FC Augsburg VS RB Leipzig

Augsburg host RB Leipzig for this German Bundesliga round 21 clash at WWK Arena late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards here! Most importantly we have yet another very interesting game to bet on here. We have achieved strong results betting on this league. RB Leipzig are having a strong season. They currently occupy the 5th place in the Bundesliga where a total of 18 clubs play. Last season they finished in third place – consequently earning a spot in the UEFA Champions League. They played well in the Champions League group stage – winning four of the six games. They lost only to Manchester City, the best team in the world! They occupy the 3rd place in my power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors or possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. Only Bayern Munchen and Bayer Leverkusen are better in terms of pure class. They have taken a fine 36 points and their number of expected points xPTS is 39.34. In terms of expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xG) they have been a little unlucky. Their score difference is much better than the hosts' – 44:26. Neither their defence or offense have any specific strengths or weaknesses. The hosts have scored 29:37 goals and have allowed 37. Indeed, their defence is pretty poorly structured and silly individual mistakes are common. They have only 22 points to their account and have been marginally unlucky in terms of xPTS. They simply cannot match Leipzig in any area of the game. Last season they finished in 15th place and this is also their place in my power rating.

Leipzig have beaten Augsburg in the last two games between the two teams. Augsburg have not beaten the visitors in any of the last 14 head-to-head matches! Last September Leipzig beat Augsburg 3-0 at home. With the expected lineups they are definitely the much stronger team here - especially in terms of individual skill. They are also the much bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value – according to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com. Indeed, the Augsburg squad is valued at around 120 million euros. The Leipzig players are valued at close to 500 million. Both numbers are, in my expert opinion, more or less fair. The biggest bookies see Leipzig as solid favourites, offering them odds of around 1.75 to take all three points at the time of posting this preview Wednesday evening Beijing time. This is still too high as based on my in-depth analysis Leipzig have a 63.50 % chance to win! Both teams have been in decent form lately – winning 2/5 last games. In their last game Leipzig beat Union Berlin 2-0 at home. The hosts controlled the events on the pitch – having a 64% ball possession. They also recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks than the visitors. Leipzig also generated much more in xG – 1.78-0.52. Before this they were not at their best and lost to Stuttgart 2-5 on the road. Stuttgart are currently in third place and played a stronger-than-usual game. The match was, in reality, more balanced than the final score would suggest. Augsburg were okay in their last game and it was a draw away from home against Bochum. However, Leipzig are a much better team than Bochum! Before this the hosts fought pretty well at home against Bayern Munich but lost – deservedly – 2-3. 

奥格斯堡VS莱比锡

北京时间周六晚，德甲第21轮奥格斯堡主场迎战莱比锡RB。这是世界上第三好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有一个非常有趣的游戏可以赌。我们把赌注押在这个联赛上，取得了很好的成绩。莱比锡RB本赛季表现强劲。目前，他们在共有18家俱乐部参加的德甲联赛中排名第五。上个赛季，他们以第三名的成绩结束了比赛，从而赢得了欧洲冠军联赛的席位。他们在欧冠小组赛中表现出色，赢得了六场比赛中的四场。他们只输给了世界上最好的球队曼城!他们在我的能量评级中排名第三。这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级，排除了动机因素或可能的疲劳-由高强度的比赛日程引起的。只有拜仁慕尼黑和勒沃库森在纯粹的水平上比他们更好。他们已经被罚了36分，他们的期望分数xPTS是39.34。在预期进球(xG)和预期进球(xG)方面，他们有点不幸。他们的比分差距比东道主大得多——44:26。他们的防守和进攻都没有任何特定的优势或劣势。东道主进了29:37球，丢了37球。事实上，他们的防守结构很差，个人愚蠢的错误很常见。他们的账户上只有22分，在xPTS方面也不太走运。他们在比赛的任何方面都无法与莱比锡匹敌。上个赛季，他们排在第15位，这也是他们在我的力量评级中的位置。

莱比锡在两队之间的最近两场比赛中击败了奥格斯堡。奥格斯堡在过去的14场正面交锋中没有击败过客队!去年9月，莱比锡主场3-0击败奥格斯堡。在预期的阵容下，他们绝对是一支更强大的球队——尤其是在个人技术方面。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的估计总市值来看，他们也是一支大得多的球队。事实上，奥格斯堡队的价值约为1.2亿欧元。莱比锡球员的身价接近5亿美元。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少是公平的。最大的博彩公司认为莱比锡是最受欢迎的球队，在北京时间周三晚上发布这篇预告时，他们给出了大约1.75的赔率来获得全部三分。这仍然太高了，因为根据我的深入分析，莱比锡有63.50%的获胜机会!两支球队最近的状态都不错，最近的比赛都是5胜2负。在上一场比赛中，莱比锡主场2-0击败柏林联盟。东道主在球场上控制着局势——控球率达64%。他们的进球次数、射正次数、射偏次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都比客队多。莱比锡在xG - 1.78-0.52期间也产生了更多。在此之前，他们状态不佳，客场2-5不敌斯图加特。斯图加特目前排名第三，他们踢得比平时强。实际上，这场比赛比最终比分显示的更加平衡。奥格斯堡在上一场比赛中表现不错，他们在客场战平了波鸿。然而，莱比锡比波鸿强多了!在此之前，东道主在主场对阵拜仁慕尼黑的比赛中表现不错，但却以2-3输掉了比赛，这是他们应得的。