即使斯巴达以一球的优势领先,加拉也有很好的机会获胜,因为斯巴达不能只开始防守。伊卡尔迪是他们最危险的球员,但他们也有伊尔马兹、莫滕斯等人——与斯巴达的球员相比,他们的技术惊人!斯巴达将会缺少很多球员。伯曼切维奇、克雷伊奇、帕维尔卡、莱恩斯、塞夫契克、苏罗维奇、温德海姆和泽莱尼将缺席。至于加拉·奥里耶,恩多布尔和尼尔森都出局了。在写这篇深入分析的时候,齐耶赫是有问题的。

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