STRONG results in this league! $$$
2024-01-28

Tapio

外籍分析师

意甲

01/28 22:00

已完赛

维罗纳
1:0
弗洛西诺
解读理由:

Verona VS Frosinone


Verona host Frosinone for this Italian Serie A battle at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi late Sunday morning Beijing time. Serie A is the 4th-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of a little worse than average level by this league's standards. Verona were very close to being relegated to the Serie B after last season. They defeated Spezia in an additional match after the regular season – consequently saving themselves. They have been struggling this season as well. Indeed, they currently occupy the 18th place in the standings. A total of 20 teams play in the Serie A. The last three teams will be relegated. I see a big chance of Verona suffering this fate.. They are in 18th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors as well as possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. Frosinone, on the other hand, are in 11th place in this rating. They were promoted from Serie B to this level for this season. They have performed much better than I – or probably many other professional bettors would have expected before the season started! the bookies should respect them much more.

I want to highlight that according to a well-known and respected German website, Frosinone are the much bigger team here!. Indeed, the visitors' players have an estimated total market value of about 100 million euros. The Verona squad is valued at only about 54 million. Both numbers are more or less correct in my expert opinion. Verona have taken only 17 points so far. Their number of expected points xPTS is only very marginally bigger. Their offense lacks basically everything to do well at this level.. Indeed, their offensive players are not very skilled, their offensive structure is poor and their offense lacks speed and creativity. Only the two rock-bottom teams have scored less goals than Verona.. Their defence is not great but still better than offense. They have conceded 29 goals and their number of goals allowed (xGA) is 34.12. Frosinone have much more offensive power – they have scored 28 goals in Serie A. Their defence has disappointed me so far but they can improve in this area of the game. In this area of the game, with the expected lineups, the teams are, however, very balanced. The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts as solid favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.45 to win. I disagree and see the visitors as very narrow favourites here. We will take the Frosinone +0.5 goals handicap to win once again betting on this league!

Neither team have been in good form recently. Indeed, both have lost three of their last four games. Frosinone did, however, play very well in their last game - defeating Cagliari 3-1 at home. They fully deserved the three points! Indeed, Frosinone had 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (17-9), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, total passes completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, they generated 2.35 in xG – the visitors managed only 0.54. Before this they suffered a heavy defeat away from home in the hands of Atalanta. Yes, the hosts deserved to win but the final score is very misleading. Frosinine had 52% ball possession and Atalanta managed only a little more attacks (103-93) as well as dangerous attacks. Verona were not that bad in their last game but lost to Roma 1-2 away from home. Before this they had some luck on their side as they beat Empoli – lowly team – 2-1 at home as solid favourites on the betting market. The visitors generated marginally more in xG – 0.77-0.69.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

维罗纳VS弗罗西诺内


北京时间周日上午晚些时候,维罗纳将在本特戈迪球场迎战弗罗西诺内。意甲是世界上排名第四的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略差的比赛。维罗纳在上个赛季之后非常接近降级到乙级。他们在常规赛结束后的附加赛中击败了斯佩齐亚,从而挽救了自己。他们这个赛季也一直在挣扎。事实上,他们目前在排行榜上排名第18位。意甲共有20支球队参赛,最后三支球队将降级。我认为维罗纳很有可能遭受同样的命运。在我的排名中,他们排在第18位,这反映了球队的纯粹水平,不包括动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。另一方面,弗罗西诺内在这一排名中排名第11位。他们本赛季从乙级升到这个级别。他们的表现比我好得多——或者可能是许多其他职业投注者在赛季开始前所预期的!博彩公司应该更尊重他们。

我想强调的是,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Frosinone是这里更大的球队!事实上,客队球员的总市值估计约为1亿欧元。维罗纳队的身价仅为5400万英镑。在我看来,这两个数字或多或少是正确的。维罗纳目前只拿到17分。他们的期望点数xPTS只是稍微大一点。他们的进攻基本上缺乏在这个水平上取得好成绩的一切。事实上,他们的进攻球员技术不高,进攻结构不佳,进攻缺乏速度和创造力。只有两支垫底的球队进的球比维罗纳少。他们的防守不是很好,但仍然比进攻好。他们丢了29个球,丢球数(xGA)为34.12个。弗罗西诺内的进攻能力更强,他们在意甲打进了28球,他们的防守让我失望,但他们在这方面还可以提高。在比赛的这个区域,在预期的阵容下,球队是非常平衡的。接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为东道主在这里是最受欢迎的——给他们提供2.45左右的赔率。我不同意,我认为游客在这里是非常狭隘的。我们将以弗罗西诺内+0.5球的劣势再次赢得这个联赛的胜利!

两队最近的状态都不太好。事实上,两队在最近四场比赛中都输掉了三场。然而,弗罗西诺内在上一场比赛中踢得非常好,他们在主场3-1击败了卡利亚里。他们完全配得上这三分!事实上,弗罗西诺内有60%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球次数(17-9次)、射正、射偏、角球、完成传球总数、进攻和危险进攻。此外,他们在xG中产生了2.35,而访客只产生了0.54。在此之前,他们在客场惨败于亚特兰大队。是的,东道主应该赢,但是最后的比分很容易误导人。弗罗西宁有52%的控球率,而亚特兰大的进攻(103比93)和危险的进攻只多了一点点。维罗纳在上一场比赛中表现还不错,但在客场1-2输给了罗马。在此之前,他们在主场2-1击败了排名较低的恩波利,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。访问者在xG - 0.77-0.69中产生的数据略多。

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