In my opinion Jets have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match.

At the moment I really don’t see Brisbane as a favorite of this game. Brisbane is one position above the Jets in the league table (one point more), but if You look deeper, the guests have played better football so far. The Jets conceded less goals (20 vs 25), but they also scored more (18 vs 17). According to the expected goals scored model, Brisbane is the second-worst team in the whole league.

Newcastle came for this game in much better form. They went unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 matches. During that run they lost 1:3 on the road against Adelaide, but no shame at all. Adelaide is the best home team in the whole league. On the other hand, Brisbane lose the last 4 matches, in each game they conceded more than one goal and in each game they had lower expected goals scored number than opponents.

In addition to that, Brisbane have serious squad problems. Today they are without defenders Brown & Neville, midfielder Burke & Hore (3 goals) and striker Brownlie (1 goal). It's a huge blow and should have a very bad impact on their performance today. No new absences for the Jets so their line up should look exactly the same like in the previous round.

In those circumstances I see very solid chances for the Jets here.

在我看来喷气机队有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

现在我真的不认为布里斯班是这场比赛的最爱。布里斯班在积分榜上比喷气机队高一个名次(多一分)，但如果你深入观察，到目前为止，客队踢得更好。喷气机队丢的球更少(20比25)，但他们的进球也更多(18比17)。根据预期进球数模型，布里斯班队在整个联赛中排名第二。

纽卡斯尔在这场比赛中状态要好得多。他们在最近5场比赛中有4场保持不败。在那场比赛中，他们客场1比3输给了阿德莱德，但一点也不丢人。阿德莱德队是整个联盟中最好的主队。另一方面，布里斯班输掉了最近4场比赛，每场比赛他们都丢了一个以上的球，每场比赛他们的预期进球数都低于对手。

除此之外，布里斯班还有严重的阵容问题。今天他们失去了后卫布朗和内维尔，中场伯克和霍尔(3球)和前锋布朗利(1球)。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。喷气机队没有新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。

在这种情况下，我认为喷气机队在这里有很好的机会。