FREE PICK! 欧冠 拉齐奥VS拜仁
2024-02-15

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧冠

02/15 04:00

已完赛

拉齐奥
1:0
拜仁
解读理由:

Lazio VS Bayern Munich


Lazio and Bayern Munich lock horns in this UEFA Champions League Playoffs first leg clash at Stadio Olimpico early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the highest of UEFA's club competitions. I expect this match to be of somewhat high standards by this league's standards despite the fact that none of the teams are among the hottest favourites to lift the trophy in June – indeed this season Bayern are not among the top-3 favourites in my expert opinion. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that Bayern are the stronger terms of pure class here. On paper they look even quite a lot better than the Italian hosts. However, they have not achieved big success in this league after winning it in 2020 when they beat PSG 1-0 in the final. The odds of around 1.55-1.60 on the Germans winning this game at the time of writing this analysis early Sunday morning Beijing time are way too low. Ae will take the Lazio +1.5 goals handicap with a high chance of winning but the fans wanting to go for bigger odds can take Lazio +0.5 with a 52% chance of winning. The hosts are missing only Renzetti whereas Bayern will be without Aseko-Nkili, Buchmann, Coman, Davies, Gnabry, Laimer, Marusic, Peretz and Sarr.

Bayern have won the Bundesliga 11 times in a row and are practically every season the favourites to lift the trophy. Last season they were, however, close to ending up in second place. Had Dortmund won the last game at home as genetic favourites they would have taken the trophy! It is important to understand that Bayern are far from the level they were at 3-5 years ago when they dominated the Bundesliga and did very well even in the UEFA Champions League. Personally I do not believe that Tuchel is quite the right manager for them.. Tactically he is pretty good but as a leader not that much. He is known for ending up arguing with the key players. According to my sources Bayern's team spirit is far from good. They were humiliated by Bayer Leverkusen in their last game – losing 0-3 away from home. They recorded a pathetic 0.24 in expected goals and had just one shot on goal. The hosts generated 2.04. It was a lazy and shameful performance despite taking the fact that Leverkusen are a strong team into account. They in fact top the Bundesliga standings. Lazio are in 7th place in Serie A but last season they took 2nd place and can improve! In their last game they beat Cagliari 3-1 away from home and deserved to win! They have loud fans and have nothing to lose here and can play relaxed.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

拉齐奥VS拜仁慕尼黑


北京时间周四凌晨,拉齐奥和拜仁慕尼黑将在奥林匹克球场进行欧冠季后赛首回合的交锋。这是欧足联最高级别的俱乐部比赛。我希望这场比赛以联赛的标准来衡量是高水平的,尽管事实上没有一支球队是最有希望在6月举起奖杯的球队——事实上,在我的专家看来,本赛季拜仁不在前三名的热门之列。当然,毫无疑问,拜仁在这里的实力更强。从纸面上看,他们甚至比东道主意大利要好得多。然而,他们在2020年决赛中以1比0击败巴黎圣日耳曼赢得冠军后,在联赛中并没有取得太大的成功。在北京时间周日凌晨撰写这篇分析时,德国队赢得这场比赛的赔率约为1.55-1.60,这实在是太低了。我们会用拉齐奥+1.5个进球的赔率来赌胜率很高,但想要更大赔率的球迷可以用拉齐奥+0.5个进球的赔率来赌胜率52%。东道主只缺伦泽蒂,而拜仁将失去恩基利、布赫曼、科曼、戴维斯、格纳布里、莱默、马鲁西奇、佩雷兹和萨尔。

拜仁已经连续11次赢得德甲冠军,几乎每个赛季都是捧起奖杯的热门球队。然而上个赛季,他们差一点就排在第二。如果多特蒙德在主场赢得最后一场比赛,他们就会获得奖杯!重要的是要明白,拜仁已经远非3-5年前的水平了,当时他们统治了德甲,甚至在欧洲冠军联赛中也表现出色。就我个人而言,我不认为图切尔是合适的主帅。他在战术上很不错,但作为一个领袖就没那么好了。他以最终与关键人物争吵而闻名。根据我的消息来源,拜仁的团队精神一点也不好。他们在上一场比赛中被勒沃库森羞辱,客场0-3输掉了比赛。他们的预期进球数只有可怜的0.24,而且只有一次射门。生成的主机2.04。尽管考虑到勒沃库森是一支强队,但这是一场懒惰和可耻的表现。事实上,他们是德甲积分榜的第一名。拉齐奥在意甲排名第七,但上赛季他们是第二名,而且还可以提高!在上一场比赛中,他们客场3-1击败卡利亚里,他们理应获胜!他们有响亮的球迷,在这里没有什么可失去的,可以轻松地比赛。

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