More PROFIT from the Netherlands? $$$
2024-01-14

Tapio

外籍分析师

荷甲

01/14 03:00

已完赛

兹沃勒
1:0
海伦芬
解读理由:

PEC Zwolle VS SC Heerenveen


Zwolle and Heerenveen lock horns in this Eredivisie round 17 clash at MAC³PARK Stadion early Sunday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is high by European standards – but far from that of the top-4 leagues. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards. The hosts were promoted to this level for this season after a strong season in the Eerste Divisie. They are not a very big difference in terms of overall financial resources or players' estimated total market value – according to Transfermarkt.com. However, they play very well as a team. I also trust their coach both in terms of tactical skills and as a leader. Furthermore, according to my sources they have an excellent team spirit. They have started the season better than I expected in my comprehensive preseason analysis. I have, as a result, significantly raised their power rating as the season has progressed. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a demandings match schedule. Zwolle currently occupy the 11th place in this rating. The visitors, on the other hand, are in 10th place. Last season they finished in 8th place in the standings but were lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) and also had a negative score difference.. This has been the case this season as well! Indeed, they currently occupy the 10th place with 19 points to their account. However, their number of xPTS is 18.04. Zwolle have grabbed 18 points and their number of xPTS is 17.56.

The hosts have a better score difference than Heerenveen! They have netted the ball 23 times but number of expected goals (xG) is marginally higher. The visitors have netted the ball 24 times and their xG is 23.33. Heerenveen's defence does not have the best structure and the defenders often give too risky passes near their own goal. They have allowed two more goals than the host. By pure class they have a narrow edge over Zwolle. Even so, with the expected lineups – taking the big home advantage and recent performances into account Zwolle are the favourites and we will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The bookies are – once again - wrong as they see Heerenveen as favourites – perhaps they give the last season too much emphasis.. Heerenveen have been awful the road in this league so far this season – losing 6/8 matches! They somehow seem to lack confidence in away games..  They have now lost four games in a row and cannot be high in confidence. In their last competitive game they lost to Vitesse 0-1 away from home as clear favourites. It was a KNVB Beker (Cup) battle. Vitesse recorded more goal attempts and shots on target in this game. Zwolle did well in their last game – taking a point from Ajax away from home through a 2-2 draw as huge underdogs – priced around 12.00 to win by the bookies. Ajax recorded five shots on goal – Zwolle managed four.



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PEC Zwolle VS SC heeneven


北京时间周日凌晨,兹沃勒和海伦芬将在西甲联赛第17轮的比赛中交锋。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但与前四名联赛的水平相差甚远。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。主队本赛季在乙级联赛表现强劲后升入了这个级别。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,他们在整体财务资源或球员估计的总市场价值方面并没有太大的差异。然而,他们作为一个团队踢得非常好。我也信任他们的教练,无论是战术技巧还是作为一个领导者。此外,据我所知,他们有很好的团队精神。他们这个赛季的开局比我在季前赛综合分析中预期的要好。因此,随着赛季的进展,我大大提高了他们的能量评级。这一评级反映了球队的纯粹等级——不包括动机因素和可能的疲劳——由高要求的赛程引起的。兹沃勒目前在该排名中排名第11位。另一方面,访客排在第10位。上个赛季,他们在积分榜上排名第8,但在预期积分(xPTS)方面很幸运,而且比分也为负。这个赛季也是如此!事实上,他们目前以19分排在第10位。但是,它们的xPTS数量为18.04。兹沃勒拿到了18分,他们的得分是17.56分。

东道主的比分差距比海伦芬大!他们有23次进球,但预期进球数(xG)略高。客队共取得24次进球,xG值为23.33。海伦芬的防守没有最好的结构,后卫经常在自己的球门附近给太危险的传球。他们比东道主多丢了两个球。就纯粹的阶级而言,他们比兹沃勒略胜一筹。即便如此,在预期的阵容中——考虑到主场的巨大优势和最近的表现,兹沃勒是最受欢迎的,我们将以+0.5的进球障碍选项来考虑他们。博彩公司又错了,他们把海伦视为夺冠热门,也许他们过于强调上个赛季了。本赛季到目前为止,老鹰队在这个联赛的客场表现很糟糕,输掉了6场比赛!他们在客场比赛中似乎缺乏信心。他们已经连续输了四场比赛,信心不高。在上一场正式比赛中,他们在客场0-1输给了维特斯。这是一场KNVB杯的比赛。维特斯在本场比赛中有更多的进球尝试和射门。兹沃勒在上一场比赛中表现出色——在客场2-2战平阿贾克斯的情况下从阿贾克斯手中拿了一分——博彩公司给出的胜率约为12.00。阿贾克斯射门5次,兹沃勒射门4次。

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