Pas Giannina VS Lamia

Giannina welcome Lamia for this Greek Super League round 27 battle late Sunday evening Beijing time. This league is slightly better than average level by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of lower than average level here. Giannina are having an awful season so far. Indeed, they currently occupy the 14th place – in this league with a total of 14 clubs. Last season they finished in 9th place (3rd place in the Relegation Group). They ended the season with 34 points to their account. Lamia, on the other hand, finished in 12th place (6th in the Relegation Group). However, the hosts' level of play has significantly worsened this season - in all areas of the game! I have, as a result, clearly lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors or possible fatigue – caused by a grueling match schedule. They are currently in 13th place in this rating. They have grabbed a pathetic 12 points and have won just the games in the Super League! Their number of expected points (xPTS) is moderately higher though. Yes, they do have potential for some improvement but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis. They have netted the ball only 17 times in this league and their number of expected goals (xG) is 19.11. Their offense lacks individual skill, speed and creativity for this level. Their defence is poorly organized and the midfielders are often not active enough in defending. They have allowed 36 goals. With the expected lineups they cannot match Lamia in any area of the game. The visitors have a score difference of 25:32 and their number of xG is 26.56. Their defence has some weaknesses but their defensive structure is still much better than that of the hosts. They have conceded 32 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 30.13. Lamia have clearly improved from last season and occupy the 7th place in the standings with a respectable 27 points.

I need to highlight that there are no spectators allowed at the stadium! This makes the home advantage almost non-existent – as we saw during the Covid-19 when a big number of games were played without fans.. I believe the bookies and a big number of recreational bettors fail to give this factor enough emphasis here! Indeed, the biggest bookies see the hosts as favourites, offering them odds of around 2.45 to take all three points. I strongly disagree and see Lamia as narrow favourites. We will take the Lamia +0.5 goals handicap option to go for the 6th straight winner betting on this league! Giannina have been in poor form lately – losing four of their last five games. Moreover, they have now lost three matches in a row. In their last game they were outplayed by Olympiacos – 3-1 was the final score in Piraeus. Before this they were very disappointing losing to Panserraikos 0-2 at home as solid favourites – priced around 2.30 to win on the betting market.. The ball possession was 50-50% but the visitors recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal (6-3) as well as generated much more in xG – 1.55-0.54. Lamia have lost just one of their last six games and seem to be high in confidence. I also trust their coach a lot – both in terms of tactical skills and as a leader. In their most recent game they defeated Panetolikos 21. away from home as solid underdogs according to the bookies. They deserved the win as they generated much more in xG – 1.89-0.84.

Pas Giannina VS Lamia

北京时间周日晚，吉阿尼纳欢迎拉米亚参加希腊超级联赛第27轮的比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平略高于平均水平。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于平均水平的比赛。吉安尼娜这个赛季的表现很糟糕。事实上，他们目前在这个联赛中排名第14位，总共有14家俱乐部。上赛季他们以第9名(保级组第3名)结束了比赛。他们以34分结束了这个赛季。另一方面，拉米亚排名第12位(降级组第6位)。然而，东道主的比赛水平在本赛季明显恶化——在比赛的所有领域!因此，我明显降低了他们的能量等级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，不包括动机因素或可能的疲劳——由紧张的比赛日程引起的。他们目前在这一排名中排名第13位。他们只拿到可怜的12分，而且在超级联赛中只赢了两场比赛!不过，它们的期望值(xPTS)略高一些。是的，他们确实有一些改进的潜力，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。他们在这个联赛中只有17次进球，他们的期望进球(xG)是19.11。他们的进攻缺乏个人技术、速度和创造力。他们的防守组织得很差，中场球员在防守中往往不够活跃。他们丢了36个球。在预期的阵容下，他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与拉米亚匹敌。客队的比分是25:32，他们的xG数是26.56。他们的防守有一些弱点，但他们的防守结构仍然比东道主好得多。他们已经丢了32个球，他们的预期失球(xGA)是30.13个。与上赛季相比，拉米亚有了明显的进步，目前以27分的成绩排在积分榜的第7位。

我需要强调的是，体育场不允许观众进入!这使得主场优势几乎不存在——正如我们在Covid-19期间看到的那样，大量比赛在没有球迷的情况下进行。我相信庄家和大量的娱乐投注者在这里没有给予这个因素足够的重视!事实上，最大的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的，他们提供了2.45左右的赔率来获得所有三分。我强烈反对，并认为拉米亚是狭隘的宠儿。我们将采取拉米亚+0.5个进球障碍的选项，去连续第六个赢家投注这个联赛!吉安尼纳最近状态不佳，最近五场比赛输了四场。此外，他们已经连续输掉了三场比赛。在上一场比赛中，他们在比雷埃夫斯被奥林匹亚科斯以3:1的比分击败。在此之前，他们在主场0-2输给了Panserraikos，这让他们非常失望，因为他们是最受欢迎的球队，在博彩市场上的胜率是2.30左右。控球率是50-50%，但客队的进球次数和射正次数(6-3)更多，在xG - 1.55-0.54的比赛中产生的进球也更多。拉米亚在过去的六场比赛中只输了一场，看起来信心十足。我也非常信任他们的教练——无论是战术技巧还是作为一个领导者。在最近的一场比赛中，他们以21比1击败了帕内托利科斯。根据博彩公司的说法，客场是绝对的劣势。他们理应赢得这场胜利，因为他们在xG - 1.89-0.84中创造了更多的进球。