In my opinion, Luton have superb chances to get at least one point in today's match.

The first match of the season between both teams finished with Burnley a 2:1 win, but that wasn't a deserved result at all - Luton had higher expected goals scored number in that game.

Luton have 4 points more in the league table and played one match less than Burnley. It's not a coincidence, as they scored more and conceded fewer goals. Luton is simply the better team at both ends of the pitch.

It is hard to trust Burnley, even in front of the home crowd. They have played 10 league matches at Turf Moor so far and recorded 9 losses (!!!). Burnley won at home against Sheffield (the worst team in the league with 15 losses in 20 matches).

Luton came to this game in much better form - they have won 2 of the last 3 Premier League matches. In the last round they lost 2:3 at home against Chelsea, but deserved something more: expected goals scored for Luton 2.50, for Chelsea 1.52.. In addition to that, in December Luton played decent matches against Arsenal (3:4) and Manchester City (1:2). For sure, they come for this game without any fear.

All the pressure is on Burnley because they have to win this game to keep alive their chances of avoiding relegation at the end of the season. Luton start from an underdog position and that should work well for them as they love to play from counter-attacks.

Odds on Burnley have already been raised by 0.20 from opening lines on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I expect an even bigger raise prior to the kickoff. Odds on Burnley are simply too low.

在我看来，卢顿有极好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得到一分。

本赛季两队的第一场比赛以伯恩利2:1的比分结束，但这根本不是一个值得的结果——卢顿在那场比赛中有更高的进球预期。

卢顿在积分榜上多了4分，比伯恩利少踢了一场比赛。这不是巧合，因为他们进的球更多，丢的球更少。卢顿在球场两端都是一支更好的球队。

即使在主场观众面前，也很难信任伯恩利。到目前为止，他们已经在草皮沼泽打了10场联赛，9场失利(!!)伯恩利主场战胜了谢菲尔德(20场比赛输了15场，是联赛最差的球队)。

卢顿以更好的状态来迎接这场比赛，他们在过去的3场英超比赛中赢了2场。上一轮他们在主场以2:3输给了切尔西，但他们理应得到更多:卢顿的预期进球数为2.50，切尔西为1.52……除此之外，12月，卢顿在对阵阿森纳(3:4)和曼城(1:2)的比赛中表现不错。当然，他们会毫无畏惧地来看这场比赛。

所有的压力都在伯恩利身上，因为他们必须赢得这场比赛，才能保住赛季末保级的机会。卢顿从一个处于劣势的位置开始，这对他们来说应该很好，因为他们喜欢反击。

伯恩利的赔率已经从亚洲大型市场的开盘价提高了0.20，我完全同意这一趋势。我预计在开赛前会有更大的加薪。伯恩利的赔率实在太低了。