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2023-12-15

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧协联

12/15 04:00

已完赛

比尔森
1:0
阿斯塔纳
解读理由:

FC Viktoria Plzen VS FC Astana



Plzen host Astana for this UEFA Europa League Conference League Group C battle at Doosan Arena very early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play in the group stage. The Europa League Conference is the 3rd-highest of UEFA's club competitions. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level by the Conference League standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity to make even more profit here! We have won nine of the last 11 games betting on this league! The hosts are a Czech club – the visitors come from Kazakhstan. Plzen have been the dominant force in this group. Indeed, they have won all six games! They have scored "only" six goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is much higher. Their defence, on the other hand, has been rock-solid. Indeed, it has been even better than I would have expected. They have allowed only one goal so far. Their defensive structure is amazing and the defenders make very few silly mistakes – even under big pressure. Not conceding any goals against a much bigger club, Dinamo Zagreb, is an astonishing achievement! This team even played in the Champions League some time ago. Plzen, too, have played in this competition in the past. I would say that they belong to the Europa League, not the Conference League..

They have already secured first place in this group as Zagreb, in 2nd place, have only six points in their pocket. They face FC Balkani at home in the last round and are very clear favourites.. Mathematically Astana, currently in third place, have a chance to topple the Croatian team but this is extremely improbable.. If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker and Zagreb have the edge there.. Astana's only hope is to win this game and hope for a miracle in Zagreb.. Well, they do not have anything to lose and I expect them to take big risks here – even if the score is level late into the second half.. Yes, this increases their chances of winning but the same is true for the hosts winning!  Astana are not used to playing like this in away games in international games.. as a result of this scenario the probability of a draw, of course, decreases.. Plzen always play with a great attitude at home in front of their loud fans. The 500 000 euros prize money for a win surely motivates them a lot as well! They have a very clear edge over the visitors in all areas of the game and have a close to 70% chance of winning this match! They beat Astana even away from home 2-1 and fully deserved the win! Indeed, they recorded more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in expected goals (xG) – 1.12-0.36 to be precise!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

维多利亚队VS阿斯塔纳队



北京时间周五凌晨,Plzen主场迎战阿斯塔纳,参加欧联杯C组小组赛。这是小组赛的最后一轮比赛。欧洲联赛是欧足联第三高的俱乐部比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比联盟平均水平更好的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会,可以在这里赚取更多的利润!我们在过去11场赌这个联赛的比赛中赢了9场!东道主是一家捷克俱乐部,客队来自哈萨克斯坦。Plzen一直是这个群体中的主导力量。的确,他们赢了所有的六场比赛!他们“只”进了6球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)要高得多。另一方面,他们的防御坚如磐石。事实上,它比我预期的还要好。到目前为止他们只丢了一个球。他们的防守结构是惊人的,后卫很少犯愚蠢的错误——即使在很大的压力下。对阵比萨格勒布迪纳摩大得多的俱乐部没有失球,这是一个惊人的成就!这支球队前一段时间甚至还参加过欧冠。过去也有许多人参加过这个比赛。我会说他们属于欧洲联赛,而不是欧洲联盟。

他们已经锁定了小组第一的位置,而排在第二的萨格勒布只拿到了6分。最后一轮他们将在主场面对巴尔卡尼队,他们显然是夺冠热门。目前排名第三的阿斯塔纳有机会击败克罗地亚队,但这是极不可能的。如果在比赛结束时得分相等,则将进行肉搏决胜局,萨格勒布队在这方面具有优势。阿斯塔纳唯一的希望就是赢得这场比赛,希望在萨格勒布创造奇迹。嗯,他们没有什么可失去的,我希望他们在这里冒很大的风险——即使下半场比分持平。是的,这增加了他们获胜的机会,但对于东道主来说也是如此!阿斯塔纳不习惯在国际比赛的客场比赛中这样踢球。当然,这种情况的结果是平局的可能性降低了。在主场,在他们喧闹的球迷面前,Plzen总是以一种很好的态度踢球。赢得一场比赛的50万欧元奖金肯定也会激励他们!他们在比赛的各个方面都比客队有明显的优势,有接近70%的机会赢得这场比赛!他们客场2-1击败阿斯塔纳,完全配得上这场胜利!事实上,他们记录了更多的进球尝试、进攻和危险进攻。他们也产生了更多的预期进球(xG)——准确地说是1.12-0.36 !

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