A GREAT match to bet on! 法甲 图卢兹VS朗斯
2024-01-28

Tapio

外籍分析师

法甲

01/29 00:05

已完赛

图卢兹
1:0
朗斯
解读理由:

Toulouse VS Lens


Toulouse welcome Lens for this French Ligue 1 round 19 battle at Stadium Municipal very early Monday morning Beijing time. Ligue 1 which is the 5th-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of a little better than average level by this league's standards. Lens played surprisingly strong last season and finished in 2nd place, behind Paris SG. However, they were very lucky in several games and their number of expected points was much lower than the actual number of 84. Toulouse, on the other hand, finished in 13th place. However, Toulouse proved their potential by winning the Coupe de France last season – earning a place in the UEFA Europa League. They performed well in the Group E – taking second place – only one point behind Liverpool. I believe Lens's strong last season still affects the odds quite a lot here.. This season has not been very impressive so far and they are only in 8th place. They have taken 26 points and have not been either lucky or unlucky in terms of xPTS. They have netted the ball only 21 goals – this is the same number as Lorient – currently in last place have scored. Their number of expected goals (xG) is bigger though. Their offence has lacked especially speed and creativity to break a well-organized defence. Away from home they have been pretty poor so far this season – winning just twice in nine games in Ligue 1. Moreover, they have scored only seven goals on the road. Their defence has been better than offense and they have allowed only 19 goals but I want to highlight that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 27.11! Lens have now lost three games in a row and cannot be that high in confidence at the moment. In their last game they were not bad as a whole but lost to PSG 0-2 at home. Lens's J. Gradit was sent off in the 45+2 minute. Before this they lost to Monaco 2-3 at home after penalties as solid favourites on the betting market. They did generate more than Monaco in xG though.

In round 19 Lens were poor – losing to Nice 0-2 away from home. The hosts recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal. Moreover, Nice generated 2.87 in xG – lame Lens managed only 0.44. There is no doubt about the fact that Lens are the better team by pure class here. However, the odds of around 2.00 on the away win are much too low! I see the hosts having a 61% chance of taking at least a point here. Toulouse occupy the 14th place in the standings with 17 points. Their number of xPTS is much higher though – 21.12- They can improve in all areas of the game as the season progresses. Their offense has been far from impressive so far - despite having a decent structure. They have scored only 16 goals but their number of xG is 22.34. Their defence is much better than offense and they have allowed 23 goals. Toulouse have won two of their last three games. In their last game they did lose to Rouen away from home 3-4 after penalties but were the better team on the pitch as whole. It was a Coupe de France clash.



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图卢兹VS朗斯


北京时间周一凌晨,图卢兹在市政体育场欢迎朗斯参加法甲联赛第19轮的比赛。法甲是世界上排名第五的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平好一点的比赛。上个赛季,朗斯的表现出人意料地强劲,排在巴黎SG之后,排名第二。然而,他们在几场比赛中都非常幸运,他们的预期得分远低于84分的实际得分。另一方面,图卢兹排名第13位。然而,图卢兹证明了他们的潜力,在上个赛季赢得了法国杯,并获得了欧洲联赛的席位。他们在E组表现出色,排名第二,仅落后利物浦1分。我相信朗斯上赛季的强势仍然会对这里的赔率产生很大的影响。本赛季到目前为止,他们的表现并不令人印象深刻,他们只排在第8位。他们已经拿到了26分,从积分来看,他们既不走运也不倒霉。他们只进了21个球,这个数字和目前排名最后的洛里昂一样。但他们的预期目标数量(xG)更大。他们的进攻尤其缺乏速度和创造力来突破组织严密的防守。在客场,他们本赛季至今表现很差,在法甲联赛的9场比赛中只赢了2场。此外,他们在客场只进了7个球。他们的防守比进攻好,他们只丢了19个球,但我想强调的是,他们的预期失球数(xGA)是27.11个!蓝思现在已经连输了三场比赛,现在还没有那么高的信心。在上一场比赛中,他们整体表现还不错,但在主场0-2输给了巴黎圣日耳曼。朗斯的格拉迪特在45+2分钟被罚下。在此之前,他们在主场点球后以2-3不敌摩纳哥,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。不过他们在xG的产量确实比摩纳哥多。

在第19轮比赛中,朗斯表现不佳,客场0-2不敌尼斯。东道主记录了更多的进球尝试和射门。此外,Nice在xG中生成2.87,而lame Lens仅生成0.44。毫无疑问,从纯粹的级别来看,蓝斯是一支更好的球队。然而,客场获胜的赔率约为2.00,这实在太低了!我认为东道主至少有61%的机会在这里拿到一分。图卢兹以17分排名第14位。不过他们的得分要高得多——21.12分——随着赛季的进行,他们在比赛的各个方面都可以提高。到目前为止,他们的进攻还远没有给人留下深刻的印象——尽管他们有一个不错的结构。他们只进了16个球,但是他们的进球数是22.34个。他们的防守比进攻好得多,他们丢了23个球。图卢兹在最近三场比赛中赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们在点球大战中以3-4不敌鲁昂,但从整体上看,他们是一支更好的球队。这是一场法国杯的比赛。

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