79% SERIE A WINS! GREAT ODDS! 意甲 罗马VS维罗纳
2024-01-20

Ricards

外籍分析师

意甲

01/21 01:00

已完赛

罗马
1:0
维罗纳
解读理由:

Only two games in the Italian Serie A will happen on Saturday and one of the games will be between Roma and Verona. After 20 games, Roma has 8 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses, a total of 29 points and 9th place while Verona has 4 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses, a total of 17 points and 18th place. In this game, I predict Roma's win.

Roma lost the last Serie A game to Milan (1:3) and drew 1:1 against Atalanta one round earlier. This and being just in the 9th position led to a head coach change as the famous Jose Mourinho is out after being the manager for 2.5 years. Interestingly, against Milan, Roma had equal xG while against Atalanta, Roma had a much better xG. Roma also has lost to Juventus and Bologna but both games were on the road. At home, Roma has 6 wins in the last 8 games but overall, Roma has 6 wins and 3 draws in 10 home games which is one of the best results in the league. Roma has scored a total of 22 goals and conceded 8 in front of their fans while generating an xG of 15.2 and xGA of 7.7 with a difference of 7.7.

Verona won the last game against Empoli at home but lost the previous two. Verona is a decent home team while a different story is on the road where they have 7 losses and 2 draws in the last 9 games. Overall this season, Verona has just 1 win and 2 draws in 10 road games, with a total of 7 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team has generated an xG of 8.5 away from home and xGA of 1.49 with a difference of -6.3.

Roma will be missing Tammy Abraham, Chris Smalling and Renato Sanches, while Gianluca Mancini and Bryan Cristante are still suspended following their red cards. As for Verona, starters Cyril Ngonge and Josh Doig head towards the departure door, as the club's financial woes continue, and they will also have several players banned on Saturday as Darko Lazovic, Ondrej Duda and Diego Coppola must all serve suspensions.

History is also on Roma's side. In the history of both teams, Roma has won 12 out of 14 matchups at home and 2 times the game ended with a draw. While Roma lost their most recent meeting on the road, Roma had a much better xG (1.49 vs. 0.74), had 72% ball control, 18 more shots (23 vs 5) and more shots on target (7 vs 3). With the new manager, every player should be very motivated and their good home record should lead to a victory.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六意甲只有两场比赛,其中一场是罗马和维罗纳之间的比赛。20场比赛后,罗马8胜5平7负,积29分,排名第9,维罗纳4胜5平11负,积17分,排名第18。在这场比赛中,我预测罗马会赢。

罗马在上一场意甲比赛中输给了米兰(1:3),并在前一轮1:1战平亚特兰大。这一点,加上刚刚排在第九位,导致了主教练的更换,著名的穆里尼奥在担任了两年半的主教练后离职了。有趣的是,在对阵米兰的比赛中,罗马有相同的xG,而在对阵亚特兰大的比赛中,罗马的xG要好得多。罗马也输给了尤文图斯和博洛尼亚,但这两场比赛都是在客场进行的。在主场,罗马在过去的8场比赛中取得了6胜,但总的来说,罗马在10场主场比赛中取得了6胜3平,这是联赛中最好的成绩之一。罗马在球迷面前进了22球,丢了8球,xG值为15.2,xGA值为7.7,两者相差7.7。

维罗纳在主场赢了上一场对恩波利的比赛,但前两场都输了。维罗纳是一支不错的主场球队,而在客场的情况就不一样了,他们在过去的9场比赛中7负2平。本赛季,维罗纳在10场客场比赛中仅取得1胜2平,进7球失14球。这支球队在客场的xG值为8.5,xGA值为1.49,两者之差为-6.3。

罗马将失去亚伯拉罕、斯莫林和桑切斯,而曼奇尼和克里斯斯坦特因红牌仍将停赛。至于维罗纳,首发球员西里尔·恩贡奇和乔什·多伊格将离开,因为俱乐部的财政困境仍在继续,他们也将有几名球员在周六被禁赛,因为拉佐维奇、杜达和迭戈·科波拉都必须停赛。

历史也站在罗马一边。在这两支球队的历史上,罗马在主场的14场比赛中取得了12场胜利,2场比赛以平局告终。虽然罗马输掉了他们最近的客场比赛,但罗马有更好的xG(1.49比0.74),72%的控球率,18次射门(23比5)和更多的射门(7比3)。在新教练的带领下,每个球员都应该非常有动力,他们良好的主场战绩应该会带来胜利。

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