FC Köln VS Werder Bremen

Köln and Werder Bremen lock horns in this German Bundesliga round 22 battle at RheinEnergieStadion in Cologne early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the third-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very interesting game to bet on here! There is no doubt about the fact that the visitors are the better team here by pure class. They currently occupy the 10th place in the standings and have a respectable 26 points to their account. However, by pure class they are the ninth-best team in this league. I expect them to topple at least Heidenheim, and perhaps Hoffenheim and Freiburg too – during the rest of the season. Bremen have been marginally lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) though. They have netted the ball a decent 30 times and have allowed 34 goals in the Bundesliga so far. Yes, their defence has some weaknesses – some of their defensive players are not that strong in terms of individual skill. However, Köln's offense is so lame that I do not expect them to be able to create that much in expected goals (xG). Bremen have, however, improved a lot defensively from the difficult early season. They have been in strong form overall recently. Indeed, Bremen have lost only two of their last nine games. In their last game they were unlucky to lose to Heidenheim at home 1-2. However, Bremen had 63% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had three shots on target. Before this they took three fine wins in a row! In round 19 they even beat Bayern Munich, the 11 times in a row champions, 1-0 away from home! Bremen were priced around 30.00 on the betting market to win! What an amazing effort it was! In round o they beat Freiburg 3-1 at home and in round 20 they defeated Mainz 1-0 away from home – despite not being at their best.

Köln are having a terrible season and are in 16th place in the standings. Last season they finished in 11th place and do have some potential to improve. However, the bookies give this potential way too much emphasis here – once again. They have a pathetic 15 points to their account and have not even been unlucky in terms of xPTS. Their offense is extremely lame. Indeed, they have netted the ball only 15 goals in the Bundesliga. Their offense lacks everything needed to achieve even mediocre results at this level. I would not be surprised to see them being relegated at the end of the season..  They have won only three games in this league all season! They have, however, improved a little recently - beating Frankfurt in round 20 last game 2-0 at home. However, before this they were far from great on the pitch despite taking some points. In their last game Köln faced Hoffenheim away from home and took a point through 1-1 draw. The hosts were, however, the much better team. They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (4-1), shots off goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The biggest bookies see the hosts as solid favourites – offering odds of around 2.40 on the home win. This is, based on my strongly data-based analysis, incorrect. Bremen deserve to be narrow favourites here and we will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. Köln have not played well even at home winning only 2/10 games at RheinEnergieStadion. The home advantage here is smaller than on average in this league. I do not expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be that great here. The Köln fans have been very frustrated with their team recently.

FC Köln VS云达不莱梅

北京时间周六凌晨，Köln和云达不莱梅将在德甲第22轮在科隆的莱茵能源球场展开激战。这是世界上第三好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有一个非常有趣的游戏可以下注!毫无疑问，客队在这里的实力更强。他们目前在积分榜上排名第十，并且有可观的26分。然而，从纯粹的等级来看，他们在这个联盟中排名第九。我希望他们在本赛季剩下的时间里至少能击败海登海姆，也许还有霍芬海姆和弗赖堡。不来梅在期望积分(xPTS)方面还算幸运。到目前为止，他们在德甲联赛中取得了30次进球，丢了34个球。是的，他们的防守有一些弱点——他们的一些防守球员在个人技术方面不是那么强。然而，Köln的进攻太差劲了，我不希望他们能够创造那么多的预期进球(xG)。然而，不莱梅在赛季初的艰难防守中有了很大的进步。他们最近整体状态都很好。事实上，不来梅在过去的9场比赛中只输了2场。在上一场比赛中，他们不幸在主场1比2输给了海登海姆。然而，不莱梅有63%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射门、进攻和危险进攻。两队都有三次射正。在此之前，他们取得了三连胜!在第19轮，他们甚至在客场1-0击败了连续11次夺冠的拜仁慕尼黑!不莱梅在博彩市场上的胜率约为30英镑!这是多么惊人的努力啊!在第6轮，他们主场3-1击败弗赖堡，在第20轮，他们客场1-0击败美因茨，尽管他们并没有处于最佳状态。

Köln这个赛季很糟糕，目前排名第16位。上个赛季他们排在第11位，确实有提升的潜力。然而，博彩公司在这里又一次给了这种可能性太多的强调。他们的账户只有可怜的15分，甚至在xPTS方面也不是不走运。他们的进攻极其站不住脚。事实上，他们在德甲联赛中只进了15个球。他们的进攻缺乏在这个级别取得平庸成绩所需要的一切。如果看到他们在赛季结束后降级，我不会感到惊讶。他们整个赛季在这个联赛中只赢了三场!然而，他们最近有了一些进步，在上一场比赛的第20轮主场以2比0击败了法兰克福。然而，在此之前，尽管他们拿到了一些积分，但他们在球场上还远远不够出色。上一场比赛Köln客场面对霍芬海姆，1-1战平1分。然而，东道主的表现要好得多。他们的进球次数、射正次数(4比1)、射偏次数、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。最大的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的——主场获胜的赔率约为2.40。根据我强烈的数据分析，这是不正确的。不莱梅有资格在这里获得微弱的优势，我们将以+0.5个进球的优势击败他们。Köln即使在主场也打得不好，在莱茵能源球场只赢了2场比赛。这里的主场优势比这个联盟的平均水平要小。我没想到球场的气氛会这么好。Köln的球迷最近对他们的球队很失望。