Sassuolo VS Torino

Sassuolo welcome Torino for this Italian Serie A round 24 battle at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore in Reggio Emilia early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-best league in the world. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative game to bet on here. We have won 7/8 last picks betting on Serie A. Sassuolo are having a pretty disappointing season – especially results-wise. Indeed, they are only in the 15th place in the standings in this league with a total of 20 clubs. However, their performances on the pitch have been much better than their position in the league table would suggest. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 28.01! They are in 13th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors or possible fatigue – caused by a gruelling match schedule. Last season they finished in this place. Torino, on the other hand, finished in 10th place and they occupy this place at the moment as well. They have a decent 32 points to their account. The visitors' number of xPTS is 31.12. In terms of defensive quality they have a pretty clear edge over Sassuolo. Indeed, they have allowed only 19 goals. Yes, their defence has been surprisingly solid and does have a fine structure but the number of goals conceded is still misleading. Indeed, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 25.11. Many of their defenders and midfielders have played above their normal level so far this season. The Sassuolo defence, on the other hand, has been a disappointment to me, no denying that. However, they can improve on this area of the game – perhaps even significantly. They have conceded 41 goals but their number of xGA is 34.45. Their midfielders should be more active in defending and their defenders should stop giving (too) risky passes..

In terms of offensive quality the hosts have an edge here! They have netted the ball 28 times. The Torino offense, on the other hand, has been lame lacking especially speed and creativity. They have scored only 20 goals – this is the third-lowest number in the Serie A! Only Empoli (19th place) and Salernitana (20th) have scored less goals. Yes, Torino's number of expected goals is higher – but not significantly. The biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers see the visitors as solid favourites here offering them odds of around 2.20 to win. I disagree – strongly! Yes, with the expected lineups the visitors are marginally the better team but we have to take the substantial home advantage into account.. In the Serie A the home advantage is on average bigger than in many other European leagues. I see this match as a coin toss – a 50/50 game without a favourite. We will take the Sassuolo +0.5 goals handicap option here! Both teams have been in mediocre form lately – winning two of their last five games. In their last match Sassuolo lost to Bologna 2-4 away from home as big underdogs – priced around 6.00 to win on the betting market. Yes, Bologna were the better team but not by a wide margin. They generated 1.11 in xG – Sassuolo's number was 0.64. Before this they were very unlucky to lose to Monza 0-1 on the road as solid underdogs. They recorded more goal attempts, shot on goal (3-1), shots off goal, corner kicks as well as attacks. They also generated more than the hosts in xG - 0.77-0.39. Torino were disappointing in their last game - against Salernitana at home. They were priced around 1.55 to win by the bookies. They had 67% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts but both teams recorded only one shot on goal. Torino's offense once again lacked creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments.. Before this they beat Cagliari 2-1 away from home as solid favourites but Cagliari recorded more goal attempts (25-16), shots on goal (10-6), shots off goal, corner kicks as well as attacks. And dangerous attacks. They also generated more than Torino in xG - 1.87-1.56.

萨索洛VS都灵

北京时间周日凌晨，萨索洛将在雷焦艾米利亚的马佩球场与都灵队进行意甲第24轮的比赛。这是世界上第四好的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们又有一场利润丰厚的赌局可以赌。我们在意甲的最后一次投注是7胜8负，萨索洛这个赛季非常令人失望——尤其是在结果方面。事实上，他们在这个联赛的排名中只有第15位，总共有20家俱乐部。然而，他们在球场上的表现比他们在积分榜上的表现要好得多。他们的期望值(xPTS)是28.01!在我的实力排名中，他们排在第13位，这反映了球队的纯粹水平，不包括动机因素或可能的疲劳——由紧张的赛程引起的。上个赛季他们在这里结束比赛。另一方面，都灵以第10名结束了比赛，他们现在也占据了这个位置。他们有相当不错的32分。xPTS的参观人数为31.12人。就防守质量而言，他们比萨索洛有相当明显的优势。事实上，他们只丢了19个球。是的，他们的防线出奇的稳固，结构也很好，但是失球的数量仍然让人误解。实际上，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是25.11个。本赛季到目前为止，他们的许多后卫和中场球员的表现都超出了正常水平。另一方面，萨索洛的防守让我很失望，这是不可否认的。然而，他们可以在这方面有所改进——甚至可能是显著的。他们丢了41个球，但是他们的平均进球数是34.45。他们的中场应该更积极地防守，他们的后卫应该停止给(太)危险的传球。

就进攻质量而言，主队在这里有优势!他们已经把球打进28次了。另一方面，都灵的进攻一直很差劲，特别是缺乏速度和创造力。他们只进了20个球——这是意甲联赛第三低的数字!只有恩波利(第19名)和萨莱尼塔纳(第20名)进球数比他们少。是的，都灵的预期进球数要高一些，但并不明显。那些从顾客那里接受最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为游客是最受欢迎的人，他们提供的赔率约为2.20。我不同意——强烈反对!是的，按照预期的阵容，客队稍微好一点，但我们必须考虑到主场的优势。在意甲联赛中，主场优势比其他许多欧洲联赛都要大。我认为这场比赛就像掷硬币一样，是一场没有赢家的对半比赛。我们将在这里采用萨索洛+0.5个进球障碍选项!这两支球队最近的状态都很一般，在最近的五场比赛中只赢了两场。在上一场比赛中，萨索洛在客场以2-4不敌博洛尼亚，在博彩市场上的胜率约为6.00。是的，博洛尼亚是一支更好的球队，但差距并不大。他们在xG的数字是1.11，而萨索洛的数字是0.64。在此之前，他们非常不幸地在客场0-1输给蒙扎，他们是不折不扣的失败者。他们的进球次数、射正(3比1)、射偏、角球和进攻次数都更多。它们也比xG - 0.77-0.39中的宿主产生更多。都灵在上一场主场对阵萨莱尼塔纳的比赛中表现令人失望。博彩公司给他们开出了1.55左右的赔率。他们有67%的控球率，进球次数也更多，但两队都只有一次射门。都灵的进攻再一次缺乏创造力和关键时刻的传球准确性。在此之前，他们在客场2-1击败了卡利亚里，但卡利亚里的进球次数(25-16)、射正(10-6)、射偏、角球和进攻次数更多。还有危险的攻击。他们在xG - 1.87-1.56的得分也超过了都灵。