Gillingham VS Stockport County

Gillingham welcome Stockport County for this League Two round 27 battle at Priestfield Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-highest level of English football. This league is clearly the best fourth tier in the world. Most teams play pretty physical and simple "traditional English football" and players are expected to fight for every ball. This is what I expect to see in this match as well. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a game of a lot better than average level by this competition's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very promising game to bet on here! We have won eight of the 10 picks betting on this league. The visitors currently top the standings. They have 61 points to their account. However, in terms of pure class I do not see them as the best team in this league.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 56.55. Their goal difference is 66:37. The 66 goals scored is the biggest number in this league. They have many fast and surprisingly very skilled offensive players - for this level. Their defence, on the other hand, does have some weaknesses. Their defensive structure is surprisingly poor and their midfielders often do not take part in defending actively enough – especially in away games. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only 39.78. Stockport have been in decline recently – winning two of their last five matches. Furthermore, they have lost two games in a row – allowing a total of seven goals! In their last game they were extremely poor – to Tranmere 0-4 away from home as very clear favourites – priced around 1.80 to win by the bookies. The hosts had only 39% ball possession but recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and generated much more in expected goals (xG) than poor Stockport. Before this they lost to Crewe at home as big favourites – priced around 1.50 to win on the betting market. Stockport had 63% ball possession but the visitors had many many more goal attempts, shots on goal and corner kicks. The hosts did record five more dangerous attacks though.

Gillingham are in the 11th place in the league table with 47 points in their pocket but would have deserved more in terms of xPTS. Their offense does lack some speed and creativity – no denying that. They have scored only 31 goals but their number of xG is much higher. Their defence, on the other hand, has no obvious weaknesses and they have allowed only 39 goals in League Two. In this area of the game the visitors do not have an edge over Gillingham. They lost their last game 0-1 to Newport away from home but have otherwise been in better form than the visitors recently – taking two draws and one win in February. They would have deserved a win against Newport as they had more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks than the hosts. Moreover, Gillingham generated 1.56 in xG – Crewe's number was 0.33. Before this they faced Swindon at home and it was a 2-2 draw. Gillingham, again, generated more in xG – 2.34-0.88. The bookies see Stockport as solid favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.35 to win but I disagree. With the expected lineups I do not see a favourite in this game – the obvious smart bet is Gillingham +0.5 goals handicap!

吉林厄姆VS斯托克波特郡

北京时间周三凌晨，吉林汉姆将在普里斯特菲尔德球场迎来斯托克波特郡的第27轮比赛。这是英格兰足球的第四高水平。这个联赛显然是世界上最好的第四梯队。大多数球队踢的是身体对抗和简单的“传统英式足球”，球员们要为每一个球而战。这也是我希望在这场比赛中看到的。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比这项比赛的平均水平好得多的比赛。最重要的是，我们有另一个非常有前途的游戏在这里下注!我们赢了10个赌这个联赛的选秀权中的8个。客队目前排名第一。他们的账户上有61分。然而，就纯粹的水平而言，我不认为他们是这个联盟中最好的球队。他们的期望值(xPTS)“只有”56.55。他们的净胜球差是66:37。66个进球是这个联赛中进球最多的。他们有很多速度快、进攻技巧惊人的球员——在这个水平上。另一方面，他们的防守确实有一些弱点。他们的防守结构出奇的糟糕，他们的中场球员经常没有积极参与防守，尤其是在客场比赛中。他们的预期进球(xGA)只有39.78个。斯托克波特最近的状态有所下降，他们在最近的五场比赛中赢了两场。此外，他们已经连输了两场比赛，总共丢了7个球!在上一场比赛中，他们的表现非常糟糕——客场0-4输给了特兰米尔，这是非常明显的夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的赔率在1.8英镑左右。东道主只有39%的控球率，但他们的射门次数、射正次数和预期进球(xG)都远远超过斯托克波特。在此之前，他们在主场输给了克鲁队，他们是最受欢迎的球队，在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.50英镑。斯托克波特有63%的控球率，但客队有更多的进球尝试、射门和角球。不过东道主确实记录了五次更危险的攻击。

吉林汉姆目前以47分排在联赛第11位，但从积分来看，他们应该得到更多。他们的进攻确实缺乏一些速度和创造力——这是不可否认的。他们只进了31个球，但他们的进球数量要多得多。另一方面，他们的防守没有明显的弱点，他们在英乙联赛中只丢了39个球。在比赛的这方面客队对吉林厄姆没有优势。他们上一场客场0-1输给了纽波特，但在其他方面，他们的状态比最近的客队要好——2月份取得了2平1胜。他们本应该赢得一场对阵纽波特的比赛，因为他们比东道主有更多的进球尝试、射门、角球、进攻和危险进攻。另外，Gillingham在xG中产生了1.56，而Crewe的数字为0.33。在此之前，他们在主场与斯文登打成2-2平。Gillingham在xG - 2.34-0.88中再次产生了更多。博彩公司认为斯托克波特是这里最受欢迎的球队，他们给出了2.35的赔率，但我不同意。从预期的阵容来看，我看不出这场比赛有谁是最受欢迎的——显然明智的赌注是吉林厄姆+0.5个进球障碍!