In my opinion Crystal Palace have superb chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Crystal Palace currently have great streak against Brighton as they didn't lose against them in 8 of last 9 matches in all competitions. For me this is not big surprise. Brighton struggles in games against teams that do not desire the possession. Over their last seven league games, they have won once, drawn four, and lost two, failing to overcome Luton, Wolves, West Ham, Crystal Palace, or Burnley while averaging 67% possession.

It's difficult to trust Brighton at the moment. Despite having a strong attack, they have failed to score in the last three league encounters. In addition, their top scorer, Joao Pedro, faces a late fitness test after being pulled off during Tuesday's defeat at Luton Town. Mitoma, the team's best winger, remains sidelined. I don't see any easy goals for them today. According to the expected goals conceded model, Crystal Palace is the Premier League's seventh defensive formation.

The Crystal Palace is dangerous. Eze and Olise are in top form. They have won two of their past three league matches, scoring more than two goals in each. Crystal Palace should be able to cause significant issues for Brighton today. Brighton has one of the most erratic defensive formations in the league. In the current season, they have conceded at least one goal in 20 out of 22 Premier League games. Only Sheffield United has less clean sheets.

In those circumstances, I see good value for the away side.

在我看来，水晶宫有极好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

水晶宫最近在对阵布莱顿的比赛中取得了不错的成绩，在过去的9场比赛中，水晶宫有8场没有输给布莱顿。对我来说，这并不奇怪。布莱顿在与不希望控球的球队的比赛中挣扎。在过去的7场联赛中，他们取得了1胜4平2负的战绩，未能战胜卢顿、狼队、西汉姆联、水晶宫和伯恩利，平均控球率为67%。

现在很难相信布莱顿。尽管拥有强大的进攻，但他们在最近的三场联赛中都没有进球。此外，他们的头号射手佩德罗在周二输给卢顿的比赛中被换下场，他将面临体能测试。球队最好的边锋Mitoma仍然缺阵。我看他们今天不会轻易进球。根据预期失球模型，水晶宫是英超第七大防守阵型。

水晶宫很危险。Eze和Olise状态很好。在过去的三场联赛中，他们赢了两场，每场进球都超过两个。水晶宫今天应该会给布莱顿带来很大的麻烦。布莱顿拥有联赛中最不稳定的防守阵型之一。在本赛季的22场英超比赛中，他们有20场至少丢了一个球。只有谢菲尔德联队没有丢球。

在这种情况下，我认为客场很有价值。