Odds on this market are wrong!
2024-02-18

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

02/18 22:00

已完赛

谢菲联
1:0
布赖顿
解读理由:

In my opinion Sheffield has bigger chances than bookies want to suggest for us in their odds.


The first encounter of the season between the two sides ended in a tie (1:1). Brighton won the FA Cup at Bramall Lane, but according to the expected goals scored model they were anticipated to score less goals than Sheffield.


Brighton faces a difficult challenge in Sheffield. The visitors to today's game have failed to win against Sheffield in the last seven league fixtures. I see a continuation of that streak today.


The hosts are in a fantastic mood. Sheffield secured a crucial away victory over Luton in the previous round. They aim to carry momentum in front of their home audience. Sheffield is currently having no trouble scoring goals, having scored more than one goal in five of their last six matches across all competitions. Striker Oli McBurnie currently is red-hot at home, he has scored in each of his past four Premier League home games.


Brighton has issues at both ends of the pitch. Their leading scorer, Joao Pedro, is still out with a hamstring injury. Evan Ferguson, the second-best scorer, has failed to score in any of his last 14 outings across all competitions. On the other hand, Brighton kept only two clean sheets in the current season and they conceded 7 goals in the last 3 league matches.


Brighton is difficult to trust because they lack form, particularly on the road. Brighton has gone six Premier League away games without a win, drawing twice and losing four. During that stretch, Brighton lost 0:4 to Luton.


Sheffield's poor position in the table is not a big problem because Brighton have won only one of their last six top-flight matches against bottom-three teams, drawing two and losing three. Guests of today's game have only won five of their 18 Premier League away matches against promoted opponents.


I see excellent value on the home side here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,谢菲尔德有更大的机会比博彩公司想要给我们建议的赔率。


双方本赛季的第一次交锋以1:1的平局告终。布莱顿在布拉莫尔巷赢得了足总杯,但根据预期进球模型,他们的进球数预计比谢菲尔德少。


布莱顿在谢菲尔德面临着艰难的挑战。今天比赛的客队在过去的七场联赛中没有赢过谢菲尔德。今天我看到了这一趋势的延续。


主人们心情很好。谢菲尔德队在上一轮客场对卢顿队取得了关键的胜利。他们的目标是在本国观众面前保持势头。谢菲尔德目前进球没有问题,在所有比赛中,他们在最近六场比赛中有五场进球超过一球。前锋奥利·麦克伯尼目前在主场状态火热,他在过去的四场英超主场比赛中都有进球。


布莱顿在球场两端都有问题。他们的头号得分手佩德罗仍然因为腿筋受伤而缺阵。射手榜第二的弗格森在过去14场比赛中一球未进。另一方面,布莱顿本赛季只保持了两场零封,他们在最近3场联赛中丢了7球。


布莱顿很难被信任,因为他们缺乏状态,尤其是在客场。布莱顿已经有6场英超客场比赛没有获胜,2场平局,4场失利。在这段时间里,布莱顿以0:4输给了卢顿。


谢菲尔德在积分榜上的糟糕位置并不是一个大问题,因为布莱顿在最近的六场顶级联赛中只赢了一场,对阵排名倒数第三的球队,两平三负。今天比赛的客人在18场英超客场对阵升班马的比赛中只赢了5场。


我在主队这边看到了极好的价值。

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